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VSTM Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 23 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-04-20 → 2025-01-03

⚠️ Small sample size (23 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jan 27, 2012 🔗 www.verastem.com
💰 Market Cap: $480.5M 👥 Employees: 78
Verastem Inc is late-stage development biopharmaceutical company, committed to advancing new medicines for patients battling cancer. Its pipeline is focused on novel anticancer agents that inhibit critical signaling pathways in cancer that promote cancer cell survival and tumor growth, particularly RAF/MEK inhibition and FAK inhibition.
📊
23
Total Alerts
🎯
82.6%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+496.65%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+7.85%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 39.1%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +3.01%
Avg Loser: -2.41%
Best: +10.10%
Worst: -3.57%
Trades: 9/12

15MIN

Win Rate: 39.1%
Avg Gain: +0.64%
Avg Winner: +6.28%
Avg Loser: -2.98%
Best: +13.84%
Worst: -7.14%
Trades: 9/14

30MIN

Win Rate: 39.1%
Avg Gain: +0.22%
Avg Winner: +5.81%
Avg Loser: -3.37%
Best: +16.83%
Worst: -6.19%
Trades: 9/14

60MIN

Win Rate: 34.8%
Avg Gain: +0.33%
Avg Winner: +7.88%
Avg Loser: -3.69%
Best: +16.35%
Worst: -8.60%
Trades: 8/15

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 82.6%
Avg Gain: +496.65%
Avg Winner: +603.54%
Avg Loser: -11.07%
Best: +1107.82%
Worst: -19.46%
Trades: 19/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.85%
Best MFE: +30.64%
Avg Time to MFE: 78 min

On average, VSTM alerts reach +7.85% profit potential within 78 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.41%
Worst MAE: -8.43%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.41%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.26:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.26x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 23 alerts, VSTM typically reaches +7.85% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 23
Gap Up % 34.8%
Avg Gap -0.31%
Best Gap +2.80%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How VSTM compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
VSTM: -0.08% Sector: -0.32% +0.24%
EOD Gain
VSTM: +496.65% Sector: +4480411.22% -4479914.57%
Avg MFE
VSTM: +7.85% Sector: +7.56% +0.29%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical VSTM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-03 09:27:24 $6.58 -2.51% -3.94% -2.53% -2.74% +6.38% +10.33% -5.47% -0.91% LOSS
2025-01-02 09:25:27 $5.19 -2.70% +11.17% +8.67% +14.48% +25.05% +30.64% -4.62% -1.16% LOSS
2024-12-31 09:27:45 $4.93 -2.23% +1.22% +2.03% -5.72% +4.87% +12.37% -8.43% -0.41% LOSS
2024-07-24 09:28:15 $2.75 +4.00% -4.91% +1.09% +2.22% +7.64% +9.45% -7.64% -1.09% WIN
2024-07-12 09:27:20 $3.04 +0.99% +10.53% +8.18% +12.83% +10.53% +15.79% -0.33% -0.33% WIN
2024-05-29 09:26:49 $4.02 -2.36% +0.49% -1.86% -0.62% -0.50% +7.46% -3.98% -0.50% LOSS
2024-05-28 09:25:13 $4.52 -2.65% -3.76% -4.76% -2.65% -11.06% +0.44% +0.41% -0.66% LOSS
2024-05-24 09:27:07 $4.75 +8.00% +5.71% +2.32% -2.32% -13.26% +10.53% -1.37% -1.26% WIN
2023-06-16 09:25:00 $10.03 +0.50% +0.50% +6.08% +9.67% +2.49% +10.87% -1.30% -1.20% WIN
2023-05-31 09:27:00 $0.96 +1.32% +13.84% +5.45% +4.06% +6.53% +16.97% -3.91% -0.78% WIN
2023-05-30 09:29:00 $1.04 +10.10% +10.10% +16.83% +16.35% +1100.00% +21.63% -3.85% +0.96% WIN
2023-01-25 09:29:00 $0.61 -1.09% -2.74% -1.09% -1.91% +4.67% +6.18% -2.74% +0.58% LOSS
2022-11-08 09:25:00 $0.4 - -2.00% -2.21% +2.66% +1107.82% +6.52% -4.26% +0.33% -
2022-10-20 09:25:00 $0.31 - -1.19% -0.29% -1.27% +1042.71% +2.55% -1.45% -1.45% -
2022-10-19 09:25:00 $0.36 -2.78% -2.76% -4.38% -5.72% +921.33% -0.06% -2.75% -2.78% LOSS
2022-10-17 09:25:00 $0.38 -3.47% -2.63% -4.13% +0.79% +1068.74% +2.63% -0.03% +2.63% LOSS
2022-10-14 09:25:00 $0.42 -3.57% -7.14% -6.19% -8.60% +930.00% - - -2.38% LOSS
2022-10-13 09:25:00 $0.41 -2.15% -2.15% -4.65% -5.53% +1047.47% +0.27% +0.27% -2.18% LOSS
2022-10-06 09:25:00 $0.56 -2.82% -1.36% -1.95% -2.04% +1040.40% +0.41% +0.41% +0.30% LOSS
2022-10-05 09:25:00 $0.57 +0.16% -2.03% -3.80% -3.78% +1012.47% +1.45% -0.30% +1.45% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 82.6% Baseline on VSTM

The 82.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push VSTM's performance to 75%+.

Optimize VSTM Strategy →

Why Analyze VSTM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VSTM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, VSTM historically offers an average upside of +7.85% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 VSTM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 82.6%, VSTM shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show VSTM performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +496.65%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.