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PLTR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 759 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Palantir Technologies Inc. Class A Common Stock SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE (SIC 7372)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 30, 2020 🔗 www.palantir.com
💰 Market Cap: $404.23B 👥 Employees: 4,414
Palantir is an analytical software company that focuses on leveraging data to create efficiencies in its clients' organizations. The firm serves commercial and government clients via its Foundry and Gotham platforms, respectively. Palantir works only with entities in Western-allied nations and reserves the right not to work with anyone that is antithetical to Western values. The Denver-based company was founded in 2003 and went public in 2020.
📊
759
Total Alerts
🎯
53.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.10%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+2.73%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 49.6%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.80%
Avg Loser: -0.75%
Best: +3.60%
Worst: -5.89%
Trades: 375/368

15MIN

Win Rate: 51.4%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +1.29%
Avg Loser: -1.25%
Best: +5.65%
Worst: -7.27%
Trades: 389/363

30MIN

Win Rate: 53.0%
Avg Gain: +0.10%
Avg Winner: +1.55%
Avg Loser: -1.56%
Best: +8.54%
Worst: -8.58%
Trades: 401/351

60MIN

Win Rate: 51.3%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +1.95%
Avg Loser: -1.86%
Best: +11.77%
Worst: -8.15%
Trades: 388/359

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 49.4%
Avg Gain: +0.21%
Avg Winner: +2.84%
Avg Loser: -2.40%
Best: +21.58%
Worst: -10.68%
Trades: 375/377

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.73%
Best MFE: +21.99%
Avg Time to MFE: 125 min

On average, PLTR alerts reach +2.73% profit potential within 125 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.05%
Worst MAE: -20.33%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.05%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.59:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.59x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 759 alerts, PLTR typically reaches +2.73% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 759
Gap Up % 37.7%
Avg Gap -0.08%
Best Gap +4.09%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How PLTR compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PLTR: +0.03% Sector: -0.09% +0.13%
EOD Gain
PLTR: +0.21% Sector: +73.64% -73.43%
Avg MFE
PLTR: +2.73% Sector: +4.32% -1.60%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PLTR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:27:58 $117.79 +1.95% -0.35% +1.32% +2.15% +1.16% +2.44% -0.27% +0.09% WIN
2025-02-13 09:26:59 $117.13 +0.00% -1.05% -0.91% +0.54% +0.67% +1.08% -1.69% +0.15% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:29:57 $110.29 +2.14% +3.65% +4.03% +4.64% +6.44% +6.62% -0.26% - WIN
2025-02-11 09:25:46 $116.4 +1.61% +1.19% +0.52% -1.33% -3.25% +1.94% -0.64% +0.09% WIN
2025-02-10 09:28:32 $112.15 -2.05% -0.44% -0.35% +0.92% +4.01% +4.15% -3.06% -0.11% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:26:14 $111.72 +0.72% +1.08% +1.83% +1.82% -0.78% +4.10% -1.14% -0.05% WIN
2025-02-06 09:27:15 $100.87 +0.25% +2.66% +4.51% +6.61% +10.32% +10.58% -0.60% +0.22% WIN
2025-02-05 09:27:18 $101.42 +0.06% +0.18% +0.76% +0.37% -0.06% +2.12% -1.65% +0.35% WIN
2025-02-04 09:25:51 $102.7 -0.57% +1.45% +2.67% +2.17% +1.10% +4.10% -2.13% +0.10% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:29:30 $80.11 +0.19% -0.64% -0.51% -0.10% +4.53% +5.17% -2.05% +0.02% WIN
2025-01-31 09:27:01 $81.07 +2.50% +2.39% +3.28% +4.60% +1.75% +5.12% -0.25% -0.09% WIN
2025-01-30 09:26:47 $79.87 +0.16% +0.70% +1.39% +0.90% +1.69% +2.45% -0.61% +0.19% WIN
2025-01-29 09:29:05 $79.87 - -1.41% -1.64% -2.04% -0.14% +1.19% -0.03% +0.10% -
2025-01-28 09:27:22 $75.7 +0.51% -1.55% +0.15% +3.93% +5.98% +6.66% -2.19% -0.21% WIN
2025-01-27 09:28:32 $74.07 -0.15% +0.72% +2.81% +3.25% +1.85% +3.58% -1.89% - LOSS
2025-01-24 09:28:32 $79.03 +1.05% +1.96% +2.32% +3.63% -0.06% +4.06% -0.75% +0.03% WIN
2025-01-23 09:28:23 $76.05 +2.10% +2.05% +2.14% +2.21% +3.85% +3.88% -0.28% -0.01% WIN
2025-01-22 09:26:17 $74.86 -0.74% -0.31% +0.21% +1.07% +2.69% +3.07% -1.42% -0.48% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:28:34 $73.26 -1.21% -1.12% -1.11% -1.74% -0.26% +0.51% -3.63% -0.03% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:27:55 $70.99 -0.75% -0.15% -0.52% -0.93% +1.10% +1.90% -1.47% -0.13% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 53.0% Baseline on PLTR

The 53.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push PLTR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize PLTR Strategy →

Why Analyze PLTR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PLTR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PLTR historically offers an average upside of +2.73% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PLTR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 53.0%, PLTR shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show PLTR performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.10%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.