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PLUG Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 752 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 β†’ 2025-02-14

🏒 Company Profile

πŸ“ NASDAQ πŸ“… IPO: Oct 29, 1999 πŸ”— www.plugpower.com
πŸ’° Market Cap: $1.92B πŸ‘₯ Employees: 3,224
Plug Power is building an end-to-end green hydrogen ecosystemβ€”from production, storage, and delivery to energy generation. The company plans to build and operate green hydrogen highways across North America and Europe. Plug will deliver its green hydrogen solutions directly to its customers and through joint venture partners into multiple end markets, including material handling, e-mobility, power generation, and industrial applications.
πŸ“Š
752
Total Alerts
🎯
43.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
πŸ’°
-0.43%
Avg Gain (EOD)
πŸš€
+3.38%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

πŸ“ˆ Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 38.8%
Avg Gain: -0.29%
Avg Winner: +1.04%
Avg Loser: -1.18%
Best: +5.83%
Worst: -15.55%
Trades: 291/442

15MIN

Win Rate: 40.9%
Avg Gain: -0.29%
Avg Winner: +1.81%
Avg Loser: -1.79%
Best: +8.60%
Worst: -16.73%
Trades: 307/433

30MIN

Win Rate: 42.3%
Avg Gain: -0.30%
Avg Winner: +2.23%
Avg Loser: -2.22%
Best: +15.20%
Worst: -12.86%
Trades: 317/421

60MIN

Win Rate: 42.3%
Avg Gain: -0.40%
Avg Winner: +2.60%
Avg Loser: -2.61%
Best: +13.77%
Worst: -20.51%
Trades: 317/430

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 43.0%
Avg Gain: -0.43%
Avg Winner: +3.88%
Avg Loser: -3.78%
Best: +21.94%
Worst: -29.80%
Trades: 323/417

πŸš€ Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

πŸ“ˆ MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.38%
Best MFE: +23.67%
Avg Time to MFE: 107 min

On average, PLUG alerts reach +3.38% profit potential within 107 minutes.

πŸ“‰ MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.41%
Worst MAE: -9.88%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.41%.

βš–οΈ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.39:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.39x the typical drawdown.

πŸ’‘ Trading Insight: Based on 752 alerts, PLUG typically reaches +3.38% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.7% to capture most of the move.

πŸŒ… Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 β†’ 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 752
Gap Up % 29.8%
Avg Gap -0.15%
Best Gap +1.78%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ELECTRICAL INDUSTRIAL APPARATUS

How PLUG compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PLUG: -0.29% Sector: -0.27% -0.02%
EOD Gain
PLUG: -0.42% Sector: +668.65% -669.07%
Avg MFE
PLUG: +3.38% Sector: +3.56% -0.18%

πŸ“‹ Last 20 Alerts

Historical PLUG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:25:41 $1.77 +1.13% +0.01% +0.44% -2.54% -0.56% +1.69% - +0.56% WIN
2025-02-13 09:25:30 $1.69 +0.04% +0.30% +0.30% +1.48% +4.14% +6.51% -0.59% -0.59% WIN
2025-02-12 09:26:03 $1.6 -1.25% -0.31% - +3.75% +3.12% +5.62% -1.88% +1.25% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:26:33 $1.69 -2.07% -1.78% -0.30% -2.07% -4.14% +0.59% -2.35% +0.59% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:27:38 $1.87 -7.99% -7.75% -7.26% -3.25% -8.02% -0.50% -0.53% -0.53% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:27:54 $1.91 -1.57% -1.05% +0.06% -1.31% -3.66% +1.05% -1.57% -0.26% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:25:31 $1.9 +0.49% +0.53% -0.26% +0.26% +0.53% +2.11% -1.58% - WIN
2025-02-05 09:26:23 $1.97 +1.52% -1.44% -1.78% -0.25% -6.09% +1.52% -0.51% - WIN
2025-02-04 09:25:20 $1.88 - -0.53% +1.61% +3.59% +3.72% +7.98% -1.06% +0.53% -
2025-02-03 09:25:26 $1.8 -0.28% -0.28% +0.56% +6.94% +3.33% +8.89% -2.22% -0.56% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:25:02 $1.94 +1.03% +0.26% -0.26% -0.01% -4.12% +2.06% - +0.52% WIN
2025-01-30 09:27:43 $1.9 +0.50% - -1.58% -0.79% +1.05% +3.68% -3.16% - WIN
2025-01-29 09:25:57 $1.94 -1.81% -3.19% -3.09% -2.58% -3.09% - - -0.01% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:28:07 $1.96 -2.85% -3.46% -2.09% -0.26% - +2.04% -4.08% - LOSS
2025-01-27 09:26:46 $2.0 -0.99% +0.47% -1.00% +0.70% -2.50% +1.75% -1.50% - LOSS
2025-01-24 09:25:19 $2.15 -1.40% -0.92% -2.09% +0.47% -3.26% +2.33% -1.86% -1.86% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:29:17 $2.01 +3.73% +3.23% +2.98% +3.48% +3.98% +5.22% -1.49% +0.99% WIN
2025-01-22 09:25:11 $2.27 -0.53% -1.54% -1.98% -2.64% -10.57% +0.44% - - LOSS
2025-01-21 09:25:43 $2.34 +1.50% -1.29% -3.48% -4.47% -5.98% +2.14% - +0.85% WIN
2025-01-17 09:25:10 $2.7 +0.56% -3.33% -5.66% -7.04% -9.63% +2.55% -0.37% +0.74% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ PLUG Shows Negative Expectancy

With 43.0% win rate and -0.43% average gain, PLUG alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider PLUG for short-selling strategies.

πŸ“‰ Turn Negative Expectancy Positive β†’

Why Analyze PLUG with FILTRIX?

πŸ›‘οΈ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PLUG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

πŸ’° Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PLUG historically offers an average upside of +3.38% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

πŸ“Š PLUG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 43.0%, PLUG shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests PLUG may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: PLUG shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.43%). This suggests PLUG is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.