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VERX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-11-21 → 2025-01-14

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Vertex, Inc. Class A Common Stock SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE (SIC 7372)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 29, 2020 🔗 www.vertexinc.com
💰 Market Cap: $3.14B 👥 Employees: 1,900
Vertex Inc is a provider of tax technology and services. Its software, content, and services help customers stay in compliance with indirect taxes that occur in taxing jurisdictions all over the world. Vertex provides cloud-based and on-premise solutions to specific industries for every line of tax, including income, sales, consumer use, value-added, and payroll. The company offers solutions such as tax determination, Tax Data Management, document management, and compliance and reporting among others. The company derives revenue from software subscriptions.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
75.0%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+1.19%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+2.79%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.35%
Avg Winner: +4.62%
Avg Loser: -3.91%
Best: +8.93%
Worst: -6.36%
Trades: 2/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: +0.40%
Avg Winner: +9.36%
Avg Loser: -2.59%
Best: +9.36%
Worst: -6.99%
Trades: 1/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.97%
Avg Winner: +5.68%
Avg Loser: -3.73%
Best: +9.36%
Worst: -6.43%
Trades: 2/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +1.19%
Avg Winner: +4.13%
Avg Loser: -7.62%
Best: +10.24%
Worst: -7.62%
Trades: 3/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +0.75%
Avg Winner: +2.93%
Avg Loser: -5.80%
Best: +6.79%
Worst: -5.80%
Trades: 3/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.79%
Best MFE: +10.79%
Avg Time to MFE: 117 min

On average, VERX alerts reach +2.79% profit potential within 117 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.19%
Worst MAE: -8.35%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.19%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.33:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.33x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, VERX typically reaches +2.79% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 25.0%
Avg Gap +0.20%
Best Gap +7.78%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How VERX compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
VERX: +0.35% Sector: -0.09% +0.45%
EOD Gain
VERX: +0.75% Sector: +73.64% -72.89%
Avg MFE
VERX: +2.79% Sector: +4.32% -1.54%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical VERX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-14 09:25:38 $52.25 +0.32% -0.46% -1.02% +0.21% +1.26% +2.07% -1.63% - WIN
2024-04-24 09:28:46 $28.7 -1.46% -0.31% +1.99% +1.95% +0.73% +2.58% -2.58% -1.18% LOSS
2023-06-30 09:27:00 $18.26 +8.93% +9.36% +9.36% +10.24% +6.79% +10.79% +7.78% +7.78% WIN
2022-11-21 09:25:00 $15.87 -6.36% -6.99% -6.43% -7.62% -5.80% -4.28% -8.35% -5.80% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 75.0% Baseline on VERX

The 75.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push VERX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize VERX Strategy →

Why Analyze VERX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VERX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, VERX historically offers an average upside of +2.79% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 VERX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 75.0%, VERX shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show VERX performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.19%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.