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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$FLY

Trade-Ideas alert history 80 alerts 2021-03-29T00:00:002026-06-02

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 80 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Firefly Aerospace Inc. Common Stock GUIDED MISSILES & SPACE VEHICLES & PARTS (SIC 3760)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 07, 2025 🔗 www.fireflyspace.com
💰 Market Cap: $4.60B 👥 Employees: 1,409
Firefly Aerospace Inc is a space and defense technology company with an established track record of success providing comprehensive mission solutions to national security, government, and commercial customers. The company develops and provides space and defense technologies, including launch vehicles and spacecraft systems, supporting launch, transit, and in-orbit operations for government, commercial, and national security customers. It has only one operating segment. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from Spacecraft Solutions.
Total alerts
80
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 15MIN
48.8%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 15MIN
+0.08%
Per-alert expectancy
Best trade
+3.26%
Single-alert top outcome

Practice trading FLY on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 45.0%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.70%
Avg Loser: -0.73%
Best: +2.17%
Worst: -2.95%
Trades: 36/36

15MIN

Win Rate: 48.8%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.84%
Avg Loser: -0.66%
Best: +3.26%
Worst: -1.99%
Trades: 39/39

30MIN

Win Rate: 48.8%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.85%
Avg Loser: -0.84%
Best: +3.33%
Worst: -2.75%
Trades: 39/41

60MIN

Win Rate: 42.5%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +1.03%
Avg Loser: -0.91%
Best: +4.11%
Worst: -4.40%
Trades: 34/43

🎯 Top Alert Patterns

Rsi oversold

Alerts 4
Win Rate 25.0%
Avg Gain -0.23%

Rsi overbought

Alerts 4
Win Rate 50.0%
Avg Gain -0.33%

Above sma200

Alerts 7
Win Rate 14.3%
Avg Gain -0.31%

📅 Recent Activity

Last 7 Days

79 alerts

Win Rate: 45.6%

Avg Gain: -0.01%

Last 30 Days

79 alerts

Win Rate: 45.6%

Avg Gain: -0.01%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FLY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-06-02 None $44.35 +2.17% - - - - - - - WIN
2026-06-01 None $44.98 -0.57% - - - - - - - LOSS
2026-05-29 None $46.95 -0.19% - - - - - - - LOSS
2026-05-28 None $56.1 -0.27% - - - - - - - LOSS
2026-05-27 None $58.51 -2.95% - - - - - - - LOSS
2026-05-26 None $53.87 -0.34% - - - - - - - LOSS
2026-05-22 None $43.21 -0.41% - - - - - - - LOSS
2026-05-21 None $42.95 +0.09% - - - - - - - WIN
2026-05-20 None $43.69 +2.08% - - - - - - - WIN
2026-05-18 None $42.65 -0.12% - - - - - - - LOSS
2026-05-15 None $40.66 +0.28% - - - - - - - WIN
2026-05-14 None $39.61 -0.20% - - - - - - - LOSS
2026-05-13 None $40.43 +0.45% - - - - - - - WIN
2026-05-12 None $36.8 +1.36% - - - - - - - WIN
2026-05-11 None $38.96 -0.99% - - - - - - - LOSS
2026-05-08 None $33.13 +0.39% - - - - - - - WIN
2026-05-07 None $34.57 +0.49% - - - - - - - WIN
2026-05-06 None $32.19 +0.08% - - - - - - - WIN
2026-05-05 None $38.4 +0.95% - - - - - - - WIN
2026-05-04 None $33.88 -1.12% - - - - - - - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 48.8% Baseline on FLY

The 48.8% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push FLY's performance to 75%+.

Optimize FLY Strategy →

Why Analyze FLY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FLY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FLY historically offers an average upside of +0.00% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FLY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 48.8%, FLY shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show FLY performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.08%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.