$SMH
Trade-Ideas alerts 49.5% at 5-min n=275 2022-01-21 → 2026-10-02
🏢 Company Profile
Practice trading SMH on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →
Playable SMH setups
Historical SMH setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, SMH alerts reach +1.31% profit potential within 140 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.60%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.18x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 275 alerts, SMH typically reaches +1.31% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical SMH alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | 09:25:00 | $632.4 | -0.28% | +0.08% | +0.28% | +0.53% | -0.28% | +0.61% | -0.54% | -0.02% | LOSS |
| 2026-10-01 | 09:25:00 | $610.9 | -0.03% | +0.51% | +0.41% | -0.28% | +1.13% | +1.64% | -0.60% | -0.00% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-30 | 09:25:00 | $609.76 | +0.01% | -0.12% | -0.09% | -0.18% | -0.12% | +0.36% | -0.26% | +0.00% | WIN |
| 2026-09-29 | 09:25:00 | $607.83 | +0.07% | -0.19% | +0.31% | +0.57% | -0.15% | +0.90% | -0.47% | +0.19% | WIN |
| 2026-09-28 | 09:25:00 | $604.75 | -0.01% | -0.24% | -0.43% | -0.94% | -0.78% | +0.53% | -0.16% | +0.09% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-25 | 09:25:00 | $604.32 | +0.16% | +0.59% | +0.80% | -0.02% | +0.37% | +0.88% | -0.19% | +0.21% | WIN |
| 2026-09-24 | 09:25:00 | $591.7 | -0.14% | +0.17% | +0.14% | +0.29% | +1.49% | +1.75% | -0.47% | -0.01% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-23 | 09:25:00 | $604.21 | +0.24% | -0.46% | -0.80% | -1.47% | -0.46% | +0.34% | -0.24% | +0.03% | WIN |
| 2026-09-22 | 09:25:00 | $590.07 | +0.64% | +1.15% | +1.47% | +1.87% | +2.95% | +3.15% | -0.09% | +0.27% | WIN |
| 2026-09-21 | 09:25:00 | $582.35 | -0.06% | +0.21% | +0.40% | +0.62% | +2.35% | +2.79% | -0.66% | -0.08% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-18 | 09:25:00 | $561.83 | +0.33% | +0.60% | +0.59% | +0.69% | +1.99% | +3.38% | -0.15% | +0.19% | WIN |
| 2026-09-17 | 09:25:00 | $559.71 | +0.01% | -0.28% | +0.17% | +0.10% | +0.16% | +0.37% | -0.38% | +0.07% | WIN |
| 2026-09-16 | 09:25:00 | $550.04 | -0.02% | -0.14% | +0.26% | +0.18% | -0.81% | +0.57% | -0.32% | -0.02% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-15 | 09:25:00 | $545.99 | -0.01% | -0.12% | +0.27% | -0.21% | -0.71% | +0.40% | -0.20% | +0.11% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-14 | 09:25:00 | $540.95 | -0.30% | -0.46% | +0.27% | +0.47% | +0.10% | +1.07% | -0.60% | -0.18% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-11 | 09:25:00 | $568.69 | -0.42% | -0.13% | +0.13% | +0.31% | -0.03% | +0.72% | -0.82% | +0.02% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-10 | 09:25:00 | $561.13 | +0.36% | +0.33% | -0.56% | +0.34% | -0.15% | +0.72% | -0.72% | +0.07% | WIN |
| 2026-09-09 | 09:25:00 | $569.47 | +0.69% | +0.90% | +1.12% | +1.06% | +0.85% | +1.42% | +0.01% | +0.08% | WIN |
| 2026-09-08 | 09:25:00 | $578.9 | +0.17% | -0.53% | -0.75% | -0.69% | -0.89% | +0.29% | -0.19% | -0.03% | WIN |
| 2026-09-04 | 09:25:00 | $561.16 | -0.47% | +0.53% | +1.38% | +1.02% | +1.04% | +1.47% | -0.61% | -0.12% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠ SMH Shows Negative Expectancy
With 49.5% win rate and -0.02% average gain, SMH alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider SMH for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze SMH with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SMH. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, SMH historically offers an average upside of +1.31% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 SMH Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 49.5%, SMH shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests SMH may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: SMH shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.02%). This suggests SMH is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.