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QBTS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 243 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-08-09 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Aug 08, 2022 🔗 www.dwavequantum.com
💰 Market Cap: $9.48B 👥 Employees: 220
D-Wave Quantum Inc is in the development and delivery of quantum computing systems, software, and services, and it is the commercial supplier of quantum computers and the only company building both annealing quantum computers and gate-model quantum computers. It delivers customer value with practical quantum applications for problems as diverse as logistics, artificial intelligence, materials sciences, drug discovery, scheduling, cybersecurity, fault detection, and financial modeling. Its annealing quantum computers are accessible through the company's LeapTM cloud service.
📊
243
Total Alerts
🎯
42.4%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.58%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+7.78%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 32.9%
Avg Gain: -0.62%
Avg Winner: +2.10%
Avg Loser: -2.20%
Best: +15.83%
Worst: -10.88%
Trades: 80/145

15MIN

Win Rate: 42.4%
Avg Gain: -0.58%
Avg Winner: +3.25%
Avg Loser: -3.50%
Best: +15.09%
Worst: -15.94%
Trades: 103/136

30MIN

Win Rate: 39.1%
Avg Gain: -0.75%
Avg Winner: +4.54%
Avg Loser: -4.26%
Best: +19.69%
Worst: -22.17%
Trades: 95/144

60MIN

Win Rate: 37.4%
Avg Gain: -1.31%
Avg Winner: +5.08%
Avg Loser: -5.27%
Best: +26.37%
Worst: -28.37%
Trades: 91/148

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.7%
Avg Gain: -0.42%
Avg Winner: +8.96%
Avg Loser: -7.01%
Best: +40.34%
Worst: -32.31%
Trades: 99/141

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.78%
Best MFE: +48.65%
Avg Time to MFE: 107 min

On average, QBTS alerts reach +7.78% profit potential within 107 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.32%
Worst MAE: -29.25%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.32%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.35:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.35x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 243 alerts, QBTS typically reaches +7.78% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 243
Gap Up % 34.6%
Avg Gap -0.09%
Best Gap +8.62%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION

How QBTS compares to 42 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
QBTS: -0.62% Sector: -0.45% -0.17%
EOD Gain
QBTS: -0.42% Sector: +1109.54% -1109.96%
Avg MFE
QBTS: +7.78% Sector: +6.73% +1.06%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical QBTS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:26:51 $6.59 -2.12% -2.12% -0.60% +1.06% -3.34% +3.19% -2.88% -0.46% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:27:35 $6.24 -0.80% -1.60% -2.01% +0.02% +4.17% +6.41% -3.04% -0.48% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:29:52 $5.39 +1.58% +4.27% +5.38% +7.33% +12.06% +13.36% -1.48% -0.19% WIN
2025-02-11 09:27:41 $5.81 -3.10% -0.69% -0.19% -1.46% -8.26% +0.69% -3.44% -0.34% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:28:01 $5.81 -4.47% -1.20% -0.77% -1.12% +0.34% +4.47% -4.82% -0.34% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:26:56 $6.06 +0.49% +1.57% +2.56% +1.82% -4.13% +4.62% -1.32% -0.17% WIN
2025-02-06 09:26:39 $6.52 +1.69% -2.88% -3.07% -4.29% -8.13% +2.15% -2.15% -1.07% WIN
2025-02-05 09:27:01 $5.86 -2.39% -3.19% -1.75% -1.62% +6.83% +10.41% -3.58% -0.17% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:26:10 $5.95 +0.84% +3.36% +2.83% -1.09% -2.86% +5.21% -1.01% -0.17% WIN
2025-02-03 09:28:15 $5.62 -1.07% -3.11% -2.58% -1.96% +2.49% +4.80% -4.63% +0.18% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:27:08 $5.72 -0.19% +2.45% +8.30% +10.75% +3.85% +11.71% -1.05% -0.52% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:26:16 $5.65 +0.89% +0.71% +1.83% +3.72% -0.18% +6.81% -1.06% +0.35% WIN
2025-01-29 09:28:53 $5.72 -0.70% +0.79% - -0.67% -3.50% +3.50% -1.92% - LOSS
2025-01-28 09:28:03 $5.88 -3.83% -3.66% -2.04% -1.45% -2.38% +0.85% -0.34% - LOSS
2025-01-27 09:27:08 $5.79 -3.80% -2.75% -0.53% -2.42% -3.63% +3.11% -4.49% +0.17% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:27:39 $6.18 +1.94% +0.65% +1.92% +6.72% -1.46% +14.97% -0.49% +0.49% WIN
2025-01-23 09:29:31 $6.08 +8.96% +5.18% +1.64% +1.64% -0.82% +11.02% -0.66% +0.33% WIN
2025-01-22 09:25:32 $7.01 - -6.02% -1.85% -6.70% -10.84% +1.43% -3.00% -0.21% -
2025-01-21 09:26:03 $5.43 +0.37% +7.18% +9.76% +7.18% +15.84% +16.39% -1.47% -0.55% WIN
2025-01-17 09:29:55 $5.77 +2.62% +0.61% -0.26% -4.16% -8.67% +4.33% -4.68% -0.69% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ QBTS Shows Negative Expectancy

With 42.4% win rate and -0.58% average gain, QBTS alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider QBTS for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze QBTS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for QBTS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, QBTS historically offers an average upside of +7.78% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 QBTS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 42.4%, QBTS shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests QBTS may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: QBTS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.58%). This suggests QBTS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.