FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

SOFI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 759 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

SoFi Technologies, Inc. Common Stock FINANCE SERVICES (SIC 6199)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 01, 2021 🔗 www.sofi.com
💰 Market Cap: $32.67B 👥 Employees: 5,000
SoFi is a financial-services company that was founded in 2011 and is based in San Francisco. Initially known for its student loan refinancing business, the company has expanded its product offerings to include personal loans, credit cards, mortgages, investment accounts, banking services, and financial planning. The company intends to be a one-stop shop for its clients' finances and operates solely through its mobile app and website. Through its acquisition of Galileo in 2020, the company also offers payment and account services for debit cards and digital banking.
📊
759
Total Alerts
🎯
48.4%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.12%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+2.67%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 43.5%
Avg Gain: -0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.78%
Avg Loser: -0.78%
Best: +7.79%
Worst: -6.00%
Trades: 329/415

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.2%
Avg Gain: -0.16%
Avg Winner: +1.33%
Avg Loser: -1.44%
Best: +7.13%
Worst: -8.79%
Trades: 350/405

30MIN

Win Rate: 45.3%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +1.64%
Avg Loser: -1.65%
Best: +7.60%
Worst: -11.53%
Trades: 343/404

60MIN

Win Rate: 46.2%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +1.92%
Avg Loser: -1.96%
Best: +9.39%
Worst: -13.26%
Trades: 350/401

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 48.4%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +2.77%
Avg Loser: -2.91%
Best: +16.99%
Worst: -17.12%
Trades: 367/380

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.67%
Best MFE: +17.55%
Avg Time to MFE: 123 min

On average, SOFI alerts reach +2.67% profit potential within 123 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.15%
Worst MAE: -16.17%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.15%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.33:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.33x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 759 alerts, SOFI typically reaches +2.67% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 759
Gap Up % 28.3%
Avg Gap -0.10%
Best Gap +1.35%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FINANCE SERVICES

How SOFI compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SOFI: -0.09% Sector: -0.22% +0.13%
EOD Gain
SOFI: -0.12% Sector: +101.11% -101.23%
Avg MFE
SOFI: +2.67% Sector: +5.23% -2.55%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SOFI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:29:55 $15.44 -0.79% +0.27% +1.07% +3.08% +4.99% +6.35% -1.30% -0.19% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:28:05 $14.99 +1.94% +1.21% +1.43% +0.57% +1.33% +2.44% -0.33% -0.20% WIN
2025-02-12 09:28:44 $14.56 -0.31% +0.21% +0.72% +1.29% +1.44% +1.99% -0.96% +0.14% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:29:14 $14.96 +0.48% +0.86% +1.34% +0.67% -0.87% +1.94% -0.60% +0.20% WIN
2025-02-10 09:25:17 $15.06 +0.27% +0.35% +0.74% +1.62% +0.46% +2.26% -0.40% -0.20% WIN
2025-02-07 09:27:31 $14.9 +1.87% +1.78% +1.91% +2.24% +0.07% +2.55% -0.47% - WIN
2025-02-06 09:28:24 $15.52 -0.57% -1.44% -3.42% -4.48% -4.64% +0.19% -0.32% +0.06% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:29:16 $15.18 +1.45% +1.03% +0.92% +1.84% +2.04% +2.50% +0.26% +0.40% WIN
2025-02-04 09:26:51 $15.54 -0.58% -0.23% -0.19% -0.32% -1.61% +0.51% -2.12% -0.32% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:26:13 $14.79 +2.31% +2.03% +2.70% +3.96% +4.12% +6.63% -0.20% +1.28% WIN
2025-01-31 09:29:42 $16.44 +0.46% -0.49% -0.43% +0.21% -4.01% +0.79% -0.36% - WIN
2025-01-30 09:25:11 $16.24 +0.26% +1.11% +1.79% +0.62% +1.23% +2.65% -0.80% +0.06% WIN
2025-01-29 09:27:58 $16.0 -0.37% +0.18% +0.34% +0.20% -0.06% +2.12% -0.88% +0.62% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:29:15 $16.23 -4.26% -5.18% -1.91% -2.34% -0.37% +0.12% -6.22% -0.68% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:29:03 $15.97 -0.50% +0.68% +1.31% +2.16% +0.69% +6.32% -2.63% -0.25% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:28:22 $18.12 +1.08% +1.24% +0.94% -0.17% -1.10% +1.66% -0.61% +0.17% WIN
2025-01-23 09:26:54 $17.39 +0.63% +1.42% +1.04% +2.04% +3.68% +4.72% -0.63% +0.06% WIN
2025-01-22 09:28:49 $17.92 -0.22% -1.17% -0.98% -1.14% -1.84% +0.78% -1.84% +0.78% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:25:08 $16.99 +0.62% +1.65% +1.53% +1.94% +5.36% +6.53% -0.59% +0.06% WIN
2025-01-17 09:27:38 $16.54 -0.67% -0.97% -0.57% -1.00% -0.24% +1.15% -2.18% -0.73% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ SOFI Shows Negative Expectancy

With 48.4% win rate and -0.12% average gain, SOFI alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider SOFI for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze SOFI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SOFI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SOFI historically offers an average upside of +2.67% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SOFI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 48.4%, SOFI shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests SOFI may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SOFI shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.12%). This suggests SOFI is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.