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$BATL -8.15% — what the base rate says

$BATL -8.15% — what the base rate says

$EDBL is up 33.64% on news that it hired a construction company to build out a hub. A $2M micro-cap trading on a standard corporate chore.

Our backtester has logged 2,881 historical daily setups matching this exact catalyst-driven gap-up pattern. The base rate is brutal: they closed red 65% of the time, with a median intraday return of -6.79%.

When a $2M company rallies on routine operational spending, the market isn't pricing in growth—it is pricing in retail impatience.

We'll grade the close on this one at 4 PM to see if the historical math holds up yet again.

What the data showed

  • $BATL -8.15% Battalion Oil Corporation mcap $31M · float 8M shares · sector: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
  • $ONFO -23.96% Onfolio Holdings, Inc. · closed red 56% · green 43% (n=2,153) mcap $3M · float 4M shares · sector: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION
  • $AAL -5.15% American Airlines Group Inc. mcap $11.7B · float 650M shares · sector: AIR TRANSPORTATION, SCHEDULED
  • $RIVN -0.55% Rivian Automotive, Inc. mcap $27.0B · float 756M shares · sector: MOTOR VEHICLES & PASSENGER CAR BODIES
  • $INTC -3.22% Intel Corporation mcap $614.2B · float 4.0B shares · sector: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
  • $CPOP -41.71% Pop Culture Group Co., Ltd · closed red 62% · green 37% (n=641) mcap $25M · float 2M shares
  • $SOFI -2.54% SoFi Technologies, Inc. mcap $23.9B · float 1.3B shares · sector: FINANCE SERVICES
  • $YHC -12.25% LQR House Inc. · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=6,903) mcap $833,282 · float 21M shares · sector: BEVERAGES
  • $OPEN -2.71% Opendoor Technologies Inc. mcap $4.9B · float 948M shares · sector: REAL ESTATE AGENTS & MANAGERS (FOR OTHERS)
  • $NOK -1.39% Nokia Oyj mcap $69.8B · float 5.7B shares · sector: Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment

Before you chase a micro-cap pumping on a routine construction update, run the numbers. Backtest the intraday fade profile of catalyst-driven gap-ups on FILTRIX.net. Discipline > FOMO

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