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SAP Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 34 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-14 → 2024-11-11

⚠️ Small sample size (34 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

SAP SE
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 18, 1995 🔗 www.sap.com
💰 Market Cap: $279.41B 👥 Employees: 108,133
Founded in Germany in 1972 by former IBM employees, SAP is the world's largest provider of enterprise application software. Known as the leader in enterprise resource planning software, SAP's portfolio also includes software for supply chain management, procurement, travel and expense management, and customer relationship management, among others. The company operates in more than 180 countries and has more than 400,000 customers, approximately 80% of which are small to medium-size enterprises.
📊
34
Total Alerts
🎯
52.9%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.08%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+0.93%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 47.1%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.17%
Avg Loser: -0.17%
Best: +0.64%
Worst: -0.80%
Trades: 16/18

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.1%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.40%
Avg Loser: -0.35%
Best: +1.08%
Worst: -0.79%
Trades: 16/17

30MIN

Win Rate: 52.9%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.50%
Avg Loser: -0.39%
Best: +1.20%
Worst: -1.31%
Trades: 18/16

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.68%
Avg Loser: -0.51%
Best: +1.47%
Worst: -1.47%
Trades: 17/17

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 41.2%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +1.27%
Avg Loser: -0.96%
Best: +3.15%
Worst: -3.24%
Trades: 14/20

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.93%
Best MFE: +3.16%
Avg Time to MFE: 162 min

On average, SAP alerts reach +0.93% profit potential within 162 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.32%
Worst MAE: -1.49%
Avg Time to MAE: 23 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.32%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.89:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.89x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 34 alerts, SAP typically reaches +0.93% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 34
Gap Up % 35.3%
Avg Gap -0.04%
Best Gap +0.31%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SAP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-11 09:25:20 $237.58 -0.07% -0.22% -0.25% -0.71% -0.72% -0.00% -0.16% -0.08% LOSS
2024-10-22 09:27:40 $236.84 +0.26% -0.53% -0.97% -0.67% -1.91% +0.37% -0.23% -0.18% WIN
2024-07-24 09:27:05 $211.8 +0.12% -0.13% -0.08% -0.42% -1.13% +0.25% -0.04% +0.02% WIN
2024-05-02 09:28:37 $181.15 +0.06% -0.06% -0.10% -0.36% -0.28% +0.27% +0.13% +0.19% WIN
2024-04-18 09:29:36 $180.0 -0.21% -0.61% -0.44% -0.16% -0.76% +0.46% -0.89% -0.05% LOSS
2024-03-07 09:28:49 $193.29 +0.02% +0.12% +0.32% +0.51% +1.18% +1.40% -0.09% -0.02% WIN
2023-12-20 09:28:00 $153.54 -0.09% -0.12% -0.12% -0.47% -1.56% +0.08% -0.12% -0.06% LOSS
2023-12-14 09:29:00 $156.66 -0.12% -0.71% -0.22% -0.62% -0.41% +0.32% -0.04% +0.01% LOSS
2023-12-11 09:28:00 $156.69 +0.45% +0.47% +0.37% +0.67% +1.56% +1.59% -0.11% -0.11% WIN
2023-10-13 09:25:00 $130.96 -0.31% -0.16% -0.39% -1.47% -1.66% -0.12% -0.65% -0.20% LOSS
2023-10-09 09:28:00 $129.0 -0.07% +0.50% +0.28% -0.19% +0.71% +0.73% -0.46% - LOSS
2023-09-15 09:29:00 $135.72 +0.01% -0.10% -0.12% -0.05% -0.35% +0.39% -0.52% +0.02% WIN
2023-08-18 09:27:00 $134.03 -0.13% +0.12% +0.11% +0.07% +0.99% +1.22% -0.29% -0.04% LOSS
2023-06-06 09:27:00 $132.32 -0.22% -0.20% -0.15% -0.20% -0.36% -0.02% -0.02% -0.12% LOSS
2023-05-22 09:26:00 $133.52 -0.07% +0.05% +0.06% +0.07% -0.17% +0.31% -0.14% -0.04% LOSS
2023-04-21 09:26:00 $132.38 -0.23% +1.08% +0.76% +1.47% +1.19% +1.71% -0.44% -0.19% LOSS
2023-04-13 09:28:00 $127.08 +0.23% +0.69% +0.49% +0.77% +0.76% +1.11% -0.02% -0.02% WIN
2023-03-13 09:27:00 $114.35 -0.09% -0.45% +0.52% +0.17% +0.59% +1.28% -0.62% -0.04% LOSS
2023-02-28 09:29:00 $114.93 -0.80% -0.40% -0.36% -0.41% -0.97% -0.08% -0.83% -0.75% LOSS
2023-02-03 09:25:00 $120.23 +0.17% +0.66% +0.69% +1.05% +0.33% +1.40% -0.16% -0.04% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 52.9% Baseline on SAP

The 52.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SAP's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SAP Strategy →

Why Analyze SAP with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SAP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SAP historically offers an average upside of +0.93% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SAP Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 52.9%, SAP shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SAP performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.08%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.