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MGX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 5 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-12-09 → 2025-01-23

⚠️ Small sample size (5 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Metagenomi Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES) (SIC 2836)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Feb 09, 2024 🔗 metagenomi.co
💰 Market Cap: $63.5M 👥 Employees: 124
Metagenomi Therapeutics Inc formerly, Metagenomi Inc is a genetic medicines company committed to developing curative therapeutics for patients using its proprietary, comprehensive metagenomics-derived genome editing toolbox. The genome editing toolbox includes systems for making small edits such as programmable nucleases, base editors, small RNA-mediated integration systems (RIGS), as well as large gene integration systems including large template RIGS and CRISPR-associated transposases (CASTs). The company is focused on its vivo gene editing for its wholly-owned pipeline while pursuing technology out licensing for ex vivo cell therapy. Its pipeline includes product candidates aimed at addressing disorders like Hemophilia A, Refractory Hypertension, Cardiovascular diseases, and others.
📊
5
Total Alerts
🎯
60.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+3.16%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+23.51%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +3.16%
Avg Winner: +6.89%
Avg Loser: -2.44%
Best: +10.24%
Worst: -3.16%
Trades: 3/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: +1.00%
Avg Winner: +6.87%
Avg Loser: -2.91%
Best: +12.99%
Worst: -3.53%
Trades: 2/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: +1.50%
Avg Winner: +10.69%
Avg Loser: -4.63%
Best: +13.14%
Worst: -8.87%
Trades: 2/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: +1.08%
Avg Winner: +7.79%
Avg Loser: -3.40%
Best: +9.45%
Worst: -6.00%
Trades: 2/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 20.0%
Avg Gain: +7.63%
Avg Winner: +64.17%
Avg Loser: -6.51%
Best: +64.17%
Worst: -12.22%
Trades: 1/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +23.51%
Best MFE: +75.98%
Avg Time to MFE: 111 min

On average, MGX alerts reach +23.51% profit potential within 111 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.63%
Worst MAE: -5.83%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.63%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

6.47:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 6.47x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, MGX typically reaches +23.51% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 18.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 5
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.80%
Best Gap +0.00%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How MGX compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MGX: +3.16% Sector: -0.41% +3.57%
EOD Gain
MGX: +7.63% Sector: +1233.50% -1225.87%
Avg MFE
MGX: +23.51% Sector: +6.69% +16.82%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MGX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-23 09:28:21 $3.08 -3.16% -2.60% -2.60% -3.74% -3.57% +3.25% -5.83% -1.30% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:27:28 $3.34 +0.27% +0.75% +8.23% +6.14% -9.28% +19.76% -4.79% - WIN
2024-12-11 09:26:57 $4.5 -1.73% -3.53% -2.43% -6.00% -12.22% +2.22% -1.56% -0.11% LOSS
2024-12-10 09:25:22 $4.23 +10.17% -2.60% -8.87% -0.47% -0.95% +16.31% -0.47% -0.24% WIN
2024-12-09 09:28:01 $2.54 +10.24% +12.99% +13.14% +9.45% +64.17% +75.98% -5.51% -2.36% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 60.0% Baseline on MGX

The 60.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push MGX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MGX Strategy →

Why Analyze MGX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MGX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MGX historically offers an average upside of +23.51% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MGX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, MGX shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MGX performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +3.16%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.