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TIL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-10-31 → 2024-07-12

⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 19, 2021 🔗 www.instilbio.com
💰 Market Cap: $48.4M 👥 Employees: 14
Instil Bio Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing a cell therapy pipeline of autologous tumor infiltrating lymphocyte, or TIL, therapies for the treatment of patients with cancer. It is also engaged in developing a novel class of genetically engineered TIL therapies using its Co-Stimulatory Antigen Receptor, or CoStAR, platform. Its pipeline includes ITIL-306 which expresses a CoStAR molecule designed to recognize, a tumor-associated antigen that is expressed on numerous solid tumors, including ovarian cancer, uterine cancer, NSCLC, and renal cancer.
📊
6
Total Alerts
🎯
83.3%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+1224.02%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+5.13%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.68%
Avg Winner: +1.98%
Avg Loser: -1.92%
Best: +5.41%
Worst: -2.96%
Trades: 4/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.73%
Avg Winner: +1.00%
Avg Loser: -2.45%
Best: +1.86%
Worst: -4.29%
Trades: 3/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.49%
Avg Winner: +2.81%
Avg Loser: -1.83%
Best: +7.16%
Worst: -4.29%
Trades: 3/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.16%
Avg Winner: +4.12%
Avg Loser: -4.45%
Best: +11.75%
Worst: -7.14%
Trades: 3/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 83.3%
Avg Gain: +1224.02%
Avg Winner: +1469.91%
Avg Loser: -5.44%
Best: +1903.24%
Worst: -5.44%
Trades: 5/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.13%
Best MFE: +14.90%
Avg Time to MFE: 122 min

On average, TIL alerts reach +5.13% profit potential within 122 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.34%
Worst MAE: -2.96%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.34%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.82:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.82x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, TIL typically reaches +5.13% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 6
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.66%
Best Gap +1.00%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How TIL compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TIL: +0.68% Sector: -0.41% +1.10%
EOD Gain
TIL: +1224.02% Sector: +1233.50% -9.48%
Avg MFE
TIL: +5.13% Sector: +6.69% -1.56%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TIL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-07-12 09:28:21 $12.02 +5.41% +0.67% +0.25% +0.00% +5.82% +10.15% -0.17% +1.00% WIN
2023-06-29 09:25:00 $0.56 -0.88% -0.91% -0.90% -0.68% +1903.24% +1.35% -1.80% -0.88% LOSS
2023-05-10 09:26:00 $0.68 +0.24% +0.46% +1.02% +0.62% +1871.01% +1.33% - +0.59% WIN
2023-03-01 09:26:00 $0.81 -2.96% -4.29% -4.29% -5.52% +1755.21% -2.96% -2.96% -2.96% LOSS
2023-01-09 09:25:00 $0.7 +1.57% -2.14% -0.29% -7.14% +1814.29% +6.01% -1.41% - WIN
2022-10-31 09:25:00 $3.49 +0.72% +1.86% +7.16% +11.75% -5.44% +14.90% -1.72% -1.72% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 83.3% Baseline on TIL

The 83.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TIL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TIL Strategy →

Why Analyze TIL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TIL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TIL historically offers an average upside of +5.13% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TIL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 83.3%, TIL shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TIL performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +1224.02%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.