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CBRL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-06-06 → 2024-05-17

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc,. RETAIL-EATING PLACES (SIC 5812)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 05, 1981 🔗 www.crackerbarrel.com
💰 Market Cap: $674.5M 👥 Employees: 76,730
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc operates hundreds of full-service restaurants throughout the United States. The Cracker Barrel stores consists of a restaurant with a gift shop. The restaurants serve breakfast, lunch and dinner. The gift shop offers a variety of decorative and functional items specializing in rocking chairs, holiday gifts, toys, apparel and foods.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.81%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+4.53%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.75%
Avg Winner: +1.74%
Avg Loser: -0.24%
Best: +1.74%
Worst: -0.24%
Trades: 1/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.81%
Avg Winner: +0.81%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.15%
Worst: +0.47%
Trades: 2/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.27%
Avg Winner: +1.15%
Avg Loser: -0.60%
Best: +1.15%
Worst: -0.60%
Trades: 1/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.88%
Avg Winner: +4.15%
Avg Loser: -2.40%
Best: +4.15%
Worst: -2.40%
Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +1.11%
Avg Loser: -1.25%
Best: +1.11%
Worst: -1.25%
Trades: 1/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.53%
Best MFE: +4.75%
Avg Time to MFE: 30 min

On average, CBRL alerts reach +4.53% profit potential within 30 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.37%
Worst MAE: -0.53%
Avg Time to MAE: 1 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.37%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

12.33:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 12.33x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, CBRL typically reaches +4.53% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +1.69%
Best Gap +2.29%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-EATING PLACES

How CBRL compares to 27 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CBRL: +0.75% Sector: -0.12% +0.87%
EOD Gain
CBRL: -0.07% Sector: +6.34% -6.41%
Avg MFE
CBRL: +4.53% Sector: +2.99% +1.54%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CBRL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-05-17 09:26:43 $49.6 -0.24% +1.15% -0.60% -2.40% -1.25% +4.31% -0.20% +1.09% LOSS
2023-06-06 09:28:00 $91.85 +1.74% +0.47% +1.15% +4.15% +1.11% +4.75% -0.53% +2.29% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on CBRL

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CBRL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CBRL Strategy →

Why Analyze CBRL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CBRL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CBRL historically offers an average upside of +4.53% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CBRL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, CBRL shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CBRL performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.81%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.