Latest signal:
MSFT Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 747 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, MSFT alerts reach +1.06% profit potential within 151 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.43%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.44x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 747 alerts, MSFT typically reaches +1.06% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
How MSFT compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical MSFT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-14 | 09:29:06 | $407.91 | +0.14% | -0.40% | -0.34% | -0.41% | +0.13% | +0.25% | -0.50% | -0.03% | WIN |
| 2025-02-13 | 09:25:35 | $408.33 | +0.01% | -0.41% | -0.24% | -0.16% | +0.54% | +0.65% | -0.48% | -0.33% | WIN |
| 2025-02-12 | 09:25:16 | $408.04 | -0.78% | -0.05% | +0.06% | +0.27% | +0.25% | +0.66% | -0.90% | -0.20% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-11 | 09:28:46 | $409.54 | +0.27% | +0.22% | +0.36% | +0.65% | +0.46% | +0.72% | -0.06% | +0.02% | WIN |
| 2025-02-10 | 09:29:48 | $413.76 | -0.24% | -0.18% | -0.30% | +0.08% | -0.37% | +0.41% | -0.49% | -0.01% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-07 | 09:26:27 | $416.71 | +0.07% | +0.39% | +0.14% | -0.84% | -1.67% | +0.47% | -0.30% | -0.06% | WIN |
| 2025-02-06 | 09:26:57 | $413.5 | +0.35% | +0.81% | +0.86% | +0.83% | +0.56% | +1.14% | -0.00% | +0.12% | WIN |
| 2025-02-05 | 09:25:32 | $410.17 | +0.53% | +0.76% | +0.28% | +0.39% | +0.76% | +0.89% | -0.00% | +0.53% | WIN |
| 2025-02-04 | 09:26:57 | $412.95 | -0.55% | -0.49% | -0.27% | +0.03% | -0.14% | +0.23% | -0.78% | -0.06% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-03 | 09:25:41 | $410.9 | +0.11% | +0.51% | +0.28% | +0.06% | +0.00% | +1.10% | -0.55% | +0.17% | WIN |
| 2025-01-31 | 09:26:08 | $419.0 | +0.05% | -0.28% | -0.08% | -0.27% | -0.94% | +0.40% | -0.58% | -0.00% | WIN |
| 2025-01-30 | 09:27:58 | $418.04 | -0.62% | +0.15% | +0.85% | -0.67% | -0.73% | +1.15% | -0.79% | +0.17% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-29 | 09:28:36 | $446.88 | -0.91% | -1.12% | -1.23% | -1.09% | -1.02% | +0.00% | -0.02% | -0.04% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-28 | 09:29:26 | $433.17 | +0.08% | +0.13% | +0.48% | +2.10% | +3.24% | +3.51% | -0.41% | +0.33% | WIN |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:26:24 | $422.5 | +0.63% | +1.15% | +1.57% | +1.78% | +2.85% | +3.18% | -0.02% | +0.36% | WIN |
| 2025-01-24 | 09:29:37 | $444.99 | -0.40% | +0.06% | -0.09% | -0.18% | -0.21% | +0.37% | -0.81% | +0.04% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-23 | 09:28:53 | $442.09 | +0.13% | +0.24% | +0.39% | +0.24% | +1.04% | +1.05% | -0.13% | -0.02% | WIN |
| 2025-01-22 | 09:29:25 | $437.84 | -0.09% | +0.01% | +0.79% | +0.44% | +1.91% | +2.15% | -0.42% | -0.06% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-21 | 09:27:42 | $429.32 | +0.11% | -0.64% | -0.61% | -0.22% | -0.19% | +0.37% | -0.87% | +0.20% | WIN |
| 2025-01-17 | 09:28:10 | $433.67 | -0.63% | -1.04% | -1.18% | -1.06% | -1.07% | +0.28% | -0.15% | +0.10% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
🚀 Beat the 52.7% Baseline on MSFT
The 52.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push MSFT's performance to 75%+.
Optimize MSFT Strategy →Why Analyze MSFT with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MSFT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, MSFT historically offers an average upside of +1.06% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 MSFT Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 52.7%, MSFT shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MSFT performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.02%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.