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CVX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 203 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-13

🏢 Company Profile

Chevron Corporation PETROLEUM REFINING (SIC 2911)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jan 02, 1970 🔗 www.chevron.com
💰 Market Cap: $333.33B 👥 Employees: 45,298
Chevron is an integrated energy company with exploration, production, and refining operations worldwide. It is the second-largest oil company in the United States with production of 3.0 million of barrels of oil equivalent a day, including 7.7 million cubic feet a day of natural gas and 1.7 million of barrels of liquids a day. Production activities take place in North America, South America, Europe, Africa, Asia, and Australia. Its refineries are in the US and Asia for total refining capacity of 1.8 million barrels of oil a day. Proven reserves at year-end 2024 stood at 9.8 billion barrels of oil equivalent, including 5.1 billion barrels of liquids and 28.4 trillion cubic feet of natural gas.
📊
203
Total Alerts
🎯
56.2%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.17%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.24%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.30%
Avg Loser: -0.37%
Best: +1.36%
Worst: -1.73%
Trades: 101/100

15MIN

Win Rate: 51.5%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.60%
Avg Loser: -0.59%
Best: +2.40%
Worst: -3.24%
Trades: 104/98

30MIN

Win Rate: 53.0%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.79%
Avg Loser: -0.72%
Best: +3.01%
Worst: -3.85%
Trades: 107/95

60MIN

Win Rate: 55.9%
Avg Gain: +0.14%
Avg Winner: +0.92%
Avg Loser: -0.85%
Best: +3.96%
Worst: -3.32%
Trades: 113/89

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 56.2%
Avg Gain: +0.17%
Avg Winner: +1.25%
Avg Loser: -1.22%
Best: +5.61%
Worst: -5.00%
Trades: 114/88

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.24%
Best MFE: +6.06%
Avg Time to MFE: 149 min

On average, CVX alerts reach +1.24% profit potential within 149 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.54%
Worst MAE: -2.71%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.54%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.32:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.32x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 203 alerts, CVX typically reaches +1.24% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 203
Gap Up % 45.3%
Avg Gap -0.03%
Best Gap +1.14%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PETROLEUM REFINING

How CVX compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CVX: -0.03% Sector: -0.01% -0.02%
EOD Gain
CVX: +0.17% Sector: +0.04% +0.12%
Avg MFE
CVX: +1.24% Sector: +1.50% -0.26%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CVX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-13 09:25:11 $155.03 -0.16% -0.39% -0.15% -0.15% +0.55% +0.90% -1.10% -0.16% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:27:24 $154.0 +0.56% +0.01% -0.44% -0.68% -1.36% +0.81% +0.12% +0.14% WIN
2025-01-31 09:27:53 $154.4 -0.99% -1.61% -2.69% -3.32% -3.37% +0.01% -0.26% -0.41% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:27:37 $155.62 +0.33% +0.06% +0.16% +0.84% +1.03% +1.46% -0.06% +0.46% WIN
2025-01-16 09:29:10 $157.78 +1.09% +1.21% +0.92% +0.63% +1.01% +1.34% +0.16% +0.16% WIN
2025-01-15 09:28:15 $157.31 -0.05% +0.20% +0.24% +0.50% +0.65% +0.88% -0.59% -0.28% LOSS
2025-01-07 09:29:51 $148.4 -0.03% -0.44% +0.08% +1.11% +0.80% +1.42% -0.52% +0.07% LOSS
2025-01-02 09:29:49 $145.65 +0.68% +1.05% +1.15% +1.33% +0.73% +1.66% -0.12% -0.12% WIN
2024-12-20 09:26:28 $141.08 +0.10% -0.29% +0.21% +0.06% +1.25% +1.23% -0.38% -0.18% WIN
2024-12-17 09:28:30 $148.77 -0.72% -0.72% -0.40% -0.55% -0.44% -0.08% -1.25% -0.52% LOSS
2024-12-16 09:29:38 $154.0 -0.65% -1.03% -0.90% -1.06% -3.01% -0.07% -0.68% -0.07% LOSS
2024-11-26 09:26:43 $162.25 +0.09% -0.23% +0.06% -0.10% +0.17% +0.43% -0.52% +0.04% WIN
2024-11-13 09:29:33 $155.99 +0.16% -0.33% -0.79% -0.12% +1.75% +1.94% -0.94% +0.05% WIN
2024-11-06 09:28:15 $155.8 +0.96% +0.62% +0.89% +1.39% +1.23% +1.80% +0.21% +0.83% WIN
2024-11-01 09:29:59 $152.73 +1.36% +1.58% +1.73% +1.34% +0.22% +2.10% -0.67% -0.16% WIN
2024-10-28 09:28:36 $148.5 +0.44% +0.46% +0.86% +1.14% +1.37% +1.48% -0.23% -0.17% WIN
2024-10-15 09:28:44 $148.47 +0.50% +0.13% +0.17% +0.48% -0.50% +1.00% -0.15% +0.22% WIN
2024-10-04 09:26:01 $152.35 -0.14% -0.37% -0.42% -0.70% -1.06% +0.10% +0.07% +0.09% LOSS
2024-09-27 09:27:23 $142.33 +0.72% +1.11% +1.33% +1.95% +2.22% +2.42% +0.02% +0.46% WIN
2024-09-26 09:25:09 $140.83 -0.09% +1.02% +0.53% +1.41% +0.82% +1.70% -0.31% +0.05% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 56.2% Baseline on CVX

The 56.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CVX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CVX Strategy →

Why Analyze CVX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CVX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CVX historically offers an average upside of +1.24% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CVX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 56.2%, CVX shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CVX performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.17%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.