FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

LPCN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 12 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-10 → 2024-04-11

⚠️ Small sample size (12 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 05, 2012 🔗 www.lipocine.com
💰 Market Cap: $60.6M 👥 Employees: 16
Lipocine Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, that is engaged in research and development for the delivery of drugs using its proprietary delivery technology. Its principal operation is to provide oral delivery solutions for existing drugs. Lipocine develops its drug candidates or it develops drug candidates on behalf of or in collaboration with corporate partners. The company's product TLANDO is an oral testosterone replacement therapy ("TRT"). It also has other products in the pipeline such as LPCN 1144, TLANDO, TLANDO XR, LPCN 1148, LPCN 1107, LPCN 1154, and LIP'RAL7 Technology. The Company has a single reportable segment, research, and development for the delivery of drugs using its proprietary delivery technology.
📊
12
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+667.69%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+5.16%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 41.7%
Avg Gain: -0.65%
Avg Winner: +2.85%
Avg Loser: -3.68%
Best: +9.28%
Worst: -8.44%
Trades: 5/6

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.89%
Avg Winner: +1.91%
Avg Loser: -2.62%
Best: +3.23%
Worst: -4.93%
Trades: 4/7

30MIN

Win Rate: 41.7%
Avg Gain: -1.29%
Avg Winner: +0.79%
Avg Loser: -2.77%
Best: +1.96%
Worst: -8.07%
Trades: 5/7

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -1.74%
Avg Winner: +0.86%
Avg Loser: -4.34%
Best: +1.96%
Worst: -7.98%
Trades: 6/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +667.69%
Avg Winner: +1003.15%
Avg Loser: -4.31%
Best: +1658.62%
Worst: -6.45%
Trades: 8/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.16%
Best MFE: +17.41%
Avg Time to MFE: 107 min

On average, LPCN alerts reach +5.16% profit potential within 107 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.70%
Worst MAE: -7.74%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.70%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.03:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.03x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 12 alerts, LPCN typically reaches +5.16% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 12
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.32%
Best Gap +3.45%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How LPCN compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
LPCN: -0.65% Sector: -0.32% -0.34%
EOD Gain
LPCN: +667.69% Sector: +4480411.22% -4479743.53%
Avg MFE
LPCN: +5.16% Sector: +7.56% -2.40%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical LPCN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-04-11 09:25:56 $6.09 +9.28% -0.99% -0.49% -3.12% +5.25% +17.41% +0.49% +3.45% WIN
2023-07-27 09:29:00 $5.39 -4.08% -4.93% -0.65% -7.98% -5.38% +8.53% -6.31% - LOSS
2022-09-15 09:25:00 $0.58 +1.97% -3.20% -2.61% -2.87% +1609.40% +1.97% +1.97% +1.97% WIN
2022-09-12 09:25:00 $0.51 - -0.29% +1.96% +1.96% +3.75% +5.88% -0.58% - -
2022-07-11 09:25:00 $0.84 -8.44% -2.96% -8.07% -5.33% +1502.02% +0.59% +0.58% -1.78% LOSS
2022-03-29 09:25:00 $1.55 -2.18% +3.23% +0.32% -1.29% -6.45% +5.81% -7.74% -1.94% LOSS
2022-03-28 09:25:00 $1.84 -1.33% -3.29% -5.54% -5.43% -1.09% +0.54% - -1.09% LOSS
2022-03-22 09:25:00 $1.74 -2.30% +0.39% +0.57% +0.01% +1658.62% +6.32% -2.87% -1.72% LOSS
2022-03-21 09:25:00 $1.58 +1.20% +2.54% +0.32% +1.25% +5.06% +6.33% - +1.27% WIN
2022-03-09 09:25:00 $1.5 -3.76% -2.67% -2.01% +0.67% +1600.00% +3.33% -5.33% -3.33% LOSS
2022-03-01 09:25:00 $1.24 +0.81% +1.48% +0.77% +0.81% +1641.13% +3.23% -1.61% -1.61% WIN
2022-01-10 09:25:00 $1.02 +0.98% - -0.01% +0.49% - +1.96% +0.98% +0.98% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on LPCN

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push LPCN's performance to 75%+.

Optimize LPCN Strategy →

Why Analyze LPCN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for LPCN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, LPCN historically offers an average upside of +5.16% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 LPCN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, LPCN shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show LPCN performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +667.69%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.