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Latest signal:

HCWB Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 18 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-24 → 2025-02-06

⚠️ Small sample size (18 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

HCW Biologics Inc. Common Stock PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (SIC 2834)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 20, 2021 🔗 www.hcwbiologics.com
💰 Market Cap: $4.4M 👥 Employees: 36
HCW Biologics Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on discovering and developing novel immunotherapies to lengthen the health span by disrupting the link between chronic, low-grade inflammation and age-related diseases. The company has developed TOBI discovery platform, or Tissue factor-based fusion discovery platform, for the design of category-defining immunotherapeutic drugs. It has selected two molecules as its product candidate; HCW9218 and HCW9302. HCW9218 is a bifunctional immunotherapeutic designed with the capabilities to neutralize transforming growth and stimulate immune cells. HCW9302 is designed to activate and expand regulatory T cells, which deactivate inflammasomes.
📊
18
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+1644.43%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+16.06%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -1.54%
Avg Winner: +2.61%
Avg Loser: -4.86%
Best: +4.93%
Worst: -14.79%
Trades: 8/10

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.03%
Avg Winner: +7.59%
Avg Loser: -5.34%
Best: +20.47%
Worst: -11.11%
Trades: 6/12

30MIN

Win Rate: 27.8%
Avg Gain: -3.20%
Avg Winner: +4.08%
Avg Loser: -6.00%
Best: +11.05%
Worst: -12.50%
Trades: 5/13

60MIN

Win Rate: 29.4%
Avg Gain: -3.48%
Avg Winner: +13.46%
Avg Loser: -10.54%
Best: +48.54%
Worst: -36.04%
Trades: 5/12

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +1644.43%
Avg Winner: +2471.82%
Avg Loser: -10.34%
Best: +5230.47%
Worst: -17.71%
Trades: 12/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +16.06%
Best MFE: +170.82%
Avg Time to MFE: 108 min

On average, HCWB alerts reach +16.06% profit potential within 108 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -6.20%
Worst MAE: -18.05%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 6.20%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.59:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.59x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 18 alerts, HCWB typically reaches +16.06% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 12.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 18
Gap Up % 44.4%
Avg Gap -0.77%
Best Gap +3.29%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How HCWB compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HCWB: -1.46% Sector: -0.32% -1.14%
EOD Gain
HCWB: +1513.94% Sector: +4480411.22% -4478897.28%
Avg MFE
HCWB: +17.03% Sector: +7.56% +9.48%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HCWB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-06 09:28:21 $0.38 +1.52% +4.20% +1.97% +7.62% +12.87% +21.67% -0.16% +2.21% WIN
2025-02-05 09:26:12 $0.49 -0.53% -2.54% -8.74% -12.78% -12.06% +0.49% -5.68% -5.68% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:28:27 $0.51 +3.16% +3.41% -8.86% -0.78% +6.13% +11.16% -18.05% +1.17% WIN
2025-02-03 09:26:33 $0.97 -2.82% -6.23% -0.64% -36.04% +2520.92% +6.13% -6.23% +0.83% LOSS
2024-12-23 09:25:32 $0.39 +2.77% +7.89% +2.39% +0.85% +2.47% +7.91% -0.44% +2.52% WIN
2024-12-05 09:26:57 $0.43 +0.26% -4.41% -6.74% -4.99% +3817.00% +1.19% +0.26% +0.96% WIN
2024-12-04 09:26:40 $0.47 -3.62% -4.68% -6.83% -8.27% +3498.20% -1.48% -5.76% -5.76% LOSS
2024-12-03 09:26:00 $0.5 +2.61% -1.01% +1.80% -0.81% -6.26% +3.01% -6.89% -6.89% WIN
2024-11-26 09:29:38 $0.58 -3.35% -5.95% -3.37% +1.45% -3.64% +8.71% -6.82% +2.93% LOSS
2024-11-25 09:28:20 $0.72 -14.79% -11.11% -5.57% -15.74% -15.58% +2.78% -8.33% -4.17% LOSS
2024-11-22 09:29:25 $0.72 +2.08% +0.71% -2.64% -4.66% +4177.78% +10.36% -12.50% -2.78% WIN
2024-11-21 09:26:25 $0.86 -0.03% -5.27% -9.99% -7.24% -17.71% +0.82% -3.75% - LOSS
2024-11-20 09:26:17 $0.9 +3.55% +8.85% +11.05% +8.84% +5.20% +23.28% -0.04% +3.29% WIN
2024-11-19 09:28:33 $1.44 -9.72% -6.28% -12.50% -20.12% +2955.56% +8.33% -4.17% -2.08% LOSS
2024-11-18 09:26:12 $0.93 +4.93% +20.47% +3.21% +48.54% +5230.47% +170.82% -8.65% -2.15% WIN
2024-11-12 09:29:15 $0.34 -8.55% -0.59% -3.60% -8.58% -6.81% +3.24% -2.95% +3.24% LOSS
2023-11-08 09:27:00 $1.71 -2.34% -7.02% -0.58% -6.44% +3572.51% +11.11% -9.36% -0.58% LOSS
2022-01-24 09:25:00 $2.15 -2.79% -8.96% -7.91% - +3862.79% -0.47% -12.09% -0.93% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on HCWB

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push HCWB's performance to 75%+.

Optimize HCWB Strategy →

Why Analyze HCWB with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HCWB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HCWB historically offers an average upside of +16.06% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HCWB Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, HCWB shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show HCWB performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +1644.43%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.