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$SLE +55.96% — what the base rate says

$SLE +55.96% — what the base rate says

Scoreboard check: yesterday's $IVF call cleared cleanly (opened $2.26, dumped to $1.53, -32%), while $XOS finished dead flat at $2.09.

Today $SLE is up +56% with a tiny 1M share float and not a single corporate filing to justify it. When traders bid up low-float names on zero catalyst, they trade vibes. We look at the base rate: across 2,411 historical low-float gap-ups without news, 70% close down with a median intraday decline of -10.5%.

Real fundamentals are moving elsewhere: $FLXS jumps +22% on record earnings while $FN drops -20% on its report.

Chasing the unbacked runner when 7 out of 10 historically bleed out is simply ignoring the math.

What the data showed

  • $SLE +55.96% Super League Enterprise, Inc. · closed red 70% · green 29% (n=2,411) mcap $4M · float 1M shares · sector: SERVICES-COMPUTER INTEGRATED SYSTEMS DESIGN
  • $FLXS +22.47% Flexsteel Industries, Inc. · closed red 53% · green 47% (n=171)
  • $RCEL +18.18% AVITA Medical, Inc. · closed red 52% · green 48% (n=337) mcap $243M · float 25M shares · sector: SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS
  • $UGI +11.30% UGI Corporation · closed red 59% · green 40% (n=11,458) mcap $7.6B · float 214M shares · sector: GAS & OTHER SERVICES COMBINED
  • $EYPT +11.19% EyePoint, Inc. · closed red 59% · green 40% (n=11,458) mcap $1.3B · float 83M shares · sector: LABORATORY ANALYTICAL INSTRUMENTS
  • $DUOT +10.41% Duos Technologies Group, Inc. · closed red 52% · green 47% (n=640) mcap $286M · float 25M shares · sector: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
  • $BKNG +3.33% Booking Holdings Inc. mcap $159.3B · float 773M shares · sector: TRANSPORTATION SERVICES
  • $CTVA +2.09% Corteva, Inc. mcap $51.2B · float 672M shares
  • $NUVB +1.54% Nuvation Bio Inc. mcap $2.2B · float 264M shares · sector: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
  • $ANF +1.51% Abercrombie & Fitch Co. mcap $4.8B · float 44M shares · sector: RETAIL-FAMILY CLOTHING STORES
  • $FN -20.36% Fabrinet · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=178) mcap $20.4B · float 36M shares · sector: TELEPHONE & TELEGRAPH APPARATUS
  • $VNET -14.58% VNET Group, Inc. · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=618) mcap $2.6B · float 108M shares
  • $AUR -12.41% Aurora Innovation, Inc. · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=6,903) mcap $13.7B · float 1.2B shares · sector: SERVICES-COMPUTER INTEGRATED SYSTEMS DESIGN
  • $IQ -9.40% iQIYI, Inc. mcap $1.1B · float 529M shares
  • $METC -7.73% Ramaco Resources, Inc. mcap $777M · float 43M shares · sector: BITUMINOUS COAL & LIGNITE MINING
  • $MU -7.02% Micron Technology, Inc. mcap $1097.4B · float 1.1B shares · sector: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
  • $CAAP -6.91% Corporación América Airports S.A. mcap $4.1B · float 29M shares
  • $SOXX -5.67% iShares Semiconductor ETF
  • $SMH -4.52% VanEck Semiconductor ETF
  • $NOK -3.94% Nokia Oyj mcap $60.1B · float 5.7B shares · sector: Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment

Run the historical base rates for low-float runners on FILTRIX.net before you risk capital on zero-news pumps. Discipline > FOMO.

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