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BUR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 14 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-12-15 → 2024-11-07

⚠️ Small sample size (14 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Burford Capital Limited FINANCE SERVICES (SIC 6199)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Apr 15, 2013 🔗 www.burfordcapital.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.13B 👥 Employees: 160
Burford Capital Ltd is a finance firm providing litigation finance, insurance, and risk transfer, law firm lending, corporate intelligence and judgment enforcement, and a wide range of investment activities. It operates in two segments: Principal Finance, which allocates capital to legal finance assets from its balance sheet, primarily as capital provision assets and in limited scope through interests in private funds managed by the company; Asset management and other services, which includes the provision of services to the legal industry, including litigation insurance; and other corporate. The geographical segments include the United States, United Kingdom, Singapore, Hong Kong, China, and, Australia.
📊
14
Total Alerts
🎯
69.2%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+1.14%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+3.66%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: +0.42%
Avg Winner: +1.69%
Avg Loser: -0.53%
Best: +3.31%
Worst: -0.93%
Trades: 6/8

15MIN

Win Rate: 69.2%
Avg Gain: +1.14%
Avg Winner: +2.05%
Avg Loser: -0.90%
Best: +8.51%
Worst: -1.38%
Trades: 9/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 64.3%
Avg Gain: +1.66%
Avg Winner: +2.96%
Avg Loser: -0.84%
Best: +11.24%
Worst: -1.09%
Trades: 9/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.16%
Avg Winner: +4.08%
Avg Loser: -1.76%
Best: +11.23%
Worst: -4.51%
Trades: 7/7

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: +1.15%
Avg Winner: +5.90%
Avg Loser: -2.41%
Best: +16.20%
Worst: -7.68%
Trades: 6/8

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.66%
Best MFE: +19.17%
Avg Time to MFE: 99 min

On average, BUR alerts reach +3.66% profit potential within 99 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.80%
Worst MAE: -2.35%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.80%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.58:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.58x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 14 alerts, BUR typically reaches +3.66% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 14
Gap Up % 35.7%
Avg Gap +0.04%
Best Gap +1.49%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FINANCE SERVICES

How BUR compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BUR: +0.47% Sector: -0.22% +0.69%
EOD Gain
BUR: +1.31% Sector: +101.11% -99.80%
Avg MFE
BUR: +3.95% Sector: +5.23% -1.28%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BUR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-07 09:26:24 $13.63 +0.88% +1.17% +2.42% +4.81% +4.55% +6.68% -2.35% +1.10% WIN
2024-06-25 09:29:26 $12.78 -0.23% +0.23% +0.55% +1.29% -0.16% +2.58% -1.10% - LOSS
2024-05-01 09:27:13 $15.29 +0.78% +1.50% +1.57% +1.50% +1.11% +2.75% +0.33% +0.85% WIN
2024-04-15 09:27:20 $15.18 +0.13% +0.26% +0.07% -2.11% -2.24% +1.25% -0.59% -0.20% WIN
2023-12-27 09:25:00 $15.0 -0.93% +1.40% +5.17% +5.07% +6.60% +8.33% -2.27% -0.80% LOSS
2023-12-13 09:26:00 $13.96 -0.21% +0.47% +0.29% -0.47% -0.29% +0.86% -0.63% -0.29% LOSS
2023-11-20 09:28:00 $13.83 +1.77% +3.33% +3.47% +2.53% +2.89% +4.27% -0.22% +0.58% WIN
2023-11-09 09:27:00 $13.46 -0.74% -1.04% -1.08% -2.34% -3.19% +0.30% -0.74% -0.52% LOSS
2023-09-11 09:28:00 $15.71 +3.25% +1.53% +1.85% +2.10% +4.07% +5.35% -0.38% -0.25% WIN
2023-04-03 09:27:00 $11.98 -0.58% -0.67% -0.50% -4.51% -7.68% +0.33% -1.59% -0.08% LOSS
2023-03-16 09:28:00 $6.05 +3.31% +8.51% +11.24% +11.23% +16.20% +19.17% +0.50% +1.49% WIN
2023-02-23 09:29:00 $8.18 -0.24% - - -0.24% -0.86% - -0.49% -0.49% LOSS
2023-02-06 09:26:00 $8.52 -0.47% -0.53% -0.70% -1.06% -0.82% +0.23% -0.53% +0.23% LOSS
2022-12-15 09:25:00 $8.69 -0.81% -1.38% -1.09% -1.60% -4.03% -0.81% -1.15% -1.04% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 69.2% Baseline on BUR

The 69.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push BUR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize BUR Strategy →

Why Analyze BUR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BUR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BUR historically offers an average upside of +3.66% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BUR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 69.2%, BUR shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show BUR performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.14%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.