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Ticker Report β€” Active Last signal Β·

$SMH

Trade-Ideas alert history 139 alerts 2022-01-21 β†’ 2025-02-03

🏒 Company Profile

VanEck Semiconductor ETF
πŸ“ NASDAQ πŸ“… IPO: Dec 20, 2011
Total alerts
139
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate Β· 5MIN
48.2%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain Β· 5MIN
-0.03%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.30%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading SMH on historical setups β€” browse all patterns across all tickers β†’

Playable SMH setups

Historical SMH setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.

πŸ“ˆ Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 48.2%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.33%
Avg Loser: -0.37%
Best: +1.20%
Worst: -1.66%
Trades: 67/71

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.0%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.53%
Avg Loser: -0.58%
Best: +2.67%
Worst: -1.92%
Trades: 64/75

30MIN

Win Rate: 42.4%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +0.72%
Avg Loser: -0.80%
Best: +4.05%
Worst: -2.27%
Trades: 59/79

60MIN

Win Rate: 41.0%
Avg Gain: -0.16%
Avg Winner: +0.93%
Avg Loser: -0.92%
Best: +4.04%
Worst: -3.05%
Trades: 57/82

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 45.3%
Avg Gain: -4.45%
Avg Winner: +1.49%
Avg Loser: -9.37%
Best: +7.41%
Worst: -52.62%
Trades: 63/76

πŸš€ Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

πŸ“ˆ MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.30%
Best MFE: +9.31%
Avg Time to MFE: 140 min

On average, SMH alerts reach +1.30% profit potential within 140 minutes.

πŸ“‰ MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.65%
Worst MAE: -4.02%
Avg Time to MAE: 20 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.65%.

βš–οΈ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.01:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.01x the typical drawdown.

πŸ’‘ Trading Insight: Based on 139 alerts, SMH typically reaches +1.30% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.

πŸŒ… Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 β†’ 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 139
Gap Up % 51.8%
Avg Gap +0.00%
Best Gap +0.62%

πŸ“‹ Last 20 Alerts

Historical SMH alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-03 09:26:34 $235.89 -0.06% +0.14% +0.19% +1.41% +1.23% +2.44% -0.33% +0.03% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:27:56 $242.95 -1.00% -1.02% -0.60% -1.23% -1.41% -0.20% -1.23% -0.22% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:29:47 $238.07 -1.66% -1.92% -1.15% -0.50% +1.00% +1.24% -2.44% -0.08% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:29:55 $242.48 +0.47% +0.38% +0.42% -0.14% -2.75% +1.07% -0.60% - WIN
2025-01-24 09:29:19 $267.78 -0.86% -1.25% -0.75% -1.26% -2.33% -0.13% -0.29% -0.14% LOSS
2025-01-16 09:26:49 $256.62 -0.34% -0.21% -0.70% -0.53% -1.69% +0.23% -0.29% +0.19% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:27:38 $240.72 +0.53% +0.68% +1.11% +0.54% +1.63% +1.75% -0.04% +0.14% WIN
2025-01-06 09:27:58 $258.38 +0.81% +1.04% +1.34% +1.85% +0.72% +1.90% -0.24% +0.11% WIN
2024-12-19 09:27:13 $243.7 -0.68% -0.55% -0.92% -1.46% -1.98% -0.18% -0.49% -0.29% LOSS
2024-12-13 09:25:59 $249.3 +0.19% +0.11% +0.77% +0.05% +0.08% +0.93% -0.18% +0.09% WIN
2024-11-26 09:29:45 $245.67 -0.13% -0.47% -1.06% -1.29% -1.73% +0.18% -0.08% +0.06% LOSS
2024-11-21 09:26:09 $245.65 +0.94% -0.79% -0.83% -1.73% +0.18% +1.03% -0.11% -0.05% WIN
2024-11-18 09:25:43 $239.0 -0.08% -0.13% -0.61% +0.65% +1.06% +1.33% -0.67% +0.01% LOSS
2024-11-12 09:28:47 $253.0 -0.43% -0.32% +0.10% +0.03% -0.45% +0.23% -0.50% +0.04% LOSS
2024-11-06 09:26:12 $251.0 +0.57% +1.06% -0.10% +0.51% +1.52% +1.99% -0.31% +0.51% WIN
2024-11-01 09:25:08 $243.9 +0.06% +0.39% +0.91% +1.09% +0.35% +1.39% -0.23% +0.12% WIN
2024-10-30 09:26:02 $251.38 +0.05% -0.36% +0.16% +0.34% -0.28% +0.64% -0.77% +0.14% WIN
2024-10-17 09:26:35 $255.75 -0.47% -0.67% -0.40% -0.35% -1.63% +0.16% -1.46% -0.22% LOSS
2024-10-16 09:28:02 $249.69 -0.54% -1.01% -1.43% -0.27% -0.95% +0.06% -0.35% +0.06% LOSS
2024-10-03 09:25:47 $241.68 +0.16% +1.10% +1.56% +1.11% +1.19% +2.26% -0.14% -0.05% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ SMH Shows Negative Expectancy

With 48.2% win rate and -0.03% average gain, SMH alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider SMH for short-selling strategies.

πŸ“‰ Turn Negative Expectancy Positive β†’

Why Analyze SMH with FILTRIX?

πŸ›‘οΈ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SMH. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

πŸ’° Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SMH historically offers an average upside of +1.30% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

πŸ“Š SMH Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 48.2%, SMH shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests SMH may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SMH shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.03%). This suggests SMH is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.