Latest signal:
SOXX Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 57 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-08-04 → 2025-01-29
⚠️ Small sample size (57 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, SOXX alerts reach +1.22% profit potential within 127 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.65%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 57 alerts, SOXX typically reaches +1.22% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical SOXX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-29 | 09:25:32 | $216.29 | -0.91% | -0.84% | -0.59% | -0.94% | -0.88% | +0.00% | +0.00% | -0.34% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-28 | 09:27:10 | $213.43 | -0.48% | -1.82% | -1.04% | -0.21% | +0.03% | +0.63% | -2.08% | +0.09% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:26:52 | $219.65 | -0.38% | -0.75% | -0.32% | -0.92% | -3.23% | -0.02% | -1.15% | -0.30% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-13 | 09:29:41 | $213.98 | +0.10% | +0.41% | +0.93% | +0.51% | +1.66% | +1.80% | -0.15% | -0.06% | WIN |
| 2025-01-06 | 09:28:33 | $226.68 | +1.34% | +1.56% | +2.00% | +2.26% | +0.98% | +2.26% | +0.08% | +0.26% | WIN |
| 2024-12-13 | 09:28:53 | $222.24 | +0.15% | +0.82% | +0.92% | +0.03% | +0.48% | +1.09% | -0.21% | +0.03% | WIN |
| 2024-10-31 | 09:26:23 | $225.28 | -1.15% | -1.72% | -2.69% | -2.66% | -3.12% | -0.13% | -0.67% | -0.17% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-18 | 09:26:00 | $231.0 | -0.55% | -0.24% | -0.25% | -0.22% | -0.71% | +0.30% | - | +0.13% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-16 | 09:26:19 | $229.9 | -0.83% | -0.65% | -1.31% | -0.08% | -1.10% | +0.17% | +0.04% | +0.10% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-14 | 09:25:16 | $237.05 | +0.00% | +0.25% | +0.92% | +0.81% | +1.16% | +1.37% | -0.10% | -0.04% | LOSS |
| 2024-09-11 | 09:27:41 | $211.82 | +0.56% | +0.16% | -0.90% | -1.05% | +3.82% | +4.02% | -2.20% | -0.11% | WIN |
| 2024-09-06 | 09:28:47 | $211.9 | -0.81% | -1.49% | -2.28% | -2.84% | -3.76% | +0.03% | -0.19% | -0.21% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-09 | 09:28:52 | $211.59 | +0.54% | -0.14% | -1.05% | -0.63% | +0.09% | +0.99% | -1.34% | -0.05% | WIN |
| 2024-08-08 | 09:28:19 | $205.63 | -0.52% | -0.93% | -0.99% | +1.10% | +3.60% | +3.84% | -2.13% | -0.08% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-06 | 09:29:04 | $205.42 | -0.35% | -1.39% | -0.01% | -0.13% | -0.20% | +2.46% | -1.79% | -0.18% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-05 | 09:28:51 | $193.2 | +1.26% | +2.22% | +3.79% | +3.66% | +5.16% | +8.01% | -0.44% | -0.06% | WIN |
| 2024-08-02 | 09:26:26 | $209.59 | -0.84% | +0.34% | -0.83% | -1.14% | -1.33% | +0.89% | -1.83% | -0.25% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-01 | 09:27:36 | $231.99 | +0.13% | +0.44% | -0.01% | -1.47% | -5.85% | +0.53% | -0.65% | -0.25% | WIN |
| 2024-07-31 | 09:28:35 | $230.36 | -0.55% | -0.17% | +0.12% | +0.05% | +2.18% | +2.32% | -0.60% | +0.16% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-25 | 09:27:04 | $229.14 | -1.60% | -0.72% | -2.28% | -1.93% | -2.00% | +1.27% | -3.71% | -0.62% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ SOXX Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 56.1% win rate, SOXX has -0.05% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making SOXX profitable.
🔧 Fix SOXX Risk/Reward →Why Analyze SOXX with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SOXX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, SOXX historically offers an average upside of +1.22% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 SOXX Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 56.1%, SOXX shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.69%) outweigh average wins (+0.45%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: SOXX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.05%). This suggests SOXX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.