FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →
Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$LLY

Trade-Ideas alerts 49.1% at 30-min n=161 2022-01-12 → 2026-09-22

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 09, 1970 🔗 www.lilly.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.02T 👥 Employees: 50,000
Eli Lilly is a drug firm with a focus on neuroscience, cardiometabolic, cancer, and immunology. Lilly's key products include Verzenio and Jaypirca for cancer; Mounjaro, Zepbound, Foundayo, Jardiance, Trulicity, Humalog, and Humulin for cardiometabolic; and Taltz and Olumiant for immunology.
Total alerts
161
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 30MIN
49.1%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 30MIN
-0.02%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.62%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading LLY on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 43.8%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +0.59%
Avg Loser: -0.70%
Best: +3.30%
Worst: -2.67%
Trades: 70/89

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.7%
Avg Gain: -0.09%
Avg Winner: +1.00%
Avg Loser: -0.96%
Best: +3.82%
Worst: -5.46%
Trades: 72/89

30MIN

Win Rate: 49.1%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.11%
Avg Loser: -1.11%
Best: +4.38%
Worst: -6.67%
Trades: 79/82

60MIN

Win Rate: 46.0%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +1.25%
Avg Loser: -1.18%
Best: +4.68%
Worst: -5.87%
Trades: 74/87

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 48.4%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +1.50%
Avg Loser: -1.35%
Best: +5.58%
Worst: -5.19%
Trades: 78/82

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.62%
Best MFE: +7.29%
Avg Time to MFE: 117 min

On average, LLY alerts reach +1.62% profit potential within 117 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.76%
Worst MAE: -4.12%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.76%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.12:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.12x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 161 alerts, LLY typically reaches +1.62% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 161
Gap Up % 43.5%
Avg Gap -0.03%
Best Gap +2.57%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How LLY compares to 456 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
LLY: -0.13% Sector: -0.28% +0.15%
EOD Gain
LLY: +0.04% Sector: +2912438.65% -2912438.62%
Avg MFE
LLY: +1.62% Sector: +7.28% -5.66%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical LLY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $1149.0 -0.42% -0.77% +0.25% +1.04% +1.84% +2.74% -0.85% -0.25% LOSS
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $1144.24 -0.16% +1.37% +1.52% +1.67% +1.80% +2.33% -0.86% +0.02% LOSS
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $1158.81 -0.51% -0.76% -1.11% -1.27% -0.82% -0.03% -0.93% -0.71% LOSS
2026-09-03 09:25:00 $1165.0 -0.34% -1.16% -1.34% -1.18% -0.46% +0.57% -0.34% +0.43% LOSS
2026-09-01 09:25:00 $1181.0 +0.11% -0.60% -1.23% -0.66% -1.78% +0.76% -0.25% +0.59% WIN
2026-08-28 09:25:00 $1177.9 -0.73% -0.65% -0.73% -0.37% -0.28% +0.18% -1.19% -0.44% LOSS
2026-08-19 09:25:00 $1247.49 +0.50% +1.78% +3.29% +3.07% +2.63% +3.62% -0.60% -0.13% WIN
2026-08-05 09:25:00 $1172.0 +1.40% +1.71% +0.90% -0.88% -0.18% +3.83% -0.85% +0.17% WIN
2026-06-08 09:25:00 $1152.0 +0.57% +0.33% +2.11% +1.98% -0.25% +2.67% -0.28% +0.61% WIN
2026-06-05 09:25:00 $1144.86 +0.10% -0.34% +0.29% +0.77% -1.17% +1.87% -0.83% -0.17% WIN
2026-06-04 09:25:00 $1103.64 +0.58% +0.52% +1.51% +2.06% +1.96% +3.34% -0.50% +0.45% WIN
2026-06-03 09:25:00 $1064.5 -0.52% +0.45% +1.62% +1.40% +1.34% +2.70% -1.03% -0.47% LOSS
2026-05-28 09:25:00 $1090.0 +0.64% +1.82% +2.29% +4.55% +3.38% +5.42% -0.00% +0.61% WIN
2026-05-26 09:25:00 $1075.04 -0.16% -0.17% -0.78% -1.03% -0.96% +0.65% -0.38% -0.00% LOSS
2026-05-20 09:25:00 $1023.0 +0.17% +0.37% +0.31% +0.19% -0.40% +1.45% +0.00% +0.19% WIN
2026-05-19 09:25:00 $993.0 -0.30% +0.05% +1.37% +1.81% +2.86% +2.90% -0.85% -0.35% LOSS
2026-05-05 09:25:00 $971.9 -0.32% -0.03% +0.20% +0.67% +1.75% +2.15% -0.77% -0.00% LOSS
2026-04-30 09:25:00 $901.86 +0.09% +0.31% +0.60% +2.64% +3.63% +4.84% -0.67% -0.34% WIN
2026-04-24 09:25:00 $900.5 -0.63% -1.34% -0.99% -2.46% -1.84% +0.02% -0.27% -0.05% LOSS
2026-04-02 09:25:00 $950.17 -0.66% +0.15% +0.37% -0.83% -1.54% +0.79% -1.33% -0.54% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ LLY Shows Negative Expectancy

With 49.1% win rate and -0.02% average gain, LLY alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider LLY for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze LLY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for LLY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, LLY historically offers an average upside of +1.62% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 LLY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 49.1%, LLY shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests LLY may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: LLY shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.02%). This suggests LLY is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.