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JBLU Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 387 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-12

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Apr 12, 2002 🔗 www.jetblue.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.92B 👥 Employees: 22,793
JetBlue Airways Corp is a low-cost airline that offers high-quality service, including assigned seating and in-flight entertainment. It served approximately 100 destinations in the United States, the Caribbean and Latin America, Canada, and England. The company currently operates Airbus A321, Airbus A320, Airbus A321neo, and Embraer E190 aircraft types. The company has one operating segment, Air Transportation Services, which provides services in the United States, the Caribbean, Latin America, Canada, and Europe. The majority of revenue is generated from the Domestic & Canada segment.
📊
387
Total Alerts
🎯
44.4%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-0.26%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+2.15%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.2%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.83%
Avg Loser: -0.94%
Best: +4.97%
Worst: -5.50%
Trades: 171/200

15MIN

Win Rate: 42.6%
Avg Gain: -0.23%
Avg Winner: +1.23%
Avg Loser: -1.38%
Best: +10.71%
Worst: -8.19%
Trades: 165/212

30MIN

Win Rate: 43.4%
Avg Gain: -0.19%
Avg Winner: +1.53%
Avg Loser: -1.58%
Best: +10.34%
Worst: -9.05%
Trades: 168/210

60MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.26%
Avg Winner: +1.72%
Avg Loser: -1.88%
Best: +15.39%
Worst: -12.98%
Trades: 172/211

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 43.2%
Avg Gain: -0.39%
Avg Winner: +2.30%
Avg Loser: -2.59%
Best: +10.82%
Worst: -14.39%
Trades: 167/206

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.15%
Best MFE: +16.99%
Avg Time to MFE: 113 min

On average, JBLU alerts reach +2.15% profit potential within 113 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.01%
Worst MAE: -6.78%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.01%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.14:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.14x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 387 alerts, JBLU typically reaches +2.15% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 387
Gap Up % 33.6%
Avg Gap -0.15%
Best Gap +1.85%

🏭 Sector Comparison: AIR TRANSPORTATION, SCHEDULED

How JBLU compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
JBLU: -0.11% Sector: -0.01% -0.11%
EOD Gain
JBLU: -0.39% Sector: -0.10% -0.29%
Avg MFE
JBLU: +2.15% Sector: +1.90% +0.25%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical JBLU alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-12 09:28:52 $6.32 -0.63% -0.87% -0.32% +0.24% +4.59% +5.38% -1.58% +0.16% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:26:51 $6.4 +0.22% -0.55% -0.04% -0.08% -0.78% +0.94% -0.16% - WIN
2025-02-06 09:28:25 $6.31 +2.47% +1.82% +3.09% +1.35% +3.01% +3.96% -0.24% -0.24% WIN
2025-02-04 09:25:13 $6.11 -0.17% -0.98% +0.70% +0.49% +1.15% +1.31% -1.47% -0.65% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:25:08 $6.28 +0.16% -1.27% -2.76% +0.40% -3.82% +1.59% -3.18% +0.32% WIN
2025-01-31 09:29:57 $6.44 +4.97% +10.71% +7.84% +6.98% +2.17% +11.49% -1.01% -0.16% WIN
2025-01-30 09:28:18 $6.09 +0.67% +1.64% +3.69% +2.05% +3.78% +5.25% -2.05% -0.33% WIN
2025-01-29 09:27:48 $6.02 -0.90% -1.41% -1.91% -2.66% +1.33% +3.99% -4.65% -0.33% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:27:52 $7.02 -3.35% -8.19% -9.05% -12.98% -14.39% -0.14% -1.71% -0.57% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:28:36 $8.0 -1.88% -1.62% -0.38% -0.62% -1.62% +0.98% +0.98% -0.12% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:26:44 $7.43 +0.81% +1.14% +2.29% +2.22% +2.83% +3.36% -0.07% +1.08% WIN
2025-01-15 09:25:19 $7.85 +0.76% +0.64% -0.64% -0.71% -1.53% +1.15% -0.13% +0.64% WIN
2025-01-14 09:28:40 $7.65 +0.92% +0.85% - +0.07% +0.52% +2.61% -0.78% - WIN
2025-01-10 09:26:47 $7.79 -0.39% +0.13% +1.09% +0.64% -1.16% +2.57% -0.77% +0.39% LOSS
2025-01-02 09:27:30 $8.0 -1.69% -2.38% -1.56% -3.69% -6.50% -0.62% -1.12% -1.25% LOSS
2024-12-12 09:29:16 $7.49 +2.40% +1.07% -0.02% +1.07% -3.34% +2.67% +0.67% +0.67% WIN
2024-12-10 09:28:19 $6.9 - -2.68% -0.94% -1.76% -1.74% +0.87% -0.67% -0.43% -
2024-12-09 09:28:01 $6.67 -1.50% -0.22% +0.71% +0.45% +2.25% +4.05% -2.10% -0.30% LOSS
2024-12-06 09:28:55 $6.57 +1.82% +1.37% +0.68% -0.46% +0.30% +3.81% -1.22% - WIN
2024-12-05 09:28:09 $6.75 +0.30% -2.74% -2.30% -3.11% -4.89% +0.74% -2.52% +0.15% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ JBLU Shows Negative Expectancy

With 44.4% win rate and -0.26% average gain, JBLU alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider JBLU for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze JBLU with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for JBLU. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, JBLU historically offers an average upside of +2.15% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 JBLU Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 44.4%, JBLU shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests JBLU may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: JBLU shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.26%). This suggests JBLU is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.