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KTOS Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 5 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-11-14 → 2025-01-15
⚠️ Small sample size (5 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, KTOS alerts reach +1.44% profit potential within 172 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.03%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, KTOS typically reaches +1.44% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.2% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: GUIDED MISSILES & SPACE VEHICLES & PARTS
How KTOS compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical KTOS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-15 | 09:27:41 | $33.62 | -1.30% | -0.42% | +0.80% | +0.59% | +1.28% | +2.11% | -2.35% | -0.95% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-06 | 09:27:07 | $29.59 | -2.94% | -1.84% | -2.15% | -1.45% | -0.20% | +1.24% | -4.02% | -0.64% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-16 | 09:26:30 | $28.45 | -2.94% | -1.94% | -0.61% | -1.14% | -0.56% | +0.91% | -3.83% | -2.32% | LOSS |
| 2024-02-23 | 09:25:10 | $17.8 | +0.79% | +1.24% | +2.15% | +2.75% | +1.40% | +2.92% | +0.17% | +0.51% | WIN |
| 2023-11-14 | 09:29:00 | $19.02 | -2.31% | -3.05% | -2.81% | -2.42% | -2.37% | - | -0.11% | -0.11% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ KTOS Shows Negative Expectancy
With 40.0% win rate and -0.52% average gain, KTOS alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider KTOS for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze KTOS with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for KTOS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, KTOS historically offers an average upside of +1.44% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 KTOS Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 40.0%, KTOS shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests KTOS may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: KTOS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.52%). This suggests KTOS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.