FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

UUP Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 160 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-04 → 2025-01-24

🏢 Company Profile

Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS (SIC 6221)
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Nov 25, 2008
📊
160
Total Alerts
🎯
47.2%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.01%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+0.24%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 42.1%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.05%
Avg Loser: -0.05%
Best: +0.20%
Worst: -0.24%
Trades: 67/72

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.3%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.08%
Avg Loser: -0.08%
Best: +0.33%
Worst: -0.30%
Trades: 72/76

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.2%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.10%
Avg Loser: -0.11%
Best: +0.47%
Worst: -0.36%
Trades: 75/76

60MIN

Win Rate: 46.5%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.16%
Avg Loser: -0.16%
Best: +0.68%
Worst: -0.61%
Trades: 74/76

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 46.9%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.26%
Avg Loser: -0.29%
Best: +0.90%
Worst: -1.43%
Trades: 75/83

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.24%
Best MFE: +1.11%
Avg Time to MFE: 128 min

On average, UUP alerts reach +0.24% profit potential within 128 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.10%
Worst MAE: -0.94%
Avg Time to MAE: 24 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.10%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.39:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.39x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 160 alerts, UUP typically reaches +0.24% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 160
Gap Up % 32.5%
Avg Gap -0.01%
Best Gap +0.21%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS

How UUP compares to 41 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
UUP: -0.00% Sector: -0.01% +0.01%
EOD Gain
UUP: -0.03% Sector: +257.70% -257.73%
Avg MFE
UUP: +0.24% Sector: +1.89% -1.65%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical UUP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-24 09:25:29 $29.26 -0.05% -0.03% -0.10% -0.29% -0.21% - - -0.07% LOSS
2025-01-06 09:26:14 $29.41 -0.03% -0.05% -0.19% -0.02% -0.07% +0.05% -0.20% -0.07% LOSS
2025-01-03 09:25:26 $29.6 +0.07% +0.02% -0.05% +0.09% -0.07% +0.27% - +0.10% WIN
2024-12-23 09:26:36 $29.27 +0.07% +0.07% +0.12% +0.15% +0.07% +0.26% +0.03% +0.07% WIN
2024-12-13 09:26:56 $30.21 +0.02% +0.09% +0.10% +0.17% +0.17% +0.18% +0.02% +0.03% WIN
2024-11-01 09:29:06 $29.23 -0.04% -0.10% -0.03% +0.07% +0.31% +0.34% -0.10% -0.07% LOSS
2024-07-10 09:26:33 $28.95 - -0.02% - -0.05% -0.03% +0.03% +0.02% +0.03% -
2024-06-13 09:28:50 $28.84 -0.24% -0.28% -0.11% -0.05% +0.07% +0.19% -0.94% -0.83% LOSS
2024-06-10 09:28:36 $28.87 +0.09% +0.03% +0.04% +0.07% -0.10% +0.10% +0.03% +0.07% WIN
2024-05-03 09:27:35 $28.59 +0.10% +0.07% +0.04% +0.31% +0.21% +0.37% -0.14% +0.04% WIN
2024-04-11 09:29:08 $28.58 -0.04% +0.04% +0.09% +0.26% +0.10% +0.37% -0.08% -0.07% LOSS
2024-04-04 09:25:50 $28.23 +0.02% +0.02% - +0.02% +0.28% +0.28% -0.04% - WIN
2024-04-02 09:27:22 $28.46 -0.04% -0.04% -0.05% -0.16% -0.07% - -0.04% - LOSS
2024-03-12 09:29:23 $27.87 +0.04% +0.05% -0.04% -0.05% -0.14% +0.11% -0.07% -0.07% WIN
2024-03-07 09:26:42 $27.88 -0.04% - -0.11% -0.09% -0.39% - -0.11% -0.07% LOSS
2024-03-04 09:29:22 $28.05 -0.04% -0.04% -0.12% -0.09% -0.04% - -0.04% -0.04% LOSS
2024-02-15 09:27:33 $28.12 -0.12% -0.12% -0.12% -0.16% -0.14% +0.07% -0.21% -0.04% LOSS
2024-02-12 09:26:03 $28.04 - -0.01% -0.05% +0.07% -0.07% +0.11% -0.07% -0.04% -
2024-02-05 09:25:19 $28.07 -0.04% -0.02% -0.02% +0.13% +0.07% +0.21% -0.05% -0.04% LOSS
2024-02-02 00:00:00 $27.89 - - - - +0.18% +0.29% -0.79% -0.04% -

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ UUP Shows Negative Expectancy

With 47.2% win rate and -0.01% average gain, UUP alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider UUP for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze UUP with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for UUP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, UUP historically offers an average upside of +0.24% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 UUP Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 47.2%, UUP shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests UUP may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: UUP shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.01%). This suggests UUP is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.