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$INTC -5.76% — what the base rate says

$INTC -5.76% — what the base rate says

Let’s run the historical tape on C3is Inc. ($CISS). Today the tiny $2M micro-cap is ripping 80.08% on zero news, with retail forums screaming about a short squeeze.

But the database doesn't trade on hope. In 17 historical gap-up days of 5% or more for $CISS, the stock faded to red 88% of the time, mapping a brutal median intraday return of -9.03%.

On the other side of the tape, setups like this—no-news gap-ups of 30% or more on low floats—close red 70% of the time across 2,411 historical instances.

The base rate says this closes red by the bell—we'll grade the receipt here.

What the data showed

  • $INTC -5.76% Intel Corporation mcap $465.7B · float 4.0B shares · sector: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
  • $NOK -4.42% Nokia Oyj mcap $50.8B · float 5.7B shares · sector: Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment
  • $LBGJ -1.81% Li Bang International Corporation Inc. mcap $3M · float 2M shares
  • $SXTC -25.79% China SXT Pharmaceuticals, Inc. · closed red 59% · green 40% (n=1,421) mcap $7M · float 1M shares
  • $PLUG -4.85% Plug Power Inc. mcap $2.9B · float 1.4B shares · sector: ELECTRICAL INDUSTRIAL APPARATUS
  • $SOFI -0.83% SoFi Technologies, Inc. mcap $21.1B · float 1.3B shares · sector: FINANCE SERVICES
  • $TE -14.90% T1 Energy Inc. · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=6,903) mcap $1.4B · float 171M shares · sector: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
  • $MU -8.97% Micron Technology, Inc. mcap $1040.1B · float 1.1B shares · sector: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
  • $ONDS -3.74% Ondas Inc. mcap $4.4B · float 492M shares · sector: RADIO & TV BROADCASTING & COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT

Run the historical sample on FILTRIX.net before chasing these empty gaps. Ground your execution in edge, not excitement. Discipline > FOMO

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