Latest signal:
MARA Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 759 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, MARA alerts reach +4.81% profit potential within 130 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.87%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.57x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 759 alerts, MARA typically reaches +4.81% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.8% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: FINANCE SERVICES
How MARA compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical MARA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-14 | 09:29:58 | $16.98 | +0.83% | +1.80% | +1.27% | +0.27% | -0.47% | +1.88% | -0.15% | +0.06% | WIN |
| 2025-02-13 | 09:25:11 | $16.28 | -1.90% | -1.87% | -0.71% | +0.95% | +3.87% | +4.12% | -2.46% | -0.68% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-12 | 09:26:44 | $15.91 | -0.69% | +0.31% | +1.35% | +0.06% | +2.07% | +2.89% | -1.45% | -0.06% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-11 | 09:28:34 | $16.62 | -1.26% | -0.54% | +0.60% | -0.09% | -3.61% | +1.14% | -1.96% | +0.12% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-10 | 09:27:27 | $17.02 | +0.15% | -0.65% | -1.12% | -0.91% | -1.53% | +0.94% | -1.59% | +0.29% | WIN |
| 2025-02-07 | 09:26:01 | $17.32 | +1.85% | +0.98% | +0.55% | -1.27% | -3.18% | +3.12% | -0.64% | - | WIN |
| 2025-02-06 | 09:26:01 | $17.19 | +1.05% | - | -0.17% | -0.12% | -2.27% | +2.07% | +0.06% | +0.35% | WIN |
| 2025-02-05 | 09:25:07 | $17.74 | +0.60% | -0.45% | -1.24% | -1.24% | -4.00% | +1.13% | -0.23% | +0.56% | WIN |
| 2025-02-04 | 09:27:44 | $17.74 | +1.07% | +1.23% | +0.34% | +0.76% | -0.51% | +1.72% | -1.69% | -0.51% | WIN |
| 2025-02-03 | 09:28:24 | $16.87 | +1.42% | +2.05% | +2.46% | +3.97% | +6.40% | +8.48% | -0.12% | +0.30% | WIN |
| 2025-01-31 | 09:29:48 | $19.18 | - | -2.03% | -1.07% | -0.38% | -4.38% | +1.20% | -0.26% | -0.10% | - |
| 2025-01-30 | 09:27:31 | $18.7 | +3.05% | +3.21% | +3.05% | +1.63% | +2.57% | +4.71% | -0.11% | +0.11% | WIN |
| 2025-01-29 | 09:26:10 | $18.32 | -0.33% | -0.66% | -0.35% | -0.22% | +0.55% | +2.95% | -3.00% | -0.22% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-28 | 09:28:08 | $18.45 | -1.92% | -2.87% | -0.32% | +0.14% | -1.03% | +0.70% | -3.22% | +0.27% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:27:01 | $18.91 | -1.59% | -1.32% | +0.58% | -1.03% | -3.31% | +1.96% | -2.96% | -0.40% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-24 | 09:29:49 | $20.22 | -1.38% | -0.55% | -0.17% | +0.49% | -1.14% | +4.72% | -1.93% | - | LOSS |
| 2025-01-23 | 09:27:21 | $19.23 | +1.27% | +2.03% | +3.12% | +1.90% | +3.74% | +8.37% | -0.88% | -0.05% | WIN |
| 2025-01-22 | 09:25:43 | $19.33 | +1.09% | -0.78% | -0.47% | -0.72% | +1.86% | +3.98% | -2.07% | -0.47% | WIN |
| 2025-01-21 | 09:27:04 | $20.36 | -1.28% | -5.85% | -5.60% | -7.27% | -3.93% | +1.08% | -1.52% | -0.54% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-17 | 09:29:49 | $19.2 | +1.72% | +1.35% | +1.41% | +3.26% | +3.70% | +9.27% | -1.25% | +0.13% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ MARA Shows Negative Expectancy
With 48.2% win rate and -0.05% average gain, MARA alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider MARA for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze MARA with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MARA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, MARA historically offers an average upside of +4.81% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 MARA Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 48.2%, MARA shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests MARA may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: MARA shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.05%). This suggests MARA is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.