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XOM Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 462 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-03

🏢 Company Profile

Exxon Mobil Corporation PETROLEUM REFINING (SIC 2911)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Mar 25, 1920 🔗 www.exxonmobil.com
💰 Market Cap: $569.19B 👥 Employees: 60,900
ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2024, it produced 3.0 million barrels of liquids and 8.1 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2024, reserves were 19.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.3 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.
📊
462
Total Alerts
🎯
54.9%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.13%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+1.30%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 53.1%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.36%
Avg Loser: -0.37%
Best: +1.93%
Worst: -7.39%
Trades: 245/211

15MIN

Win Rate: 53.8%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.68%
Avg Loser: -0.57%
Best: +2.13%
Worst: -3.26%
Trades: 248/208

30MIN

Win Rate: 54.7%
Avg Gain: +0.13%
Avg Winner: +0.80%
Avg Loser: -0.67%
Best: +2.95%
Worst: -4.10%
Trades: 252/209

60MIN

Win Rate: 54.9%
Avg Gain: +0.13%
Avg Winner: +0.90%
Avg Loser: -0.79%
Best: +4.79%
Worst: -3.90%
Trades: 253/207

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 51.3%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +1.27%
Avg Loser: -1.16%
Best: +5.38%
Worst: -6.16%
Trades: 237/223

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.30%
Best MFE: +6.27%
Avg Time to MFE: 136 min

On average, XOM alerts reach +1.30% profit potential within 136 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.49%
Worst MAE: -11.80%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.49%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.64:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.64x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 462 alerts, XOM typically reaches +1.30% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 462
Gap Up % 48.7%
Avg Gap +0.00%
Best Gap +1.57%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PETROLEUM REFINING

How XOM compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
XOM: +0.02% Sector: -0.01% +0.03%
EOD Gain
XOM: +0.10% Sector: +0.04% +0.06%
Avg MFE
XOM: +1.30% Sector: +1.50% -0.20%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical XOM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-03 09:26:26 $106.5 +0.05% -0.69% -0.46% -0.05% +0.55% +0.75% -1.11% +0.13% WIN
2025-01-31 09:28:29 $109.87 -1.32% -1.18% -2.47% -1.97% -2.77% +0.62% +0.05% +0.62% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:27:00 $110.69 -0.40% -0.09% -1.00% -1.34% -2.39% +0.16% -0.89% -0.25% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:27:34 $108.42 +0.69% +0.49% +0.44% +0.96% +1.61% +1.87% -0.03% +0.54% WIN
2025-01-21 09:27:33 $112.1 -0.44% -0.75% -0.44% -0.57% -0.56% +0.07% -0.86% -0.04% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:28:45 $110.17 +0.36% +0.54% +0.54% +0.60% +1.22% +1.42% -0.64% -0.11% WIN
2025-01-10 09:26:30 $108.54 +0.42% +0.55% -0.08% -0.98% -1.84% +1.44% -0.49% +0.15% WIN
2025-01-07 09:26:08 $108.8 -0.06% -0.32% -0.04% +0.77% -0.05% +1.16% -0.48% +0.13% LOSS
2025-01-03 09:26:57 $108.13 -0.19% -0.06% -0.57% - -0.25% +0.33% -0.62% -0.12% LOSS
2024-12-24 09:25:28 $106.6 -0.37% -0.61% -0.60% +0.19% -0.19% +0.55% -0.84% -0.07% LOSS
2024-12-23 09:25:58 $105.52 - +0.19% -0.13% -0.10% +0.74% +1.02% -0.57% -0.20% -
2024-12-19 09:28:18 $106.9 +0.16% -0.07% +0.18% -0.07% -1.30% +0.72% -0.10% +0.46% WIN
2024-12-17 09:27:03 $107.69 -0.34% -0.74% -0.12% -0.19% +0.30% +0.45% -0.84% -0.42% LOSS
2024-12-16 09:29:07 $110.5 -0.43% -0.71% -0.56% -0.50% -1.84% -0.09% -0.86% -0.27% LOSS
2024-12-11 09:26:12 $111.94 +0.06% -0.11% +0.01% -0.33% -0.02% +0.40% -0.06% +0.05% WIN
2024-11-06 09:28:21 $121.13 +0.52% -1.20% -0.91% +0.17% -0.11% +0.64% -0.06% +0.01% WIN
2024-11-01 09:27:21 $119.67 -0.51% -0.98% -2.03% -1.99% -3.94% +0.28% +0.11% +0.22% LOSS
2024-10-28 09:25:09 $116.97 +0.08% +0.45% +0.50% +0.88% +1.65% +1.74% -0.17% -0.15% WIN
2024-10-15 09:25:02 $120.69 +0.44% -0.33% -0.36% -0.18% -0.28% +1.04% -0.09% +0.11% WIN
2024-10-09 09:28:28 $120.89 +0.19% +0.73% +0.35% +0.36% +0.99% +1.40% -0.18% +0.01% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 54.9% Baseline on XOM

The 54.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push XOM's performance to 75%+.

Optimize XOM Strategy →

Why Analyze XOM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for XOM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, XOM historically offers an average upside of +1.30% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 XOM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 54.9%, XOM shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show XOM performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.13%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.