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IQ Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 430 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

iQIYI, Inc. American Depositary Shares
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 29, 2018 🔗 www.iqiyi.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.96B 👥 Employees: 4,673
Iqiyi is a leading streaming video-on-demand company in China that generates revenue mostly through a subscription basis. The platform also provides user-generated content to nonpaying users, monetized through ads. The company self-produces much of the subscription content and also generates revenue through content distribution, gaming, and IP licensing. Iqiyi competes directly with Tencent Video, Alibaba's Youku, ByteDance's MangoTV, and Bilibili. The company is 45% and 5% owned by Baidu and Xiaomi, respectively.
📊
430
Total Alerts
🎯
48.8%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-0.01%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+4.17%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 45.1%
Avg Gain: -0.23%
Avg Winner: +1.41%
Avg Loser: -1.63%
Best: +5.47%
Worst: -9.12%
Trades: 194/230

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.7%
Avg Gain: -0.44%
Avg Winner: +2.08%
Avg Loser: -2.57%
Best: +14.43%
Worst: -11.92%
Trades: 192/229

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.4%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +2.78%
Avg Loser: -2.79%
Best: +19.28%
Worst: -16.56%
Trades: 204/222

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.8%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +3.32%
Avg Loser: -3.28%
Best: +27.02%
Worst: -18.81%
Trades: 210/214

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 45.1%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +4.22%
Avg Loser: -3.65%
Best: +21.89%
Worst: -17.63%
Trades: 194/220

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.17%
Best MFE: +33.26%
Avg Time to MFE: 97 min

On average, IQ alerts reach +4.17% profit potential within 97 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.70%
Worst MAE: -11.62%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.70%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.46:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.46x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 430 alerts, IQ typically reaches +4.17% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 430
Gap Up % 31.4%
Avg Gap -0.14%
Best Gap +3.02%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical IQ alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:29:45 $2.69 -0.93% -1.46% -3.53% -7.43% -5.58% +1.49% -0.37% - LOSS
2025-02-13 09:29:41 $2.46 +1.02% +2.24% +1.83% +2.24% +2.44% +5.69% -0.41% - WIN
2025-02-12 09:29:59 $2.29 +3.93% +6.99% +7.86% +8.95% +10.48% +13.54% -0.87% +0.44% WIN
2025-02-11 09:28:47 $2.35 -0.82% -1.06% -1.27% -2.27% -2.55% +0.85% -2.55% +0.43% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:28:22 $2.46 +1.63% -0.41% +0.61% +1.22% -2.44% +3.25% -0.41% -0.41% WIN
2025-02-07 09:27:58 $2.4 -0.21% -2.71% +0.00% -0.62% -0.83% +2.08% -3.33% - LOSS
2025-02-06 09:28:55 $2.26 -0.24% -1.11% -0.22% +0.89% +3.10% +6.42% -1.33% +0.44% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:28:12 $2.19 -0.23% +0.46% +0.46% +0.37% -0.91% +1.83% -2.28% -0.91% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:27:46 $2.17 +0.92% +2.30% +0.69% +1.38% +1.84% +5.53% -0.92% - WIN
2025-02-03 09:27:21 $2.08 +1.92% +3.61% +4.68% +3.12% +0.48% +5.29% -1.44% +0.48% WIN
2025-01-31 09:29:38 $2.34 -2.99% -5.13% -5.20% -6.84% -7.26% -0.85% -2.56% -0.85% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:26:07 $2.21 +2.94% -1.36% -2.71% -1.58% +0.91% +4.07% - - WIN
2025-01-24 09:29:15 $2.02 +1.24% +3.22% +5.45% +8.66% +10.40% +14.85% -0.49% -0.49% WIN
2025-01-22 09:27:51 $1.98 -2.78% -2.02% -1.77% -0.25% -1.52% +1.52% -3.54% -1.01% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:29:34 $1.99 -1.51% -1.51% -2.01% -1.00% -0.50% +2.01% -2.51% - LOSS
2025-01-17 09:29:13 $1.9 +1.84% +2.89% +4.21% +2.37% +2.11% +5.26% -0.48% - WIN
2025-01-16 09:26:59 $1.89 -2.17% -1.85% -2.12% -1.85% -1.06% - -0.53% -0.53% LOSS
2025-01-14 09:28:52 $1.91 -1.57% -2.88% -3.66% -2.88% -3.14% +0.26% -1.05% -0.52% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:29:44 $1.91 -0.79% -1.05% -1.31% -1.31% -4.19% -0.52% -3.14% -0.52% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:28:13 $2.0 -1.25% -2.25% -1.75% -0.50% +1.00% +1.75% -2.50% - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ IQ Shows Negative Expectancy

With 48.8% win rate and -0.01% average gain, IQ alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider IQ for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze IQ with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for IQ. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, IQ historically offers an average upside of +4.17% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 IQ Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 48.8%, IQ shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests IQ may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: IQ shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.01%). This suggests IQ is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.