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MBRX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 22 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-07 β†’ 2025-02-14

⚠️ Small sample size (22 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏒 Company Profile

Moleculin Biotech, Inc. PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (SIC 2834)
πŸ“ NASDAQ πŸ“… IPO: Jun 02, 2016 πŸ”— www.moleculin.com
πŸ’° Market Cap: $14.4M πŸ‘₯ Employees: 17
Moleculin Biotech Inc is a clinical stage pharmaceutical company focused on the development of a broad portfolio of drug candidates for the treatment of resistant tumors and viruses. The company'sΒ Annamycin program is a next-generation anthracycline designed to avoid multidrug resistance mechanisms with little to no cardiotoxicity.
πŸ“Š
22
Total Alerts
🎯
81.8%
Win Rate (EOD)
πŸ’°
+625.84%
Avg Gain (EOD)
πŸš€
+27.84%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

πŸ“ˆ Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.9%
Avg Gain: -0.95%
Avg Winner: +3.91%
Avg Loser: -4.31%
Best: +18.18%
Worst: -17.43%
Trades: 9/13

15MIN

Win Rate: 35.0%
Avg Gain: +1.89%
Avg Winner: +11.07%
Avg Loser: -3.31%
Best: +22.00%
Worst: -8.98%
Trades: 7/12

30MIN

Win Rate: 42.1%
Avg Gain: +4.62%
Avg Winner: +18.15%
Avg Loser: -5.22%
Best: +101.36%
Worst: -10.96%
Trades: 8/11

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +11.67%
Avg Winner: +28.91%
Avg Loser: -5.56%
Best: +228.84%
Worst: -10.17%
Trades: 10/10

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 81.8%
Avg Gain: +625.84%
Avg Winner: +767.22%
Avg Loser: -10.41%
Best: +1524.52%
Worst: -19.44%
Trades: 18/4

πŸš€ Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

πŸ“ˆ MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +27.84%
Best MFE: +428.74%
Avg Time to MFE: 103 min

On average, MBRX alerts reach +27.84% profit potential within 103 minutes.

πŸ“‰ MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.41%
Worst MAE: -17.43%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.41%.

βš–οΈ Risk/Reward Ratio

8.16:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 8.16x the typical drawdown.

πŸ’‘ Trading Insight: Based on 22 alerts, MBRX typically reaches +27.84% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 22.3% to capture most of the move.

πŸŒ… Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 β†’ 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 22
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.95%
Best Gap +19.09%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How MBRX compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MBRX: -1.27% Sector: -0.32% -0.95%
EOD Gain
MBRX: +560.41% Sector: +4480411.22% -4479850.81%
Avg MFE
MBRX: +33.65% Sector: +7.56% +26.09%

πŸ“‹ Last 20 Alerts

Historical MBRX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:27:29 $2.0 +4.50% +22.00% +10.50% +14.00% +9.00% +39.00% -3.50% +1.00% WIN
2025-02-13 09:28:47 $0.69 -17.43% +21.69% +101.36% +228.84% +83.98% +428.74% -17.43% -0.03% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:26:18 $0.63 +0.40% -7.71% -9.01% -7.62% -19.44% +2.70% +1.35% +2.32% WIN
2025-02-06 09:28:21 $0.9 -5.54% - -5.18% +1.67% -6.62% +4.44% -6.67% +4.44% LOSS
2024-12-23 09:29:56 $1.67 -8.98% -8.98% -9.58% -10.17% +3.59% +8.98% -10.18% +1.20% LOSS
2024-03-25 09:28:26 $6.02 -4.49% -4.49% -10.96% -9.13% -12.79% -0.33% -2.16% -0.33% LOSS
2023-12-11 09:27:00 $0.52 +3.38% - -1.92% +5.73% -2.77% +7.50% -2.79% +3.38% WIN
2023-12-08 09:26:00 $0.51 -3.83% - - -0.89% +6.88% +6.88% -4.78% -2.84% LOSS
2023-11-13 09:25:00 $0.58 -0.10% -1.39% -2.76% -0.70% +1380.98% +10.59% -5.76% +2.38% LOSS
2023-09-18 09:28:00 $0.4 -3.27% -3.27% -5.13% -4.17% +1332.29% -0.79% -3.27% -1.54% LOSS
2023-09-08 09:26:00 $0.39 +1.92% +7.00% - +4.98% +1524.52% +19.87% -2.43% -0.26% WIN
2023-08-11 09:27:00 $0.57 +1.83% +8.72% +8.83% +8.83% +8.39% +11.46% +1.81% +1.81% WIN
2023-07-13 09:28:00 $0.7 +0.09% -1.08% +1.78% +2.21% +1445.37% +18.98% -6.82% -6.82% WIN
2023-07-03 09:29:00 $0.58 -1.57% -0.76% - - +1386.53% +3.18% -5.25% +1.88% LOSS
2023-06-15 09:27:00 $0.56 -2.17% +1.59% +0.53% +1.62% +4.42% +7.33% -3.19% -3.19% LOSS
2023-03-09 09:25:00 $1.22 +0.82% -0.82% -2.16% - +1326.23% +2.89% -4.92% +0.82% WIN
2023-02-13 09:28:00 $1.18 +4.09% -4.24% +2.85% -1.69% +1400.00% +10.17% -5.93% +5.08% WIN
2022-12-15 09:25:00 $1.5 -2.67% -5.33% -4.35% -10.00% +1280.00% - -4.00% -4.00% LOSS
2022-09-06 09:25:00 $1.45 -2.76% -0.69% -4.31% -6.21% +1327.59% +0.69% +0.69% -1.38% LOSS
2022-04-21 09:25:00 $2.0 -2.00% -1.00% -2.00% -5.00% +1265.00% - -3.00% -1.00% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

πŸš€ Beat the 81.8% Baseline on MBRX

The 81.8% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push MBRX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MBRX Strategy β†’

Why Analyze MBRX with FILTRIX?

πŸ›‘οΈ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MBRX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

πŸ’° Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MBRX historically offers an average upside of +27.84% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

πŸ“Š MBRX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 81.8%, MBRX shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MBRX performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +625.84%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.