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Latest signal:

XERS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 27 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2024-11-08

⚠️ Small sample size (27 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Xeris Biopharma Holdings, Inc. Common Stock PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (SIC 2834)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 21, 2018 🔗 www.xerispharma.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.23B 👥 Employees: 394
Xeris Biopharma Holdings Inc is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing therapies for people with chronic endocrine and neurological diseases in the United States. It offer Recorlev for the treatment of Cushing's syndrome, Gvoke for the treatment of severe hypoglycemia, and Keveyis for the treatment of Primary Periodic Paralysis (PPP).
📊
27
Total Alerts
🎯
51.9%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-1.09%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+5.28%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 22.2%
Avg Gain: -1.28%
Avg Winner: +0.91%
Avg Loser: -2.00%
Best: +1.99%
Worst: -9.12%
Trades: 6/20

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -1.03%
Avg Winner: +1.76%
Avg Loser: -3.26%
Best: +3.94%
Worst: -7.21%
Trades: 12/15

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -1.31%
Avg Winner: +2.52%
Avg Loser: -4.37%
Best: +9.54%
Worst: -12.74%
Trades: 12/15

60MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -1.43%
Avg Winner: +3.49%
Avg Loser: -6.20%
Best: +10.79%
Worst: -14.93%
Trades: 12/13

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 51.9%
Avg Gain: -1.09%
Avg Winner: +3.87%
Avg Loser: -6.43%
Best: +9.22%
Worst: -16.78%
Trades: 14/13

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.28%
Best MFE: +15.35%
Avg Time to MFE: 116 min

On average, XERS alerts reach +5.28% profit potential within 116 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.91%
Worst MAE: -16.11%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.91%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.82:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 27 alerts, XERS typically reaches +5.28% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 27
Gap Up % 29.6%
Avg Gap -0.26%
Best Gap +2.01%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How XERS compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
XERS: -1.28% Sector: -0.32% -0.96%
EOD Gain
XERS: -1.09% Sector: +4480411.22% -4480412.31%
Avg MFE
XERS: +5.28% Sector: +7.56% -2.28%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical XERS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-08 09:28:15 $3.4 -9.12% -2.06% +1.76% +5.59% +2.06% +7.06% -10.00% - LOSS
2024-03-07 09:28:42 $2.54 -4.33% -6.89% -6.89% -6.50% -3.94% - -1.18% -0.39% LOSS
2024-03-06 09:28:20 $2.98 -3.36% -7.21% -10.07% -14.93% -16.78% +2.01% -0.34% +2.01% LOSS
2023-11-09 09:26:00 $2.03 -3.94% -5.92% -3.20% -3.45% -11.08% +7.39% +0.99% +1.97% LOSS
2023-11-01 09:28:00 $1.83 -1.37% -1.64% -1.09% +2.73% +2.19% +4.92% -2.19% +1.09% LOSS
2023-10-16 09:28:00 $1.79 -1.17% -3.63% +1.12% +0.61% +6.15% +6.70% -3.91% -2.79% LOSS
2023-08-08 09:27:00 $2.41 -3.32% +3.94% +9.54% +10.79% +7.05% +15.35% -6.22% +0.41% LOSS
2023-04-24 09:26:00 $2.35 -0.43% -0.21% -2.26% -3.19% -2.55% +1.28% -2.13% -0.85% LOSS
2023-03-30 09:25:00 $1.42 +0.70% +2.82% -2.39% -3.53% +2.82% +4.93% -4.23% - WIN
2023-03-08 09:27:00 $1.51 -0.33% -3.32% -7.94% -8.28% -10.60% +0.66% - - LOSS
2023-01-30 09:26:00 $1.3 -2.69% -0.76% -0.77% -3.79% -6.15% +1.54% -3.85% - LOSS
2023-01-09 09:26:00 $1.09 - +0.01% +3.67% +6.42% +0.92% +10.95% -2.75% -2.75% -
2023-01-05 09:25:00 $1.09 -0.92% -5.50% -5.57% -8.74% -5.50% - -0.92% - LOSS
2022-11-23 09:25:00 $1.42 -1.41% -1.41% -1.41% -2.82% -7.04% +0.70% -6.34% +0.70% LOSS
2022-10-20 09:25:00 $1.29 -1.55% -3.20% -2.71% +0.39% -3.88% +9.30% -3.87% -0.78% LOSS
2022-10-13 09:25:00 $1.28 +0.29% +1.56% +0.78% +2.73% +0.78% +10.94% -1.57% - WIN
2022-08-01 09:25:00 $1.42 +0.35% +1.06% +3.52% +3.87% +6.34% +12.68% - - WIN
2022-05-12 09:25:00 $1.49 +1.21% -1.34% -12.74% -13.09% +2.01% +8.72% -16.11% +0.67% WIN
2022-04-28 09:25:00 $2.5 -0.40% -2.60% -2.80% -5.60% -2.80% +1.20% -0.40% +1.20% LOSS
2022-03-11 09:25:00 $2.6 -0.77% +3.08% +2.50% +2.69% +3.85% +5.38% -1.54% -1.54% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ XERS Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 51.9% win rate, XERS has -1.09% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making XERS profitable.

🔧 Fix XERS Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze XERS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for XERS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, XERS historically offers an average upside of +5.28% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 XERS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.9%, XERS shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-6.43%) outweigh average wins (+3.87%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: XERS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -1.09%). This suggests XERS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.