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PEGA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-07-28 → 2022-07-28

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 19, 1996 🔗 www.pega.com
💰 Market Cap: $8.55B 👥 Employees: 5,406
Founded in 1983, Pegasystems provides a suite of solutions for customer engagement and business process management. The company's key offering is the Pega Infinity platform, which combines business process management with customer relationship management applications. The company focuses on enterprise-size customers in the financial, insurance, and healthcare industries.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+3.47%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+12.30%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.30%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.30%
Best: -2.30%
Worst: -2.30%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +3.47%
Avg Winner: +3.47%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +3.47%
Worst: +3.47%
Trades: 1/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +5.13%
Avg Winner: +5.13%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +5.13%
Worst: +5.13%
Trades: 1/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +4.49%
Avg Winner: +4.49%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +4.49%
Worst: +4.49%
Trades: 1/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +3.74%
Avg Winner: +3.74%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +3.74%
Worst: +3.74%
Trades: 1/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +12.30%
Best MFE: +12.30%
Avg Time to MFE: 139 min

On average, PEGA alerts reach +12.30% profit potential within 139 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.53%
Worst MAE: -3.53%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.53%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.48:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.48x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, PEGA typically reaches +12.30% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 9.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -1.19%
Best Gap -1.19%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION

How PEGA compares to 42 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PEGA: -2.30% Sector: -0.45% -1.85%
EOD Gain
PEGA: +3.74% Sector: +1109.54% -1105.80%
Avg MFE
PEGA: +12.30% Sector: +6.73% +5.57%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PEGA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-07-28 09:25:00 $38.79 -2.30% +3.47% +5.13% +4.49% +3.74% +12.30% -3.53% -1.19% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on PEGA

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push PEGA's performance to 75%+.

Optimize PEGA Strategy →

Why Analyze PEGA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PEGA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PEGA historically offers an average upside of +12.30% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PEGA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, PEGA shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show PEGA performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +3.47%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.