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APLD Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 173 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-07-19 → 2025-02-14
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, APLD alerts reach +6.58% profit potential within 124 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.57%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.56x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 173 alerts, APLD typically reaches +6.58% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.3% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION
How APLD compares to 42 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical APLD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-14 | 09:25:01 | $8.31 | +1.68% | +1.29% | +2.65% | +6.08% | +9.63% | +11.67% | -0.12% | +0.36% | WIN |
| 2025-02-13 | 09:26:16 | $7.67 | -1.69% | -2.22% | -1.43% | +0.85% | +3.13% | +4.04% | -3.52% | -0.13% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-12 | 09:28:58 | $7.43 | -0.94% | -0.13% | +2.49% | -0.36% | +1.75% | +4.44% | -2.83% | -0.40% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-11 | 09:26:11 | $8.0 | -0.62% | -0.25% | +2.12% | +0.19% | -5.12% | +2.61% | -1.62% | -0.50% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-10 | 09:26:35 | $7.9 | - | +0.14% | +0.44% | +0.63% | +2.66% | +6.96% | -1.65% | -0.25% | - |
| 2025-02-07 | 09:28:18 | $7.9 | +1.46% | +0.25% | +0.20% | -0.70% | -1.39% | +2.34% | -0.13% | +0.13% | WIN |
| 2025-02-06 | 09:26:37 | $8.19 | -0.49% | -1.03% | -1.10% | -1.67% | -3.79% | +0.61% | -1.59% | -0.12% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-05 | 09:26:26 | $7.79 | +0.71% | +1.19% | -0.13% | +1.37% | +3.98% | +5.07% | -1.22% | -0.51% | WIN |
| 2025-02-04 | 09:28:50 | $7.56 | -0.33% | -1.46% | -1.19% | +0.46% | +1.72% | +2.65% | -3.17% | -0.40% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-03 | 09:26:06 | $6.5 | +4.62% | +4.15% | +5.08% | +7.54% | +13.08% | +14.92% | - | +0.77% | WIN |
| 2025-01-31 | 09:29:29 | $7.51 | +0.47% | -0.00% | -0.33% | +2.96% | -5.19% | +4.93% | -2.80% | -0.13% | WIN |
| 2025-01-30 | 09:29:25 | $6.93 | +2.33% | +4.55% | +4.47% | +4.06% | +6.49% | +7.14% | -1.44% | -0.43% | WIN |
| 2025-01-29 | 09:29:12 | $6.55 | -0.92% | +1.20% | +2.64% | +6.55% | +2.14% | +7.79% | -2.60% | -0.61% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-28 | 09:25:26 | $6.93 | +0.58% | -3.75% | -5.74% | -3.82% | -5.92% | +1.30% | -1.15% | -0.14% | WIN |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:26:26 | $8.0 | +0.88% | -2.00% | -1.19% | -4.12% | -19.06% | +3.50% | - | +2.75% | WIN |
| 2025-01-24 | 09:28:35 | $9.38 | -0.59% | -0.64% | -0.69% | +0.11% | -4.48% | +1.28% | -2.45% | -0.21% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-23 | 09:25:25 | $9.4 | - | +2.02% | +1.79% | +1.27% | -1.38% | +5.32% | -1.60% | -0.43% | - |
| 2025-01-22 | 09:28:57 | $9.48 | +1.05% | +0.69% | +0.11% | -1.32% | +1.69% | +4.11% | -3.48% | -1.05% | WIN |
| 2025-01-21 | 09:29:17 | $9.04 | -1.14% | -4.26% | -2.80% | -3.76% | +4.09% | +5.42% | -6.53% | +0.06% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-17 | 09:29:27 | $9.19 | -2.34% | -2.83% | -2.69% | -5.60% | -3.16% | +0.87% | -1.96% | +0.87% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ APLD Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 50.3% win rate, APLD has -0.10% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making APLD profitable.
🔧 Fix APLD Risk/Reward →Why Analyze APLD with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for APLD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, APLD historically offers an average upside of +6.58% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 APLD Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 50.3%, APLD shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-4.63%) outweigh average wins (+4.27%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: APLD shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.10%). This suggests APLD is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.