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CARG Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-11-09 → 2024-02-27

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 12, 2017 🔗 www.cargurus.com
💰 Market Cap: $3.25B 👥 Employees: 1,282
CarGurus Inc is a company that acts as an online automotive marketplace connecting buyers and sellers of new and used cars. The company provides three types of marketplace Listing products, Restricted Listings, and Enhanced or Featured Listings, through which it offers real-time and historical data analyzing the connections and pricing analysis. The listing platforms offer auto manufacturers and others to buy advertising on the company's site and target consumers based on the make, model, and zip code of the cars. The company operates through two segments, namely U.S. Marketplace and Digital Wholesale. It generates maximum revenue from the U.S. Marketplace segment. Geographically, the company derives its key revenue from the United States and the rest from international markets.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+7.15%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+24.90%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +7.15%
Avg Winner: +7.15%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +11.46%
Worst: +2.83%
Trades: 2/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.78%
Avg Winner: +1.78%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.78%
Worst: +1.78%
Trades: 1/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +15.23%
Avg Winner: +31.13%
Avg Loser: -0.67%
Best: +31.13%
Worst: -0.67%
Trades: 1/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +19.35%
Avg Winner: +19.35%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +38.48%
Worst: +0.22%
Trades: 2/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +21.61%
Avg Winner: +21.61%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +38.32%
Worst: +4.91%
Trades: 2/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +24.90%
Best MFE: +42.79%
Avg Time to MFE: 13 min

On average, CARG alerts reach +24.90% profit potential within 13 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.91%
Worst MAE: -1.62%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.91%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

27.35:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 27.35x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, CARG typically reaches +24.90% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 19.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +1.05%
Best Gap +1.75%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION

How CARG compares to 42 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CARG: +2.83% Sector: -0.45% +3.28%
EOD Gain
CARG: +4.91% Sector: +1109.54% -1104.64%
Avg MFE
CARG: +7.00% Sector: +6.73% +0.27%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CARG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-02-27 09:25:49 $22.42 +2.83% +1.78% -0.67% +0.22% +4.91% +7.00% -1.62% +0.36% WIN
2022-11-09 09:25:00 $9.16 +11.46% - +31.13% +38.48% +38.32% +42.79% -0.20% +1.75% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on CARG

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CARG's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CARG Strategy →

Why Analyze CARG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CARG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CARG historically offers an average upside of +24.90% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CARG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, CARG shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CARG performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +7.15%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.