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BNTX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 43 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-04 → 2024-11-15

⚠️ Small sample size (43 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

BioNTech SE American Depositary Share
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 10, 2019 🔗 www.biontech.de
💰 Market Cap: $29.61B 👥 Employees: 6,772
BioNTech is a Germany-based biotechnology company that focuses on developing cancer therapeutics, including individualized immunotherapy, as well as vaccines for infectious diseases, including covid. The company's oncology pipeline contains several classes of drugs, including mRNA-based drugs to encode antigens, neoantigens, cytokines, and antibodies; cell therapies; bispecific antibodies; and antibody-drug conjugates, or ADCs. Comirnaty, its Pfizer-partnered covid vaccine, is its first commercialized product.
📊
43
Total Alerts
🎯
41.9%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.33%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+3.00%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 39.5%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +0.93%
Avg Loser: -1.08%
Best: +2.76%
Worst: -3.01%
Trades: 17/26

15MIN

Win Rate: 37.2%
Avg Gain: -0.19%
Avg Winner: +2.08%
Avg Loser: -1.54%
Best: +4.31%
Worst: -4.66%
Trades: 16/27

30MIN

Win Rate: 32.6%
Avg Gain: -0.63%
Avg Winner: +2.70%
Avg Loser: -2.23%
Best: +5.82%
Worst: -4.21%
Trades: 14/29

60MIN

Win Rate: 32.6%
Avg Gain: -0.53%
Avg Winner: +3.44%
Avg Loser: -2.44%
Best: +7.39%
Worst: -7.06%
Trades: 14/29

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 41.9%
Avg Gain: -0.33%
Avg Winner: +3.77%
Avg Loser: -3.29%
Best: +10.06%
Worst: -8.44%
Trades: 18/25

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.00%
Best MFE: +10.32%
Avg Time to MFE: 110 min

On average, BNTX alerts reach +3.00% profit potential within 110 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.63%
Worst MAE: -7.68%
Avg Time to MAE: 14 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.63%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.84:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 43 alerts, BNTX typically reaches +3.00% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 43
Gap Up % 51.2%
Avg Gap -0.07%
Best Gap +2.15%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BNTX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-15 09:25:48 $100.5 -3.01% -4.66% -2.64% -3.34% -0.78% +1.14% -6.16% -0.61% LOSS
2024-03-20 09:28:34 $88.9 -1.91% -2.23% -3.27% -1.86% +1.24% +1.36% -4.15% +0.03% LOSS
2023-12-15 09:26:00 $103.97 +1.12% -0.13% -1.10% -0.59% -1.70% +1.86% - +0.20% WIN
2023-12-13 09:25:00 $95.19 -0.77% -1.20% -2.30% -1.67% +2.09% +2.22% -3.33% -0.70% LOSS
2023-12-11 09:25:00 $102.61 -0.96% -1.66% -2.51% -2.14% -2.07% +0.04% -0.01% -0.72% LOSS
2023-11-06 09:25:00 $100.75 +2.76% -0.27% +1.63% +1.00% -1.03% +3.72% - +0.53% WIN
2023-10-24 09:28:00 $97.53 +0.08% -0.34% -0.29% -1.19% -1.77% +1.09% -0.56% -0.04% WIN
2023-10-16 09:28:00 $97.71 -0.23% -0.47% -2.20% -0.38% -0.76% +2.31% -3.10% +0.45% LOSS
2023-08-07 09:29:00 $101.31 -2.00% -1.69% -4.21% -3.81% -2.77% +0.05% -5.59% -0.30% LOSS
2023-03-27 09:28:00 $122.43 -0.81% +0.97% -0.51% +0.21% +0.96% +4.62% -2.00% +0.63% LOSS
2022-12-13 09:25:00 $174.32 -0.86% +1.28% +2.40% +4.76% +2.25% +5.23% -0.98% -0.04% LOSS
2022-11-10 09:25:00 $153.32 +0.62% +0.51% +1.15% +1.06% +2.35% +2.56% -0.86% -0.69% WIN
2022-11-07 09:25:00 $151.62 +1.17% -0.33% +1.97% +3.10% +6.00% +6.54% -0.90% +0.76% WIN
2022-11-04 09:25:00 $155.99 -1.68% -3.64% -3.06% -0.15% -1.08% +0.52% -1.92% +0.19% LOSS
2022-11-03 09:25:00 $134.6 -0.30% +3.19% +4.43% +6.72% +7.91% +8.09% -0.48% -0.07% LOSS
2022-10-21 09:25:00 $122.08 +0.25% +3.14% +2.63% +3.31% +7.83% +8.00% -0.77% -0.07% WIN
2022-09-20 09:25:00 $127.82 +1.63% +4.31% +4.98% +5.61% +4.41% +7.35% -0.59% +0.14% WIN
2022-08-08 09:25:00 $169.79 -2.82% -3.47% -0.65% -3.00% -0.29% +0.71% -1.04% -1.64% LOSS
2022-07-05 09:25:00 $150.26 +1.24% +3.69% +5.82% +7.39% +7.17% +8.36% -0.28% +0.74% WIN
2022-05-09 09:25:00 $138.35 +0.95% +2.83% +1.80% +4.45% +1.42% +5.62% -0.26% +0.88% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ BNTX Shows Negative Expectancy

With 41.9% win rate and -0.33% average gain, BNTX alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider BNTX for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze BNTX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BNTX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BNTX historically offers an average upside of +3.00% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BNTX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 41.9%, BNTX shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests BNTX may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: BNTX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.33%). This suggests BNTX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.