Latest signal:
BP Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 549 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, BP alerts reach +0.86% profit potential within 140 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.42%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.04x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 549 alerts, BP typically reaches +0.86% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical BP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-14 | 09:27:16 | $35.22 | +0.21% | +0.77% | +0.45% | -0.06% | -0.62% | +0.92% | -0.03% | +0.23% | WIN |
| 2025-02-13 | 09:27:11 | $34.66 | -0.06% | +0.09% | +0.17% | +0.56% | -0.49% | +1.67% | -0.27% | +0.06% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-12 | 09:25:33 | $34.12 | +0.48% | +0.59% | +1.36% | +1.85% | +1.64% | +2.84% | +0.03% | +0.62% | WIN |
| 2025-02-11 | 09:29:25 | $34.33 | -0.61% | -0.52% | -0.03% | +0.01% | +0.64% | +1.46% | -1.28% | -0.23% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-10 | 09:25:05 | $34.22 | +0.18% | +0.69% | +0.70% | +0.19% | +0.58% | +2.02% | -0.26% | -0.09% | WIN |
| 2025-02-06 | 09:29:08 | $32.19 | +0.22% | +0.31% | -0.02% | -0.50% | -0.71% | +0.59% | -0.22% | +0.09% | WIN |
| 2025-02-05 | 09:29:12 | $31.91 | -0.22% | -0.50% | -0.38% | -0.69% | -0.75% | +0.06% | -0.25% | -0.09% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-28 | 09:27:39 | $31.52 | -0.11% | - | -0.49% | -1.02% | -1.14% | +0.22% | -0.22% | - | LOSS |
| 2025-01-21 | 09:28:56 | $31.56 | -0.35% | -0.63% | -0.35% | -0.51% | -0.13% | +0.22% | -0.73% | -0.16% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-17 | 09:29:33 | $31.91 | +0.09% | +0.30% | +0.53% | +0.50% | -0.69% | +0.88% | -0.22% | +0.06% | WIN |
| 2025-01-15 | 09:27:42 | $31.2 | - | -0.06% | - | +0.14% | +0.32% | +0.54% | -0.71% | +0.06% | - |
| 2025-01-14 | 09:26:00 | $30.61 | +0.67% | +0.57% | +0.65% | -0.05% | +1.57% | +1.91% | -0.16% | -0.03% | WIN |
| 2025-01-13 | 09:26:22 | $31.07 | +0.26% | +0.80% | +0.90% | +1.29% | +0.48% | +1.54% | -0.06% | +0.10% | WIN |
| 2025-01-10 | 09:29:23 | $31.8 | +0.31% | -0.25% | -0.08% | -0.55% | -1.60% | +0.50% | +0.03% | +0.16% | WIN |
| 2025-01-08 | 09:29:02 | $31.1 | -0.11% | +0.06% | +0.19% | +0.29% | +0.06% | +0.80% | -0.39% | -0.10% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-06 | 09:27:06 | $30.76 | +0.33% | +0.72% | +1.17% | +1.19% | +0.85% | +1.33% | -0.03% | +0.20% | WIN |
| 2025-01-03 | 09:29:02 | $30.38 | -0.07% | +0.10% | +0.15% | +0.25% | +0.30% | +0.44% | -0.31% | -0.13% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-31 | 09:25:01 | $29.31 | +0.14% | +0.44% | +0.85% | +0.68% | +0.85% | +1.19% | -0.38% | +0.03% | WIN |
| 2024-12-17 | 09:29:58 | $28.97 | - | -0.07% | -0.02% | +0.15% | +0.38% | +0.52% | -0.38% | -0.07% | - |
| 2024-12-16 | 09:29:54 | $29.55 | -0.36% | -0.73% | -0.78% | -0.69% | -2.03% | -0.05% | -0.27% | -0.10% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ BP Shows Negative Expectancy
With 47.9% win rate and -0.05% average gain, BP alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider BP for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze BP with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, BP historically offers an average upside of +0.86% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 BP Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 47.9%, BP shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests BP may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: BP shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.05%). This suggests BP is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.