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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$PALL

Trade-Ideas alerts 60.0% at 30-min n=70 2026-01-05 → 2026-09-28

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 70 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

abrdn Physical Palladium Shares ETF COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS (SIC 6221)
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Jan 08, 2010
Total alerts
70
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 30MIN
60.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 30MIN
-0.01%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.16%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading PALL on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.28%
Avg Loser: -0.26%
Best: +1.66%
Worst: -0.78%
Trades: 28/38

15MIN

Win Rate: 51.4%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.44%
Avg Loser: -0.49%
Best: +1.35%
Worst: -1.77%
Trades: 36/31

30MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.57%
Avg Loser: -0.87%
Best: +1.80%
Worst: -3.54%
Trades: 42/28

60MIN

Win Rate: 44.3%
Avg Gain: -0.16%
Avg Winner: +0.85%
Avg Loser: -0.96%
Best: +2.93%
Worst: -5.81%
Trades: 31/39

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 38.6%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +1.53%
Avg Loser: -1.42%
Best: +3.98%
Worst: -7.24%
Trades: 27/43

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.16%
Best MFE: +4.01%
Avg Time to MFE: 141 min

On average, PALL alerts reach +1.16% profit potential within 141 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.64%
Worst MAE: -4.72%
Avg Time to MAE: 28 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.64%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.83:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 70 alerts, PALL typically reaches +1.16% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 70
Gap Up % 34.3%
Avg Gap -0.05%
Best Gap +2.09%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS

How PALL compares to 57 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PALL: -0.03% Sector: -0.01% -0.02%
EOD Gain
PALL: -0.28% Sector: +163.64% -163.92%
Avg MFE
PALL: +1.16% Sector: +1.86% -0.70%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PALL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $21.95 -0.20% -0.05% +0.57% +0.30% +0.27% +1.09% -0.36% +0.05% LOSS
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $23.12 -0.65% -0.91% -0.52% -0.40% -0.52% -0.06% -1.60% -0.22% LOSS
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $22.89 +0.48% -0.11% -0.15% +0.26% +0.26% +0.74% -0.74% +0.48% WIN
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $23.84 -0.46% -0.38% -0.92% -1.05% -0.38% -0.06% -2.27% -0.55% LOSS
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $23.78 -0.04% -0.55% -0.76% -0.61% -0.38% +0.08% -0.04% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $23.51 +0.12% +0.31% +0.34% +0.55% -1.20% +0.76% -0.05% +0.29% WIN
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $24.8 +0.12% -0.02% -0.46% -0.18% -0.93% +0.68% -0.48% +0.04% WIN
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $24.83 -0.22% -0.97% -0.66% -0.46% -1.61% -0.16% -0.85% -0.85% LOSS
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $25.38 +0.10% -0.35% +0.04% -0.12% -0.28% +0.24% +0.08% +0.20% WIN
2026-09-03 09:25:00 $24.91 +0.08% -0.36% -0.24% +0.52% +3.53% +4.01% -0.56% +0.36% WIN
2026-09-02 09:25:00 $24.14 +0.13% +0.38% +0.91% +0.87% +1.82% +1.84% -0.25% +0.00% WIN
2026-09-01 09:25:00 $24.03 -0.16% -0.08% -0.12% +0.13% -1.45% +0.38% -0.37% +0.38% LOSS
2026-08-28 09:25:00 $26.09 +0.34% +0.80% +0.80% -0.73% -1.15% +2.15% -1.48% +0.38% WIN
2026-08-25 09:25:00 $23.89 +0.33% +0.59% +0.36% +0.90% +1.80% +1.84% -0.21% -0.21% WIN
2026-08-20 09:25:00 $24.1 +0.00% -0.26% -0.77% -0.37% +0.41% +0.75% -0.95% -0.25% LOSS
2026-08-19 09:25:00 $24.0 -0.14% +0.01% -0.10% -0.24% +0.97% +0.99% -0.41% -0.37% LOSS
2026-08-13 09:25:00 $23.95 +0.17% -0.04% +0.17% +0.02% -0.46% +0.58% -0.23% -0.13% WIN
2026-08-07 09:25:00 $24.91 +0.17% +0.71% +0.51% +0.27% +0.55% +1.27% -0.57% +0.07% WIN
2026-08-06 09:25:00 $24.91 +0.00% +0.32% -0.20% +0.43% -0.08% +1.00% -0.48% +0.00% LOSS
2026-08-05 09:25:00 $24.62 -0.16% +0.37% +0.93% +1.14% +0.81% +1.62% -0.24% -0.08% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ PALL Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 60.0% win rate, PALL has -0.01% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making PALL profitable.

🔧 Fix PALL Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze PALL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PALL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PALL historically offers an average upside of +1.16% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PALL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, PALL shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.87%) outweigh average wins (+0.57%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: PALL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.01%). This suggests PALL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.