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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$TARA

Trade-Ideas alert history 4 alerts 2024-04-052024-12-10

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 4 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Protara Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DIAGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES) (SIC 2836)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jan 10, 2020 🔗 www.protaratx.com
💰 Market Cap: $283.6M 👥 Employees: 51
Protara Therapeutics Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on advancing its therapies for the treatment of cancer and rare diseases. Its drug development pipeline includes: TARA-002, an investigational cell therapy in development for the treatment of non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) and lymphatic malformations (LMs); and IV Choline Chloride, an investigational phospholipid substrate replacement therapy, for patients receiving parenteral support, or PS, which includes both nutrition and fluids.
Total alerts
4
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
75.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
-0.06%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+10.04%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading TARA on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +1.35%
Avg Loser: -4.30%
Best: +1.81%
Worst: -4.30%
Trades: 3/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -3.37%
Avg Winner: +1.38%
Avg Loser: -8.12%
Best: +2.45%
Worst: -8.86%
Trades: 2/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -6.58%
Avg Winner: +0.32%
Avg Loser: -8.88%
Best: +0.32%
Worst: -16.48%
Trades: 1/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -11.88%
Avg Winner: +0.32%
Avg Loser: -15.94%
Best: +0.32%
Worst: -27.95%
Trades: 1/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -13.46%
Avg Winner: +6.29%
Avg Loser: -20.05%
Best: +6.29%
Worst: -37.23%
Trades: 1/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +10.04%
Best MFE: +16.37%
Avg Time to MFE: 80 min

On average, TARA alerts reach +10.04% profit potential within 80 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.74%
Worst MAE: -9.17%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.74%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.69:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.69x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, TARA typically reaches +10.04% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 8.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.24%
Best Gap +1.80%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How TARA compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TARA: -0.06% Sector: -0.41% +0.35%
EOD Gain
TARA: -13.46% Sector: +1233.50% -1246.97%
Avg MFE
TARA: +10.04% Sector: +6.69% +3.35%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TARA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-10 09:28:14 $6.26 +1.12% +0.32% +0.32% +0.32% -0.16% +3.04% -1.60% +0.64% WIN
2024-12-06 09:27:58 $5.56 -4.30% -7.37% -5.13% -1.26% +6.29% +16.37% -9.17% +1.80% LOSS
2024-12-05 09:29:06 $9.59 +1.12% -8.86% -16.48% -27.95% -37.23% +9.28% -4.17% -1.46% WIN
2024-04-05 09:28:49 $4.7 +1.81% +2.45% -5.04% -18.62% -22.77% +11.49% - - WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ TARA Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 75.0% win rate, TARA has -0.06% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making TARA profitable.

🔧 Fix TARA Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze TARA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TARA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TARA historically offers an average upside of +10.04% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TARA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 75.0%, TARA shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-4.30%) outweigh average wins (+1.35%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: TARA shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.06%). This suggests TARA is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.