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RIVN Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 754 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, RIVN alerts reach +3.30% profit potential within 120 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.37%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.4x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 754 alerts, RIVN typically reaches +3.30% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.6% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: MOTOR VEHICLES & PASSENGER CAR BODIES
How RIVN compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical RIVN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-14 | 09:26:57 | $13.45 | +2.49% | +1.26% | +2.12% | +1.45% | +4.31% | +5.50% | -0.00% | +0.19% | WIN |
| 2025-02-13 | 09:25:16 | $12.65 | +0.08% | +0.32% | +0.82% | +3.72% | +5.14% | +5.38% | -0.57% | +0.16% | WIN |
| 2025-02-12 | 09:26:20 | $12.3 | +1.14% | +1.83% | +1.83% | +1.67% | +1.46% | +3.50% | -0.41% | +0.20% | WIN |
| 2025-02-11 | 09:27:20 | $12.86 | -1.17% | -0.51% | +0.16% | +0.04% | -3.27% | +0.62% | -2.02% | -0.54% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-10 | 09:26:25 | $12.63 | +1.11% | -0.32% | +1.31% | +1.27% | +2.85% | +3.64% | -0.63% | +0.24% | WIN |
| 2025-02-07 | 09:28:17 | $12.82 | -0.61% | -0.43% | -0.31% | -0.31% | -2.65% | +0.32% | -1.87% | - | LOSS |
| 2025-02-06 | 09:25:50 | $12.9 | -0.54% | -0.70% | -0.84% | -0.12% | -0.78% | +2.48% | -1.94% | -0.15% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-05 | 09:29:58 | $12.82 | -0.39% | +0.08% | +1.59% | +0.35% | -0.39% | +1.99% | -0.70% | -0.08% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-04 | 09:29:07 | $12.35 | +2.02% | +2.31% | +2.83% | +3.56% | +4.21% | +5.10% | -0.32% | - | WIN |
| 2025-02-03 | 09:25:24 | $11.98 | -0.50% | +0.71% | +1.04% | +3.43% | +3.42% | +4.80% | -0.75% | +0.33% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-31 | 09:29:26 | $12.47 | +1.40% | +1.34% | +1.96% | +3.73% | +0.72% | +4.17% | -0.16% | -0.16% | WIN |
| 2025-01-30 | 09:26:26 | $12.58 | +0.04% | -0.36% | -0.04% | +0.56% | -0.56% | +1.83% | -0.79% | -0.08% | WIN |
| 2025-01-29 | 09:27:55 | $12.37 | +0.89% | -0.55% | -0.65% | +0.28% | +0.40% | +1.94% | -0.65% | -0.24% | WIN |
| 2025-01-28 | 09:28:07 | $12.87 | -1.57% | -2.95% | -1.64% | -1.86% | -1.24% | +0.16% | -0.08% | +0.08% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:29:51 | $12.82 | +2.06% | +3.39% | +2.65% | +4.91% | +0.23% | +5.77% | -0.23% | -0.23% | WIN |
| 2025-01-24 | 09:29:56 | $12.73 | +0.71% | -0.55% | -0.79% | +0.90% | +0.31% | +3.61% | -1.96% | -0.16% | WIN |
| 2025-01-23 | 09:29:07 | $12.62 | +0.32% | -1.35% | -1.90% | -2.61% | -1.03% | +1.18% | -0.48% | -0.16% | WIN |
| 2025-01-22 | 09:29:31 | $13.08 | -0.38% | -1.87% | -1.87% | -1.26% | -2.98% | +0.46% | -1.01% | +0.15% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-21 | 09:26:55 | $13.83 | +1.30% | -0.29% | -2.89% | -2.82% | -3.90% | +1.66% | -0.14% | +0.07% | WIN |
| 2025-01-17 | 09:28:11 | $14.64 | +3.55% | +3.61% | +3.18% | +0.56% | -2.94% | +4.78% | -0.48% | +0.24% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ RIVN Shows Negative Expectancy
With 48.3% win rate and -0.15% average gain, RIVN alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider RIVN for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze RIVN with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RIVN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, RIVN historically offers an average upside of +3.30% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 RIVN Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 48.3%, RIVN shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests RIVN may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: RIVN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.15%). This suggests RIVN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.