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ERAS Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-11-18 → 2023-12-07
⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, ERAS alerts reach +3.89% profit potential within 40 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.12%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.47x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, ERAS typically reaches +3.89% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.1% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
How ERAS compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical ERAS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-07 | 09:25:00 | $1.85 | -1.35% | +2.70% | +2.16% | -0.27% | - | +5.41% | -1.35% | +2.70% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-01 | 09:29:00 | $2.31 | -1.73% | -1.73% | -0.87% | +0.43% | -1.73% | +2.60% | -3.46% | -0.43% | LOSS |
| 2022-12-13 | 09:25:00 | $5.12 | -2.15% | -3.91% | -3.12% | -4.49% | -3.71% | +0.20% | +0.20% | -0.59% | LOSS |
| 2022-11-18 | 09:25:00 | $7.59 | +5.80% | +0.40% | - | +4.41% | +3.82% | +7.38% | +0.13% | +3.29% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ ERAS Shows Negative Expectancy
With 50.0% win rate and -0.63% average gain, ERAS alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider ERAS for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze ERAS with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ERAS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, ERAS historically offers an average upside of +3.89% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 ERAS Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, ERAS shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests ERAS may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: ERAS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.63%). This suggests ERAS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.