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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$OMER

Trade-Ideas alert history 9 alerts 2022-07-052023-10-16

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 9 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 08, 2009 🔗 www.omeros.com
💰 Market Cap: $775.9M 👥 Employees: 175
Omeros Corp is an inventive, commercial-stage biotechnology company that discovers and develops first-in-class protein and small-molecule therapeutics for large-market and orphan indications, with particular emphasis on complement-mediated diseases, cancers, and addictive or compulsive disorders. The company's clinical-stage development programs include: narsoplimab, its antibody targeting mannan-binding lectin-associated serine protease 2 (MASP-2), the effector enzyme of the lectin pathway of complement; OMS1029, its long-acting antibody targeting MASP-2; and OMS527, its phosphodiesterase 7 (PDE7) inhibitor program.
Total alerts
9
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
55.6%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
-0.62%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+12.26%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading OMER on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: -0.62%
Avg Winner: +1.77%
Avg Loser: -4.81%
Best: +4.44%
Worst: -9.84%
Trades: 5/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: -0.60%
Avg Winner: +5.60%
Avg Loser: -4.32%
Best: +10.81%
Worst: -11.76%
Trades: 3/5

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.76%
Avg Winner: +4.88%
Avg Loser: -6.40%
Best: +8.04%
Worst: -15.86%
Trades: 4/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.27%
Avg Winner: +6.20%
Avg Loser: -5.67%
Best: +10.36%
Worst: -12.77%
Trades: 4/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: +1.08%
Avg Winner: +17.49%
Avg Loser: -12.05%
Best: +38.74%
Worst: -23.70%
Trades: 4/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +12.26%
Best MFE: +53.15%
Avg Time to MFE: 124 min

On average, OMER alerts reach +12.26% profit potential within 124 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -4.20%
Worst MAE: -17.12%
Avg Time to MAE: 14 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.20%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.92:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.92x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 9 alerts, OMER typically reaches +12.26% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 9.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 9
Gap Up % 44.4%
Avg Gap -0.26%
Best Gap +0.77%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How OMER compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
OMER: -0.84% Sector: -0.32% -0.52%
EOD Gain
OMER: +4.40% Sector: +4480411.22% -4480406.82%
Avg MFE
OMER: +17.25% Sector: +7.56% +9.69%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical OMER alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-10-16 09:26:00 $1.11 -9.84% +10.81% +8.04% +7.66% +38.74% +53.15% -17.12% -1.80% LOSS
2023-02-17 09:28:00 $4.56 -1.32% - -0.88% -1.10% -1.75% +1.32% -3.07% - LOSS
2023-02-08 09:27:00 $5.14 +1.17% -2.55% -2.53% +1.36% +1.56% +2.72% -0.58% +0.39% WIN
2023-02-07 09:25:00 $4.78 +0.93% -1.67% +3.78% +10.36% +7.32% +13.39% -7.32% +0.42% WIN
2023-02-06 09:29:00 $4.07 +1.56% -3.60% -6.31% -3.69% +22.36% +24.73% -9.09% +0.74% WIN
2022-12-27 09:25:00 $2.82 -3.28% -11.76% -15.86% -12.77% -19.86% +0.35% -0.38% -2.84% LOSS
2022-10-10 09:25:00 $3.92 +0.77% -2.04% - -5.12% -14.03% +0.77% +0.77% +0.77% WIN
2022-09-27 09:25:00 $3.35 - +3.28% +1.79% - -0.90% +4.78% - - -
2022-07-05 09:25:00 $4.05 +4.44% +2.72% +5.93% +5.43% -23.70% +9.14% -0.99% - WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ OMER Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 55.6% win rate, OMER has -0.62% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making OMER profitable.

🔧 Fix OMER Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze OMER with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for OMER. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, OMER historically offers an average upside of +12.26% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 OMER Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.6%, OMER shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-4.81%) outweigh average wins (+1.77%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: OMER shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.62%). This suggests OMER is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.