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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$KPTI

Trade-Ideas alert history 19 alerts 2022-02-082024-10-31

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 19 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc. PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (SIC 2834)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 06, 2013 🔗 www.karyopharm.com
💰 Market Cap: $160.7M 👥 Employees: 228
Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc is a commercial-stage pharmaceutical company focused on novel cancer therapies and dedicated to the discovery, development, and commercialization of drugs directed against nuclear export for the treatment of cancer and other diseases. The company conducts research focused on intracellular communication between the nucleus and cytoplasm and has developed small-molecule compounds that inhibit exportin 1 (XPO1), a nuclear export protein. It is focused on marketing XPOVIO (selinexor).
Total alerts
19
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
73.7%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
+631.82%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+5.68%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading KPTI on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 26.3%
Avg Gain: -0.64%
Avg Winner: +1.68%
Avg Loser: -1.72%
Best: +2.73%
Worst: -3.84%
Trades: 5/12

15MIN

Win Rate: 31.6%
Avg Gain: -1.23%
Avg Winner: +2.66%
Avg Loser: -3.03%
Best: +7.05%
Worst: -14.67%
Trades: 6/13

30MIN

Win Rate: 26.3%
Avg Gain: -1.97%
Avg Winner: +5.06%
Avg Loser: -4.47%
Best: +10.68%
Worst: -14.75%
Trades: 5/14

60MIN

Win Rate: 31.6%
Avg Gain: -0.87%
Avg Winner: +9.19%
Avg Loser: -5.51%
Best: +25.00%
Worst: -16.85%
Trades: 6/13

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 73.7%
Avg Gain: +631.82%
Avg Winner: +859.87%
Avg Loser: -6.71%
Best: +1587.16%
Worst: -15.97%
Trades: 14/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.68%
Best MFE: +28.41%
Avg Time to MFE: 69 min

On average, KPTI alerts reach +5.68% profit potential within 69 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.20%
Worst MAE: -6.58%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.20%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.59:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.59x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 19 alerts, KPTI typically reaches +5.68% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 19
Gap Up % 31.6%
Avg Gap -0.35%
Best Gap +2.27%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How KPTI compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
KPTI: -0.64% Sector: -0.32% -0.32%
EOD Gain
KPTI: +631.82% Sector: +4480411.22% -4479779.40%
Avg MFE
KPTI: +5.68% Sector: +7.56% -1.87%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical KPTI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-10-31 09:26:54 $0.88 +0.00% +3.78% +3.98% +25.00% +1587.16% +28.41% -3.30% +2.27% LOSS
2023-10-30 09:28:00 $0.87 -0.31% -0.88% -1.12% -2.57% +1321.64% +4.02% -3.64% -1.94% LOSS
2023-09-26 09:29:00 $1.3 -1.15% -4.23% -4.62% -3.46% +1382.69% +8.08% -5.38% +0.00% LOSS
2023-08-02 09:29:00 $1.86 -3.84% -5.38% -7.52% -11.02% +1343.55% +1.08% -1.08% +1.08% LOSS
2023-07-26 09:28:00 $1.57 -0.32% -1.27% -1.59% +2.87% +10.19% +10.83% -2.87% -1.27% LOSS
2023-07-25 09:25:00 $1.62 -0.02% -0.52% -3.09% -4.32% -1.85% +0.62% +0.00% -0.62% LOSS
2023-07-24 09:29:00 $1.71 -3.42% -0.58% -2.30% -4.09% +1329.82% +0.00% -2.92% +0.00% LOSS
2023-07-20 09:27:00 $1.59 +0.00% -0.63% -1.35% -2.52% +1.26% +4.40% -3.14% +0.00% LOSS
2023-07-19 09:26:00 $1.47 +1.02% +2.21% +3.74% +6.12% +8.84% +12.24% -2.04% -1.36% WIN
2023-07-18 09:25:00 $1.84 -3.39% -14.67% -14.75% -16.85% +1114.67% +0.54% -2.17% -1.09% LOSS
2022-12-22 09:25:00 $3.04 -0.66% -1.81% -2.14% -5.10% +1237.17% -0.16% -1.32% -1.32% LOSS
2022-12-05 09:25:00 $5.07 +2.25% +2.56% +5.03% +4.83% +3.16% +6.80% +0.20% +1.97% WIN
2022-11-21 09:25:00 $5.02 -2.59% -4.58% -4.38% -5.88% +1307.37% +0.00% +0.00% -1.00% LOSS
2022-09-16 09:25:00 $5.05 +1.73% -0.59% -1.19% -0.20% -0.20% +2.97% +0.00% +0.20% WIN
2022-08-04 09:25:00 $4.4 +2.73% +7.05% +10.68% +9.77% +2.95% +13.18% +0.00% +1.82% WIN
2022-07-20 09:25:00 $4.87 -3.08% +0.10% +1.85% +6.57% +1387.68% +7.70% -3.70% +0.00% LOSS
2022-03-02 09:25:00 $7.45 +0.67% -3.15% -4.16% -1.81% -15.97% +2.01% +0.13% +0.27% WIN
2022-02-22 09:25:00 $11.23 -0.36% +0.27% -4.23% -4.81% -8.37% +3.21% -3.92% -2.63% LOSS
2022-02-08 09:25:00 $8.82 -1.47% -1.02% -10.20% -9.01% -7.14% +2.04% -6.58% -3.06% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 73.7% Baseline on KPTI

The 73.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push KPTI's performance to 75%+.

Optimize KPTI Strategy →

Why Analyze KPTI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for KPTI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, KPTI historically offers an average upside of +5.68% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 KPTI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 73.7%, KPTI shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show KPTI performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +631.82%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.