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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$TOVX

Trade-Ideas alerts 57.9% at EOD n=114 2023-06-282026-08-28

🏢 Company Profile

Theriva Biologics, Inc. PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (SIC 2834)
📍 NYSE American 📅 IPO: Apr 05, 1993 🔗 www.therivabio.com
💰 Market Cap: $10.7M 👥 Employees: 16
Theriva Biologics Inc is a clinical-stage pharmaceutical company developing a novel oncolytic adenovirus (OV) platform to address devastating cancers with high unmet needs. It is a clinical-stage program VCN-01, designed to break down the tumor stroma, and its preclinical-stage program VCN-11 leverages its proprietary Albumin Shield Technology to protect systemically administered oncolytic viruses from the host immune system. Product Candidates includes SYN-004 (ribaxamase) and SYN-020.
Total alerts
114
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
57.9%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
+17.88%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+5.94%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading TOVX on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 48.2%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +1.41%
Avg Loser: -1.63%
Best: +12.16%
Worst: -6.10%
Trades: 55/51

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.2%
Avg Gain: -0.29%
Avg Winner: +1.87%
Avg Loser: -2.26%
Best: +11.00%
Worst: -15.89%
Trades: 51/56

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.3%
Avg Gain: -0.37%
Avg Winner: +2.84%
Avg Loser: -3.36%
Best: +30.79%
Worst: -18.11%
Trades: 52/56

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.6%
Avg Gain: -0.82%
Avg Winner: +2.95%
Avg Loser: -4.40%
Best: +11.19%
Worst: -19.82%
Trades: 54/57

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 57.9%
Avg Gain: +17.88%
Avg Winner: +34.89%
Avg Loser: -5.63%
Best: +1947.41%
Worst: -22.05%
Trades: 66/47

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.94%
Best MFE: +36.05%
Avg Time to MFE: 133 min

On average, TOVX alerts reach +5.94% profit potential within 133 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.96%
Worst MAE: -17.94%
Avg Time to MAE: 21 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.96%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.02:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.02x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 114 alerts, TOVX typically reaches +5.94% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 114
Gap Up % 57.0%
Avg Gap +0.30%
Best Gap +5.31%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How TOVX compares to 452 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TOVX: -0.13% Sector: -0.27% +0.15%
EOD Gain
TOVX: +19.39% Sector: +3035597.68% -3035578.29%
Avg MFE
TOVX: +6.11% Sector: +7.31% -1.20%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TOVX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-08-28 09:25:00 $0.25 -0.55% +1.42% +1.26% +1.85% -3.35% +2.80% -1.06% -0.55% LOSS
2026-08-26 09:25:00 $0.24 +0.00% +1.92% +0.96% +1.00% +1.33% +2.08% -1.67% -0.58% LOSS
2026-08-25 09:25:00 $0.24 +0.29% +1.21% - - -0.67% +2.55% +0.29% +2.55% WIN
2026-08-17 09:25:00 $0.23 +3.60% +3.56% -2.02% - +4.30% +5.44% -2.02% +3.60% WIN
2026-08-13 09:25:00 $0.24 -1.00% -0.25% +1.79% +1.67% -4.09% +6.05% -2.84% +1.42% LOSS
2026-08-11 09:25:00 $0.23 +0.43% +0.43% -3.00% -0.09% +0.00% +2.61% -3.00% -2.57% WIN
2026-08-10 09:25:00 $0.22 +1.59% - +2.72% +1.00% +4.76% +6.03% -0.14% +1.63% WIN
2026-08-06 09:25:00 $0.22 +1.16% - +3.25% +0.45% +0.09% +3.25% +0.18% +1.16% WIN
2026-08-04 09:25:00 $0.22 +2.88% +1.17% +2.88% +1.75% +2.65% +6.02% +0.27% +0.49% WIN
2026-07-29 09:25:00 $0.21 -0.84% - - -1.67% +1.86% +2.05% -4.79% -4.19% LOSS
2026-07-27 09:25:00 $0.23 +0.04% - +0.00% -5.13% -7.31% +0.04% +0.00% -2.96% WIN
2026-07-23 09:25:00 $0.23 -0.62% -1.20% +0.22% -1.20% -3.81% +1.06% -1.20% -0.27% LOSS
2026-07-21 09:25:00 $0.24 -5.01% -1.70% -3.41% -3.37% -3.20% -0.63% -5.30% -5.01% LOSS
2026-07-20 09:25:00 $0.24 +2.26% -0.38% -0.29% -2.03% -4.02% +2.26% -0.04% +2.26% WIN
2026-07-17 09:25:00 $0.23 +0.00% -1.14% +0.85% +1.99% +5.52% +3.77% -1.14% +0.04% LOSS
2026-07-15 09:25:00 $0.24 -0.52% +1.04% +2.76% +0.75% +1.50% +5.31% -0.52% +5.31% LOSS
2026-07-14 09:25:00 $0.23 +0.00% -0.13% +0.96% +3.92% +5.21% +8.33% -0.53% -0.53% LOSS
2026-07-13 09:25:00 $0.23 +0.09% +2.69% +1.73% +2.66% +1.39% +3.51% -0.15% +0.09% WIN
2026-07-09 09:25:00 $0.23 -0.61% -2.38% -2.34% -0.82% +1.56% +1.60% -4.42% +1.52% LOSS
2026-07-08 09:25:00 $0.22 +2.10% +1.84% +4.63% +3.69% +6.45% +7.88% +0.00% +2.95% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 57.9% Baseline on TOVX

The 57.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push TOVX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TOVX Strategy →

Why Analyze TOVX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TOVX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TOVX historically offers an average upside of +5.94% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TOVX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 57.9%, TOVX shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TOVX performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +17.88%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.