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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$RIVN

Trade-Ideas alerts 48.0% at EOD n=825 2022-01-03 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

Rivian Automotive, Inc. Class A Common Stock MOTOR VEHICLES & PASSENGER CAR BODIES (SIC 3711)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 10, 2021 🔗 www.rivian.com
💰 Market Cap: $20.70B 👥 Employees: 15,232
Rivian is a battery electric vehicle automaker that sells its vehicles in the US and Canada. The company also develops electronic control units and related software for autos in a joint venture with Volkswagen. Rivian has multiple vehicles in its fleet, which include a luxury truck, a full-size SUV, and a delivery van. The company plans to begin selling a midsize SUV in 2026. Total deliveries were over 42,000 in 2025. Rivian is also developing autonomous driving software to be used in its vehicles and for robotaxis on the Uber ride-hailing network.
Total alerts
825
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
48.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
-0.17%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+3.24%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading RIVN on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

Playable RIVN setups

Historical RIVN setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 46.3%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +0.88%
Avg Loser: -0.97%
Best: +5.18%
Worst: -8.34%
Trades: 381/434

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.1%
Avg Gain: -0.19%
Avg Winner: +1.52%
Avg Loser: -1.68%
Best: +10.32%
Worst: -8.42%
Trades: 379/436

30MIN

Win Rate: 46.2%
Avg Gain: -0.16%
Avg Winner: +1.96%
Avg Loser: -1.98%
Best: +12.19%
Worst: -8.19%
Trades: 380/441

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.8%
Avg Gain: -0.22%
Avg Winner: +2.31%
Avg Loser: -2.38%
Best: +21.78%
Worst: -11.89%
Trades: 377/441

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 48.0%
Avg Gain: -0.17%
Avg Winner: +3.13%
Avg Loser: -3.28%
Best: +18.29%
Worst: -14.31%
Trades: 396/422

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.24%
Best MFE: +24.53%
Avg Time to MFE: 119 min

On average, RIVN alerts reach +3.24% profit potential within 119 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.35%
Worst MAE: -8.26%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.35%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.41:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.41x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 825 alerts, RIVN typically reaches +3.24% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 825
Gap Up % 35.9%
Avg Gap -0.09%
Best Gap +3.50%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MOTOR VEHICLES & PASSENGER CAR BODIES

How RIVN compares to 18 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RIVN: -0.10% Sector: -0.18% +0.08%
EOD Gain
RIVN: -0.18% Sector: +888.19% -888.37%
Avg MFE
RIVN: +3.24% Sector: +2.89% +0.36%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RIVN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $15.22 -0.10% -2.69% -7.13% -5.45% -6.04% +0.92% -0.59% +0.33% LOSS
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $14.95 +0.13% -1.37% -1.50% -2.37% -1.27% +0.49% -0.20% +0.20% WIN
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $15.13 -0.40% -1.12% -1.14% +0.10% -1.26% +0.99% -1.49% -0.20% LOSS
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $14.94 -0.03% -0.97% -0.94% -0.03% +0.20% +2.68% -1.61% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $15.0 -0.33% -0.57% +0.64% +1.39% +1.93% +3.83% -1.33% -0.60% LOSS
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $15.53 +0.69% -1.35% -1.26% -1.80% -2.51% +1.03% -0.06% +0.06% WIN
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $15.24 +0.85% +2.10% +1.31% +1.28% +0.79% +2.69% -0.36% -0.13% WIN
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $15.47 +0.78% -1.68% -1.65% -2.59% -3.10% +1.13% -0.45% -0.16% WIN
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $15.52 +0.90% +2.26% +0.55% +2.77% -0.80% +3.64% -0.35% +0.36% WIN
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $15.8 +0.82% +0.63% +1.71% +0.41% +0.38% +2.85% +0.06% +0.41% WIN
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $15.83 -1.17% -0.28% +0.35% +3.08% +1.39% +3.63% -1.71% -0.51% LOSS
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $15.79 -0.41% -0.54% -0.13% -0.32% -0.35% +0.41% -0.60% -0.16% LOSS
2026-09-01 09:25:00 $15.66 +1.02% -1.31% -0.70% -0.38% -0.80% +1.47% +1.28% +0.13% WIN
2026-08-31 09:25:00 $15.93 +1.01% +1.82% +1.51% +2.64% +0.82% +3.20% -1.00% -0.19% WIN
2026-08-28 09:25:00 $16.63 +0.07% -3.24% -2.64% -4.23% -3.36% +0.97% +0.01% -0.71% WIN
2026-08-25 09:25:00 $16.81 +0.37% -1.64% -1.16% -0.71% -0.42% +0.80% -1.78% +0.18% WIN
2026-08-24 09:25:00 $16.92 +0.35% +0.00% +0.12% +0.74% -1.89% +1.39% -0.59% +0.41% WIN
2026-08-20 09:25:00 $15.68 +0.22% +0.29% +0.19% -0.19% +2.14% +3.22% -0.99% +0.22% WIN
2026-08-19 09:25:00 $14.97 +0.13% +0.90% +1.54% +1.17% +5.08% +5.14% -0.33% +0.33% WIN
2026-08-17 09:25:00 $15.19 -0.03% +0.66% -2.25% -2.34% -2.11% +1.12% -1.05% +0.33% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ RIVN Shows Negative Expectancy

With 48.0% win rate and -0.17% average gain, RIVN alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider RIVN for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze RIVN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RIVN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RIVN historically offers an average upside of +3.24% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RIVN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 48.0%, RIVN shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests RIVN may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: RIVN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.17%). This suggests RIVN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.