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SKLZ Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 215 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2023-08-22

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Dec 17, 2020 🔗 www.skillz.com
💰 Market Cap: $64.1M 👥 Employees: 323
Skillz Inc is a two-sided mobile gaming platform that connects developers with competitive players. The company's reportable business segments are: the Skillz segment and the Aarki segment. Skillz segment's highlights include Monetize Through Competitions, Player Matching, Cross-Platform Support, Comprehensive Analytics, and Focus on Game Development. Aarki is an artificial intelligence company that delivers advertising solutions. Some of the games available on its platform are Dominoes Gold, Blackout Bingo, 21 Blitz, and Solitaire Cube among others. The majority of its revenue is generated from the Skillz segment. Geographically, the company derives its key revenue from the United States and the rest from Israel, China, Malta, and other countries.
📊
215
Total Alerts
🎯
74.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+1080.58%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+4.66%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 25.1%
Avg Gain: -0.72%
Avg Winner: +1.39%
Avg Loser: -1.57%
Best: +4.78%
Worst: -5.37%
Trades: 54/147

15MIN

Win Rate: 39.1%
Avg Gain: -0.82%
Avg Winner: +1.96%
Avg Loser: -2.68%
Best: +6.37%
Worst: -8.99%
Trades: 84/127

30MIN

Win Rate: 41.4%
Avg Gain: -0.62%
Avg Winner: +2.91%
Avg Loser: -3.17%
Best: +11.62%
Worst: -10.59%
Trades: 89/124

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.1%
Avg Gain: -0.38%
Avg Winner: +3.96%
Avg Loser: -4.01%
Best: +15.52%
Worst: -9.51%
Trades: 97/116

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 74.0%
Avg Gain: +1080.58%
Avg Winner: +1462.81%
Avg Loser: -4.70%
Best: +2296.69%
Worst: -13.04%
Trades: 159/56

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.66%
Best MFE: +27.75%
Avg Time to MFE: 97 min

On average, SKLZ alerts reach +4.66% profit potential within 97 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.25%
Worst MAE: -10.68%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.25%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.07:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.07x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 215 alerts, SKLZ typically reaches +4.66% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 215
Gap Up % 24.2%
Avg Gap -0.51%
Best Gap +2.94%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION

How SKLZ compares to 42 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SKLZ: -0.72% Sector: -0.45% -0.27%
EOD Gain
SKLZ: +1080.58% Sector: +1109.54% -28.97%
Avg MFE
SKLZ: +4.66% Sector: +6.73% -2.07%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SKLZ alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-08-22 09:29:00 $8.77 +3.76% +0.57% -3.19% -1.25% +1.82% +4.33% -1.14% -0.80% WIN
2023-08-21 09:26:00 $7.83 +1.20% +5.11% +11.62% +10.60% +8.68% +15.96% -1.02% +1.02% WIN
2023-06-23 09:29:00 $0.52 -3.83% -1.90% -3.41% -6.16% -9.41% - - -1.52% LOSS
2023-06-21 09:28:00 $0.6 -1.27% -0.88% -3.38% -3.39% +1896.67% +1.43% +0.02% +0.03% LOSS
2023-06-15 09:27:00 $0.66 -0.91% -0.61% +2.06% +8.34% +4.23% +9.14% -1.44% -0.83% LOSS
2023-06-14 09:26:00 $0.73 -0.81% -1.11% -1.40% -1.37% +1708.47% +1.25% -2.63% -0.45% LOSS
2023-06-13 09:27:00 $0.61 +2.34% +3.69% +4.75% +7.17% +2176.42% +15.43% - +2.60% WIN
2023-06-08 09:27:00 $0.57 - +0.04% +0.51% -2.16% -1.77% +1.67% -1.07% -1.07% -
2023-06-07 09:25:00 $0.56 +2.69% +3.96% +5.38% +3.48% +1970.97% +7.51% -1.13% +0.73% WIN
2023-06-06 09:28:00 $0.51 -1.01% +1.62% +4.40% +2.95% +2044.13% +8.69% -2.26% -2.26% LOSS
2023-06-02 09:28:00 $0.47 +3.66% +0.23% -0.91% +2.26% +1982.55% +4.26% -1.89% -1.06% WIN
2023-06-01 09:29:00 $0.48 -0.25% -3.21% -4.96% -4.75% +1816.67% +2.08% - +1.88% LOSS
2023-05-30 09:27:00 $0.51 -1.05% +1.47% -0.48% -0.79% +1821.58% +1.98% -2.97% -2.97% LOSS
2023-05-26 09:27:00 $0.51 +0.02% -0.86% -1.31% -0.96% +1857.64% +2.47% -1.92% +0.80% WIN
2023-05-25 09:25:00 $0.52 +0.42% -1.28% -0.46% -3.43% -3.68% +0.86% -0.27% -0.27% WIN
2023-05-16 09:25:00 $0.57 -0.88% -2.70% -4.79% -5.87% +1845.37% +0.44% -6.40% -0.88% LOSS
2023-05-12 09:28:00 $0.55 -1.81% -2.52% -3.39% -5.21% +1791.00% -1.59% -2.53% -2.53% LOSS
2023-05-10 09:25:00 $0.58 -0.02% -3.43% -4.81% -3.53% +1703.41% +0.02% - - LOSS
2023-05-09 09:29:00 $0.62 -4.67% -4.76% -4.85% -3.26% +1770.97% -1.74% -3.23% -3.23% LOSS
2023-04-21 09:29:00 $0.61 -3.73% -2.83% -2.38% +0.78% +1927.03% +3.81% -3.73% -2.30% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 74.0% Baseline on SKLZ

The 74.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SKLZ's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SKLZ Strategy →

Why Analyze SKLZ with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SKLZ. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SKLZ historically offers an average upside of +4.66% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SKLZ Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 74.0%, SKLZ shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SKLZ performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +1080.58%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.