FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →
Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$TOVX

Trade-Ideas alerts 55.2% at EOD n=125 2023-06-28 → 2026-10-01

🏢 Company Profile

Theriva Biologics, Inc. PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (SIC 2834)
📍 NYSE American 📅 IPO: Apr 05, 1993 🔗 www.therivabio.com
💰 Market Cap: $10.3M 👥 Employees: 16
Theriva Biologics Inc is a clinical-stage pharmaceutical company developing a novel oncolytic adenovirus (OV) platform to address devastating cancers with high unmet needs. It is a clinical-stage program VCN-01, designed to break down the tumor stroma, and its preclinical-stage program VCN-11 leverages its proprietary Albumin Shield Technology to protect systemically administered oncolytic viruses from the host immune system. Product Candidates includes SYN-004 (ribaxamase) and SYN-020.
Total alerts
125
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
55.2%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
+0.52%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+5.58%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading TOVX on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

Playable TOVX setups

Historical TOVX setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.8%
Avg Gain: -0.09%
Avg Winner: +1.42%
Avg Loser: -1.53%
Best: +12.16%
Worst: -6.10%
Trades: 56/59

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.5%
Avg Gain: -0.30%
Avg Winner: +1.81%
Avg Loser: -2.23%
Best: +11.00%
Worst: -15.89%
Trades: 56/61

30MIN

Win Rate: 46.2%
Avg Gain: -0.40%
Avg Winner: +2.74%
Avg Loser: -3.20%
Best: +30.79%
Worst: -18.11%
Trades: 55/62

60MIN

Win Rate: 49.2%
Avg Gain: -0.78%
Avg Winner: +2.82%
Avg Loser: -4.26%
Best: +11.19%
Worst: -19.82%
Trades: 59/61

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 55.2%
Avg Gain: +0.52%
Avg Winner: +5.23%
Avg Loser: -5.47%
Best: +23.68%
Worst: -22.05%
Trades: 69/54

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.58%
Best MFE: +36.05%
Avg Time to MFE: 137 min

On average, TOVX alerts reach +5.58% profit potential within 137 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.96%
Worst MAE: -17.94%
Avg Time to MAE: 21 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.96%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.84:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.84x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 125 alerts, TOVX typically reaches +5.58% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 125
Gap Up % 55.2%
Avg Gap +0.26%
Best Gap +5.31%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How TOVX compares to 456 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TOVX: -0.16% Sector: -0.28% +0.12%
EOD Gain
TOVX: +0.39% Sector: -0.60% +0.99%
Avg MFE
TOVX: +5.81% Sector: +7.28% -1.47%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TOVX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $0.23 -0.04% +1.42% -1.64% -1.64% -0.04% +3.64% -6.04% +0.67% LOSS
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $0.23 -1.72% -1.54% -1.50% +1.14% -1.06% +2.33% -3.25% -1.93% LOSS
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $0.23 -2.38% -3.76% -2.62% -4.11% -6.32% -1.38% -2.38% -2.38% LOSS
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $0.23 +2.09% +1.74% +1.78% +3.34% +0.26% +3.61% +1.74% +2.09% WIN
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $0.24 +0.00% +0.34% +0.09% +0.04% +2.89% +4.04% -2.34% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $0.23 +0.00% -1.02% - - -1.74% +0.70% -2.04% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $0.25 -1.62% -1.70% -2.59% -2.83% -4.62% -1.62% -1.62% -1.62% LOSS
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $0.25 -0.73% - -1.25% -0.77% +0.00% +0.10% -2.71% -0.73% LOSS
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $0.25 -0.68% -1.47% -0.64% +0.64% -1.83% +0.64% -2.46% -2.46% LOSS
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $0.25 -0.24% +1.48% +0.76% +1.56% +1.20% +4.00% -0.24% +4.00% LOSS
2026-09-02 09:25:00 $0.25 -0.04% +0.61% - - +1.22% +4.81% -0.04% +1.18% LOSS
2026-08-28 09:25:00 $0.25 -0.55% +1.42% +1.26% +1.85% -3.35% +2.80% -1.06% -0.55% LOSS
2026-08-26 09:25:00 $0.24 +0.00% +1.92% +0.96% +1.00% +1.33% +2.08% -1.67% -0.58% LOSS
2026-08-25 09:25:00 $0.24 +0.29% +1.21% - - -0.67% +2.55% +0.29% +2.55% WIN
2026-08-17 09:25:00 $0.23 +3.60% +3.56% -2.02% - +4.30% +5.44% -2.02% +3.60% WIN
2026-08-13 09:25:00 $0.24 -1.00% -0.25% +1.79% +1.67% -4.09% +6.05% -2.84% +1.42% LOSS
2026-08-11 09:25:00 $0.23 +0.43% +0.43% -3.00% -0.09% +0.00% +2.61% -3.00% -2.57% WIN
2026-08-10 09:25:00 $0.22 +1.59% - +2.72% +1.00% +4.76% +6.03% -0.14% +1.63% WIN
2026-08-06 09:25:00 $0.22 +1.16% - +3.25% +0.45% +0.09% +3.25% +0.18% +1.16% WIN
2026-08-04 09:25:00 $0.22 +2.88% +1.17% +2.88% +1.75% +2.65% +6.02% +0.27% +0.49% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 55.2% Baseline on TOVX

The 55.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push TOVX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TOVX Strategy →

Why Analyze TOVX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TOVX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TOVX historically offers an average upside of +5.58% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TOVX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.2%, TOVX shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TOVX performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.52%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.