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NKTX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 12 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-04-25 → 2024-08-14

⚠️ Small sample size (12 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Nkarta, Inc. Common Stock PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (SIC 2834)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 10, 2020 🔗 www.nkartatx.com
💰 Market Cap: $176.9M 👥 Employees: 157
Nkarta Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company pioneering the development of allogeneic, off-the-shelf engineered natural killer (NK) cell therapies. The Company is engaged in leveraging the natural potent power of NK cells to identify and kill abnormal cells and recruit adaptive immune effectors to generate responses that are specific and durable. The company is combining its NK expansion platform technology with proprietary cell engineering technologies to generate an abundant supply of NK cells, engineer enhanced NK cell recognition of therapeutic targets, and improve persistence for sustained activity in the body for the treatment of cancer.
📊
12
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+1.84%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+23.55%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +1.84%
Avg Winner: +3.37%
Avg Loser: -1.22%
Best: +8.46%
Worst: -2.73%
Trades: 8/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 58.3%
Avg Gain: +2.17%
Avg Winner: +6.13%
Avg Loser: -3.37%
Best: +16.48%
Worst: -5.39%
Trades: 7/5

30MIN

Win Rate: 58.3%
Avg Gain: +1.80%
Avg Winner: +6.24%
Avg Loser: -4.41%
Best: +19.73%
Worst: -8.67%
Trades: 7/5

60MIN

Win Rate: 58.3%
Avg Gain: +3.33%
Avg Winner: +8.96%
Avg Loser: -4.56%
Best: +30.27%
Worst: -10.44%
Trades: 7/5

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +8.94%
Avg Winner: +26.97%
Avg Loser: -9.08%
Best: +113.61%
Worst: -16.59%
Trades: 6/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +23.55%
Best MFE: +168.71%
Avg Time to MFE: 163 min

On average, NKTX alerts reach +23.55% profit potential within 163 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.25%
Worst MAE: -8.15%
Avg Time to MAE: 18 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.25%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

7.25:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 7.25x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 12 alerts, NKTX typically reaches +23.55% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 18.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 12
Gap Up % 25.0%
Avg Gap -0.24%
Best Gap +2.22%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How NKTX compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
NKTX: +1.84% Sector: -0.32% +2.16%
EOD Gain
NKTX: +8.94% Sector: +4480411.22% -4480402.28%
Avg MFE
NKTX: +23.55% Sector: +7.56% +16.00%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NKTX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-08-14 09:25:23 $5.37 +7.17% +16.48% +5.03% +5.41% -4.47% +16.95% - +1.49% WIN
2024-03-25 09:29:39 $10.46 +5.65% +5.69% +5.40% +5.16% +0.29% +8.44% +0.05% +0.05% WIN
2023-10-24 09:26:00 $1.8 +8.46% +9.17% +4.44% +7.23% +8.89% +16.11% +0.56% +2.22% WIN
2023-10-23 09:29:00 $2.2 -2.73% -5.23% -4.00% -0.94% -16.59% +0.46% -6.82% -1.36% LOSS
2023-10-20 09:28:00 $2.35 +0.11% -0.84% +3.40% -2.98% -6.38% +7.02% -5.53% - WIN
2023-10-19 09:27:00 $2.71 +1.48% +1.84% +4.80% +3.27% -12.92% +8.86% -1.48% - WIN
2023-10-18 09:25:00 $3.19 -1.88% -5.33% -6.43% -4.73% -4.70% +4.08% -8.15% -0.63% LOSS
2023-10-17 09:28:00 $1.47 +1.36% +8.84% +19.73% +30.27% +113.61% +168.71% -1.36% - WIN
2022-12-05 09:25:00 $9.0 -0.22% -5.39% -8.67% -10.44% -9.44% +2.22% -5.67% -4.00% LOSS
2022-04-27 09:25:00 $17.03 -0.06% +0.82% +0.88% +0.06% +7.46% +13.92% -2.06% -0.18% LOSS
2022-04-26 09:25:00 $16.4 +2.07% -0.06% -1.65% -3.72% +2.38% +5.12% -5.52% -0.43% WIN
2022-04-25 09:25:00 $14.49 +0.62% +0.07% -1.31% +11.32% +29.19% +30.78% -3.04% - WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on NKTX

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push NKTX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize NKTX Strategy →

Why Analyze NKTX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NKTX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NKTX historically offers an average upside of +23.55% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NKTX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, NKTX shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show NKTX performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.84%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.