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Latest signal:

SU Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 31 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-04 → 2023-04-04

⚠️ Small sample size (31 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Suncor Energy, Inc.
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Dec 01, 1993 🔗 www.suncor.com
💰 Market Cap: $61.47B 👥 Employees: 15,010
Suncor Energy Inc is an integrated energy company. The company's operations include oil sands development, production and upgrading, offshore oil production, petroleum refining in Canada and the U.S., and the company's Petro-Canada retail and wholesale distribution networks. The company is developing petroleum resources while advancing the transition to a low-emissions future through investment in power, and renewable fuels. It also conducts energy trading activities focused principally on the marketing and trading of crude oil, natural gas, byproducts, refined products and power. The company's operating segments include Oil Sands, Exploration & Production, Refining & Marketing (R&M), and Corporate & eliminations. Geographically, the company generates a majority of its revenue from Canada.
📊
31
Total Alerts
🎯
54.8%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.14%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+1.71%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 41.9%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.55%
Avg Loser: -0.48%
Best: +1.61%
Worst: -1.22%
Trades: 13/18

15MIN

Win Rate: 41.9%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.87%
Avg Loser: -0.73%
Best: +2.16%
Worst: -1.91%
Trades: 13/18

30MIN

Win Rate: 54.8%
Avg Gain: +0.14%
Avg Winner: +0.97%
Avg Loser: -0.88%
Best: +2.80%
Worst: -2.78%
Trades: 17/14

60MIN

Win Rate: 51.6%
Avg Gain: +0.28%
Avg Winner: +1.53%
Avg Loser: -1.14%
Best: +3.37%
Worst: -2.51%
Trades: 16/14

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +1.85%
Avg Loser: -1.84%
Best: +6.40%
Worst: -3.74%
Trades: 15/14

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.71%
Best MFE: +6.55%
Avg Time to MFE: 136 min

On average, SU alerts reach +1.71% profit potential within 136 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.93%
Worst MAE: -2.88%
Avg Time to MAE: 16 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.93%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.84:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 31 alerts, SU typically reaches +1.71% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 31
Gap Up % 45.2%
Avg Gap -0.03%
Best Gap +1.11%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SU alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-04-04 09:29:00 $33.3 -0.12% -0.60% -1.20% -1.95% -2.76% +0.30% -0.03% +0.01% LOSS
2023-04-03 09:28:00 $32.6 -1.01% +0.58% +0.58% +1.47% +1.29% +1.84% -2.61% -0.64% LOSS
2023-03-17 09:26:00 $29.03 -0.17% -0.28% +0.24% -0.38% -0.90% +1.00% -0.65% +0.45% LOSS
2022-11-15 09:25:00 $36.07 +0.70% +0.44% +1.03% +2.02% +2.63% +3.19% -0.30% +0.44% WIN
2022-11-09 09:25:00 $35.69 -0.45% -0.84% -0.67% -0.03% -3.42% +0.36% -1.12% -0.34% LOSS
2022-10-28 09:25:00 $33.78 -0.89% -0.70% -0.12% -1.63% -0.21% +0.03% -1.48% -0.59% LOSS
2022-09-26 09:25:00 $27.02 -0.44% -0.07% -0.11% +2.37% -1.37% +2.59% -1.18% -0.22% LOSS
2022-09-02 09:25:00 $32.05 +0.37% -0.59% -0.19% +0.59% -0.75% +0.81% -0.03% -0.06% WIN
2022-07-22 09:25:00 $31.32 +0.10% +0.13% -0.42% +0.06% -1.60% +0.89% -0.45% +0.16% WIN
2022-07-21 09:25:00 $31.04 +0.35% -0.48% +0.23% -2.46% +1.06% +1.16% -2.77% -0.16% WIN
2022-07-20 09:25:00 $31.6 -0.28% -0.42% -0.66% -0.66% +0.92% +1.49% -1.71% +0.22% LOSS
2022-07-19 09:25:00 $30.86 -0.32% +1.65% +1.12% +2.24% +3.27% +3.47% -1.17% -0.84% LOSS
2022-07-18 09:25:00 $31.81 -0.68% -1.35% -0.82% -1.16% -3.74% +0.13% -0.94% -0.41% LOSS
2022-07-15 09:25:00 $30.08 +0.60% -0.53% +0.20% +0.42% +0.37% +1.00% -1.60% +0.20% WIN
2022-07-14 09:25:00 $29.53 -0.14% -1.15% -1.05% -2.51% - +0.74% -0.07% -0.24% LOSS
2022-07-07 09:25:00 $33.3 +1.61% +1.08% +1.50% +0.69% +0.15% +1.89% -0.57% +1.11% WIN
2022-06-22 09:25:00 $34.4 +0.76% +0.61% +1.38% +3.37% +2.38% +4.32% -0.73% - WIN
2022-06-21 09:25:00 $36.52 +1.18% +1.01% +1.96% +1.55% +2.00% +2.99% -0.85% +0.85% WIN
2022-05-17 09:25:00 $37.79 +0.29% +0.37% +0.48% +0.90% +1.48% +2.81% -0.40% +0.13% WIN
2022-04-28 09:25:00 $34.67 -0.17% +2.16% +2.80% +3.14% +6.40% +6.55% -1.59% -0.84% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 54.8% Baseline on SU

The 54.8% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SU's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SU Strategy →

Why Analyze SU with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SU. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SU historically offers an average upside of +1.71% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SU Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 54.8%, SU shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SU performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.14%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.