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MU Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 644 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 01, 1984 🔗 www.micron.com
💰 Market Cap: $449.81B 👥 Employees: 53,000
Micron is one of the largest semiconductor companies in the world, specializing in memory and storage chips. Its primary revenue stream comes from dynamic random access memory, or DRAM, and it also has minority exposure to not-and or NAND, flash chips. Micron serves a global customer base, selling chips into data centers, mobile phones, consumer electronics, and industrial and automotive applications. The firm is vertically integrated.
📊
644
Total Alerts
🎯
49.4%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.02%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.75%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 49.4%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.58%
Avg Loser: -0.60%
Best: +2.51%
Worst: -3.35%
Trades: 318/321

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.8%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.91%
Avg Loser: -0.90%
Best: +4.47%
Worst: -4.89%
Trades: 295/344

30MIN

Win Rate: 45.0%
Avg Gain: -0.09%
Avg Winner: +1.08%
Avg Loser: -1.04%
Best: +5.93%
Worst: -6.27%
Trades: 290/354

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.8%
Avg Gain: -0.09%
Avg Winner: +1.28%
Avg Loser: -1.25%
Best: +6.43%
Worst: -6.05%
Trades: 295/348

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 47.9%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +1.84%
Avg Loser: -1.81%
Best: +7.93%
Worst: -8.26%
Trades: 308/331

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.75%
Best MFE: +10.79%
Avg Time to MFE: 139 min

On average, MU alerts reach +1.75% profit potential within 139 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.76%
Worst MAE: -4.32%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.76%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.31:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.31x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 644 alerts, MU typically reaches +1.75% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 644
Gap Up % 41.0%
Avg Gap -0.04%
Best Gap +1.77%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

How MU compares to 58 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MU: -0.02% Sector: -0.04% +0.02%
EOD Gain
MU: -0.05% Sector: +13404.08% -13404.13%
Avg MFE
MU: +1.75% Sector: +2.71% -0.96%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MU alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:29:54 $98.45 +1.41% +1.64% +1.00% +0.28% +1.09% +2.28% -0.46% -0.04% WIN
2025-02-13 09:27:53 $92.11 +1.79% +1.37% +1.53% +2.41% +3.85% +4.29% -0.10% -0.05% WIN
2025-02-12 09:26:33 $89.92 -1.16% +0.64% +1.21% +1.82% +1.96% +3.02% -2.86% -0.36% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:29:14 $94.07 +0.24% +1.13% +0.94% +1.10% +0.01% +1.88% -0.15% +0.19% WIN
2025-02-10 09:29:25 $93.2 +1.29% +1.97% +2.19% +2.40% +2.93% +3.28% -0.03% -0.02% WIN
2025-02-07 09:25:33 $95.39 +0.42% +0.25% -0.26% -1.75% -3.24% +0.57% -0.10% +0.21% WIN
2025-02-06 09:27:20 $94.83 +0.81% +0.39% +0.36% +1.18% -0.31% +1.88% -0.09% +0.05% WIN
2025-02-05 09:26:15 $90.51 +0.78% +0.04% -0.18% +0.53% +3.41% +3.47% -0.32% -0.14% WIN
2025-02-04 09:25:48 $89.51 +0.04% +0.12% +0.58% +1.43% +1.28% +2.17% -0.79% -0.51% WIN
2025-02-03 09:25:06 $88.28 +0.38% +0.67% +0.95% +2.73% +1.86% +3.53% -0.30% +0.42% WIN
2025-01-31 09:25:27 $91.81 -0.07% -0.15% +0.52% +2.28% -0.62% +2.68% -0.64% -0.17% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:27:00 $91.18 -0.16% +0.06% +1.10% +0.93% +1.45% +2.17% -0.97% -0.57% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:29:46 $89.95 -0.01% -1.01% -0.37% -1.09% -1.04% +0.56% -0.46% -0.08% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:25:23 $91.6 +0.93% -1.81% -2.50% -1.92% -3.66% +2.02% -0.17% +1.10% WIN
2025-01-27 09:26:01 $94.98 -0.75% -0.96% -0.95% -1.78% -4.07% +1.18% -2.19% -0.13% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:26:57 $105.55 -1.33% -1.40% -1.59% -1.95% -2.24% +0.33% -0.02% -0.05% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:28:52 $104.65 +0.28% +0.56% +0.34% -1.15% +0.18% +1.46% -1.24% +0.13% WIN
2025-01-22 09:26:40 $109.48 +0.00% -0.66% -0.69% -0.38% -0.23% +1.09% -1.57% -0.29% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:26:45 $105.4 +0.87% +0.79% +0.90% +2.00% +3.78% +4.59% -0.19% +0.02% WIN
2025-01-17 09:26:27 $104.71 -0.75% -1.48% -1.09% -0.92% +0.99% +1.12% -2.11% -0.07% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ MU Shows Negative Expectancy

With 49.4% win rate and -0.02% average gain, MU alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider MU for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze MU with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MU. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MU historically offers an average upside of +1.75% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MU Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 49.4%, MU shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests MU may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: MU shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.02%). This suggests MU is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.