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ZNTL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 8 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-09 → 2025-02-05

⚠️ Small sample size (8 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Zentalis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Common Stock PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (SIC 2834)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Apr 03, 2020 🔗 www.zentalis.com
💰 Market Cap: $190.4M 👥 Employees: 166
Zentalis Pharmaceuticals Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing azenosertib (ZN-c3), a potentially first-in-class and best-in-class WEE1 inhibitor for patients with Cyclin E1-positive platinum-resistant ovarian cancer (Cyclin E1+ PROC). The Company manages its operations as a single segment for the purposes of assessing performance and making operating decisions.
📊
8
Total Alerts
🎯
75.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+2.22%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+10.54%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.46%
Avg Winner: +4.78%
Avg Loser: -1.86%
Best: +9.39%
Worst: -4.51%
Trades: 4/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: +4.29%
Avg Winner: +8.96%
Avg Loser: -3.50%
Best: +25.69%
Worst: -8.87%
Trades: 5/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +2.22%
Avg Winner: +5.13%
Avg Loser: -6.51%
Best: +14.92%
Worst: -9.84%
Trades: 6/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +3.14%
Avg Winner: +5.65%
Avg Loser: -4.36%
Best: +15.19%
Worst: -4.52%
Trades: 6/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: -0.73%
Avg Winner: +7.95%
Avg Loser: -15.21%
Best: +19.55%
Worst: -34.29%
Trades: 5/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +10.54%
Best MFE: +30.94%
Avg Time to MFE: 148 min

On average, ZNTL alerts reach +10.54% profit potential within 148 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.80%
Worst MAE: -2.64%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.80%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

13.16:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 13.16x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 8 alerts, ZNTL typically reaches +10.54% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 8.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 8
Gap Up % 12.5%
Avg Gap -0.51%
Best Gap +3.20%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How ZNTL compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ZNTL: +1.46% Sector: -0.32% +1.78%
EOD Gain
ZNTL: -0.73% Sector: +4480411.22% -4480411.96%
Avg MFE
ZNTL: +10.54% Sector: +7.56% +2.99%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ZNTL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-05 09:29:43 $1.79 +3.07% +3.91% +4.19% +5.51% +19.55% +22.35% -1.68% -0.56% WIN
2025-01-29 09:25:22 $1.81 +9.39% +25.69% +14.92% +15.19% +4.42% +30.94% -2.21% -2.21% WIN
2025-01-27 09:28:00 $2.27 -1.98% +3.96% +1.76% +1.10% +5.73% +7.93% -2.64% -2.20% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:26:14 $3.1 -4.51% -8.87% -9.84% -4.52% -11.29% - - -1.61% LOSS
2024-06-18 09:25:49 $6.3 -0.40% -1.27% -3.17% -4.21% -34.29% +1.59% -0.95% -0.16% LOSS
2023-11-01 09:29:00 $16.36 -0.55% -0.37% +0.18% +1.45% -0.06% +2.87% -0.83% -0.55% LOSS
2022-04-27 09:25:00 $24.31 +1.28% +3.87% +2.45% +3.13% +0.41% +6.95% -0.08% - WIN
2022-03-09 09:25:00 $44.0 +5.39% +7.39% +7.26% +7.50% +9.66% +11.73% +1.98% +3.20% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 75.0% Baseline on ZNTL

The 75.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ZNTL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ZNTL Strategy →

Why Analyze ZNTL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ZNTL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ZNTL historically offers an average upside of +10.54% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ZNTL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 75.0%, ZNTL shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ZNTL performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +2.22%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.