Nocera ($NCRA) is running on a massive catalyst gap-up of 118% after announcing its new AI strategy. Our database contains 2,881 historical instances of micro-caps gapping up 30% or more on fresh catalyst news. The cold, hard base rate: these setups close red 65% of the time, with a median intraday return of -6.79%. Chasers see a revolution; the data sees a temporary liquidity window that typically closes before the retail order even settles. The math does not care about the corporate press release. 65% close red.
$SOFI -8.90% — what the base rate says
What the data showed
- $SOFI -8.90% mcap $21.1B · float 1.3B shares · sector: FINANCE SERVICES
- $INTC -3.81% mcap $465.7B · float 4.0B shares · sector: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
- $NVDA -2.78% mcap $5009.9B · float 23.4B shares · sector: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
- $NOK -5.49% mcap $51.8B · float 5.7B shares · sector: Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment
- $CISS -20.48% mcap $2M · float 530,000 shares
- $JBLU -2.83% mcap $2.0B · float 308M shares · sector: AIR TRANSPORTATION, SCHEDULED
- $SKHY -2.89%
- $SXTC -7.81% mcap $7M · float 1M shares
- $MGN -12.25% mcap $5M · float 22M shares
- $AAL -1.82% mcap $9.6B · float 650M shares · sector: AIR TRANSPORTATION, SCHEDULED
Before you buy the next tiny micro-cap that magically shifts its entire business model into 'AI infrastructure,' run the historical odds on FILTRIX.net. The base rate will save your capital from the hype machine. Discipline > FOMO
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