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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$PZZA

Trade-Ideas alerts 37.5% at 5-min n=8 2024-05-21 → 2026-08-06

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 8 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Papa John's International Inc RETAIL-EATING PLACES (SIC 5812)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 08, 1993 🔗 www.papajohns.com
💰 Market Cap: $639.7M 👥 Employees: 9,400
Papa John's International Inc operates and franchises pizza delivery and carryout restaurants and, in certain international markets, dine-in and delivery restaurants. It has four defined reportable segments: Domestic Company-owned restaurants, North America franchising, North America commissaries, and International. The company derives maximum revenue from North America commissaries segment. The North America commissaries segment consists of the operations of its regional dough production and product distribution centers in the United States and Canada and derives its revenues principally from the sale and distribution of food and paper products to Domestic Company-owned and franchised restaurants in the United States and Canada.
Total alerts
8
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
37.5%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
-0.46%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+2.19%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading PZZA on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: -0.46%
Avg Winner: +0.64%
Avg Loser: -1.13%
Best: +1.65%
Worst: -2.16%
Trades: 3/5

15MIN

Win Rate: 12.5%
Avg Gain: -1.37%
Avg Winner: +0.41%
Avg Loser: -1.62%
Best: +0.41%
Worst: -4.98%
Trades: 1/7

30MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -1.71%
Avg Winner: +0.70%
Avg Loser: -2.52%
Best: +0.75%
Worst: -5.70%
Trades: 2/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: -1.17%
Avg Winner: +0.90%
Avg Loser: -2.41%
Best: +1.47%
Worst: -4.89%
Trades: 3/5

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: -1.90%
Avg Winner: +2.17%
Avg Loser: -4.34%
Best: +3.10%
Worst: -6.95%
Trades: 3/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.19%
Best MFE: +3.97%
Avg Time to MFE: 161 min

On average, PZZA alerts reach +2.19% profit potential within 161 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.70%
Worst MAE: -3.53%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.70%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.29:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 8 alerts, PZZA typically reaches +2.19% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 8
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.28%
Best Gap +2.27%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-EATING PLACES

How PZZA compares to 31 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PZZA: -0.46% Sector: -0.04% -0.42%
EOD Gain
PZZA: -1.90% Sector: +4.42% -6.32%
Avg MFE
PZZA: +2.19% Sector: +3.17% -0.97%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PZZA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-08-06 09:25:00 $26.48 -0.47% -4.98% -5.29% -4.89% -6.95% +2.30% -0.45% +2.27% LOSS
2026-07-01 09:25:00 $34.86 +1.65% -1.72% -1.75% -1.00% +3.10% +3.70% -3.27% -0.80% WIN
2026-05-15 09:25:00 $36.31 -2.16% -3.06% -5.70% -4.78% -4.36% -0.21% -0.45% -0.62% LOSS
2026-04-27 09:25:00 $36.6 +0.11% +0.41% -0.98% -1.26% +1.99% +2.27% -2.02% +1.15% WIN
2026-03-24 09:25:00 $34.1 -0.23% -0.10% +0.75% +1.11% +1.41% +3.97% -0.59% -0.21% LOSS
2026-03-12 09:25:00 $38.25 -1.95% -1.15% -0.65% -0.10% -5.57% +0.34% -2.90% -0.65% LOSS
2026-02-26 09:25:00 $32.37 -0.81% -0.15% -0.72% +0.11% -4.50% +3.34% -3.53% +0.61% LOSS
2024-05-21 09:28:18 $49.23 +0.17% -0.17% +0.65% +1.47% -0.30% +1.83% -0.37% +0.51% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ PZZA Shows Negative Expectancy

With 37.5% win rate and -0.46% average gain, PZZA alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider PZZA for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze PZZA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PZZA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PZZA historically offers an average upside of +2.19% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PZZA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 37.5%, PZZA shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests PZZA may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: PZZA shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.46%). This suggests PZZA is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.