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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$SOXX

Trade-Ideas alerts 51.5% at 30-min n=198 2022-08-04 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

iShares Semiconductor ETF
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 10, 2001
Total alerts
198
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 30MIN
51.5%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 30MIN
-0.04%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.43%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading SOXX on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 48.5%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.32%
Avg Loser: -0.37%
Best: +1.34%
Worst: -1.60%
Trades: 96/102

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.5%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.63%
Avg Loser: -0.69%
Best: +2.64%
Worst: -2.28%
Trades: 100/96

30MIN

Win Rate: 51.5%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.84%
Avg Loser: -0.98%
Best: +3.79%
Worst: -5.54%
Trades: 102/96

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.5%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +1.08%
Avg Loser: -1.09%
Best: +3.66%
Worst: -4.32%
Trades: 96/102

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 51.5%
Avg Gain: -1.79%
Avg Winner: +1.51%
Avg Loser: -5.30%
Best: +5.91%
Worst: -67.57%
Trades: 102/96

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.43%
Best MFE: +8.01%
Avg Time to MFE: 145 min

On average, SOXX alerts reach +1.43% profit potential within 145 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.62%
Worst MAE: -3.71%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.62%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.29:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.29x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 198 alerts, SOXX typically reaches +1.43% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 198
Gap Up % 46.0%
Avg Gap -0.02%
Best Gap +0.58%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SOXX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $590.57 -0.29% +0.27% +0.41% +0.87% -0.28% +0.99% -0.46% +0.06% LOSS
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $569.61 -0.07% +0.41% +0.13% -0.60% +1.18% +1.82% -0.98% -0.07% LOSS
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $568.41 +0.35% +0.00% -0.12% -0.27% +0.04% +0.69% -0.10% +0.06% WIN
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $569.11 -0.01% -0.32% +0.46% +0.68% -0.29% +0.94% -0.67% +0.12% LOSS
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $568.54 -0.17% -0.66% -0.92% -1.57% -1.36% +0.41% -0.31% +0.03% LOSS
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $570.29 -0.04% +0.54% +0.60% -0.05% +0.42% +0.95% -0.52% -0.14% LOSS
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $554.08 +0.18% +0.66% +0.52% +0.64% +2.16% +2.30% -0.15% +0.15% WIN
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $569.72 +0.15% -0.84% -1.18% -2.00% -0.70% +0.32% -0.30% +0.12% WIN
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $553.8 +0.41% +1.11% +1.57% +2.12% +3.43% +3.56% -0.22% -0.01% WIN
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $545.12 +0.14% +0.33% +0.59% +0.99% +2.61% +3.13% -0.67% -0.01% WIN
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $520.2 +0.66% +0.79% +0.87% +0.98% +2.47% +2.52% -0.07% +0.48% WIN
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $518.47 -0.17% -0.55% +0.14% -0.08% +0.12% +0.38% -0.71% -0.27% LOSS
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $507.2 -0.03% -0.14% +0.37% +0.26% -1.01% +0.62% -0.36% -0.10% LOSS
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $501.89 -0.02% -0.11% +0.45% -0.04% -0.61% +0.57% -0.37% +0.13% LOSS
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $497.7 -0.22% -0.42% +0.31% +0.54% -0.06% +1.10% -0.51% -0.11% LOSS
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $526.16 -0.47% -0.24% +0.02% +0.28% +0.17% +0.93% -0.96% -0.18% LOSS
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $516.34 +0.65% +0.75% -0.19% +0.78% +0.21% +1.19% -0.39% +0.38% WIN
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $524.49 +0.73% +1.05% +1.59% +1.60% +1.43% +2.10% -0.15% +0.07% WIN
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $530.41 +0.35% -0.30% -0.47% -0.15% -0.38% +0.73% -0.93% +0.02% WIN
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $508.75 -0.09% +1.00% +2.08% +1.72% +2.18% +2.32% -0.29% +0.11% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ SOXX Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 51.5% win rate, SOXX has -0.04% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making SOXX profitable.

🔧 Fix SOXX Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze SOXX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SOXX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SOXX historically offers an average upside of +1.43% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SOXX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.5%, SOXX shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.98%) outweigh average wins (+0.84%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SOXX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.04%). This suggests SOXX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.