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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$BP

Trade-Ideas alerts 50.9% at 60-min n=715 2022-01-03 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Mar 23, 1970 🔗 www.bp.com
💰 Market Cap: $115.35B 👥 Employees: 93,700
BP is an integrated energy company that explores for, produces, and refines oil and gas around the world. In 2025, it produced 1.2 million barrels of liquids and 6.5 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2025, proved hydrocarbon reserves stood at 6.2 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 56% of which are liquids. The company operates refineries with a total crude distillation capacity of 1.56 million barrels of oil per day.
Total alerts
715
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 60MIN
50.9%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 60MIN
-0.01%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+0.91%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading BP on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.2%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.23%
Avg Loser: -0.24%
Best: +1.59%
Worst: -1.16%
Trades: 316/369

15MIN

Win Rate: 48.7%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.42%
Avg Loser: -0.42%
Best: +1.72%
Worst: -2.60%
Trades: 348/353

30MIN

Win Rate: 48.1%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.54%
Avg Loser: -0.50%
Best: +2.61%
Worst: -2.22%
Trades: 344/361

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.9%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.59%
Avg Loser: -0.64%
Best: +3.05%
Worst: -2.60%
Trades: 364/348

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 49.4%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.93%
Avg Loser: -0.94%
Best: +4.14%
Worst: -4.96%
Trades: 353/357

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.91%
Best MFE: +4.63%
Avg Time to MFE: 140 min

On average, BP alerts reach +0.91% profit potential within 140 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.40%
Worst MAE: -3.00%
Avg Time to MAE: 18 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.40%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.28:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.28x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 715 alerts, BP typically reaches +0.91% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 715
Gap Up % 44.8%
Avg Gap -0.01%
Best Gap +1.79%

🏭 Sector Comparison: Petroleum Refining

How BP compares to 15 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BP: -0.02% Sector: -0.00% -0.02%
EOD Gain
BP: -0.01% Sector: +0.07% -0.08%
Avg MFE
BP: +0.91% Sector: +1.45% -0.54%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $43.95 +0.32% +0.98% +1.49% +0.73% +1.91% +2.13% -0.07% +0.23% WIN
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $43.54 +0.69% +1.10% +1.56% +2.01% +2.20% +2.41% -0.09% +0.07% WIN
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $43.51 -0.11% +0.41% +0.48% +0.69% +1.10% +2.09% -0.17% -0.02% LOSS
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $43.42 -0.02% +0.21% +0.76% +0.98% +0.23% +1.43% -0.18% -0.15% LOSS
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $44.84 -0.38% -0.80% -0.51% -0.22% -0.91% +0.68% -0.83% -0.10% LOSS
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $43.96 +0.10% +0.33% +0.17% +0.27% +0.44% +1.16% -0.10% +0.12% WIN
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $45.02 -0.20% +0.47% +0.74% +0.61% -1.34% +1.18% -0.28% -0.03% LOSS
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $43.85 -0.02% +0.57% +1.08% +1.19% +1.46% +1.64% -0.50% -0.07% LOSS
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $42.78 -0.34% -0.33% +0.44% +1.11% +0.75% +1.91% -0.72% -0.16% LOSS
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $44.7 -0.16% -1.50% -1.60% -2.19% -3.45% +0.09% -0.16% +0.02% LOSS
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $44.79 +0.04% +0.22% +0.22% +0.37% -0.47% +0.63% -0.25% -0.21% WIN
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $45.07 -0.09% +0.35% +0.75% +0.07% +0.78% +1.46% -0.16% -0.02% LOSS
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $46.68 -0.19% -0.48% -1.15% -1.33% -2.78% +0.24% -0.33% +0.09% LOSS
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $46.0 +0.17% +1.17% +1.32% +1.73% +2.09% +2.25% -0.33% -0.10% WIN
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $46.6 +0.00% -0.32% +0.04% +0.08% -1.44% +0.43% -0.49% +0.09% LOSS
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $45.91 +0.35% -0.01% +0.73% +0.22% +0.41% +1.00% -0.31% +0.23% WIN
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $46.26 -0.29% -0.42% -1.01% -1.59% -0.38% +0.09% -0.34% -0.27% LOSS
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $45.8 +0.04% -0.29% -0.56% -0.61% -0.26% +0.19% -0.17% -0.01% WIN
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $44.82 +0.36% +0.81% +0.51% +0.80% +0.13% +1.29% -0.04% +0.09% WIN
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $43.66 +0.13% -1.26% -0.92% -0.05% +0.34% +0.79% -1.65% +0.23% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ BP Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 50.9% win rate, BP has -0.01% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making BP profitable.

🔧 Fix BP Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze BP with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BP historically offers an average upside of +0.91% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BP Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.9%, BP shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.64%) outweigh average wins (+0.59%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: BP shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.01%). This suggests BP is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.