$MARA
Trade-Ideas alerts 48.6% at 30-min n=904 2022-01-03 → 2026-10-02
🏢 Company Profile
Practice trading MARA on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →
Playable MARA setups
Historical MARA setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, MARA alerts reach +4.72% profit potential within 129 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.79%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.64x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 904 alerts, MARA typically reaches +4.72% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.8% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: FINANCE SERVICES
How MARA compares to 99 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical MARA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | 09:25:00 | $11.65 | -0.64% | +4.42% | +3.43% | +2.27% | -3.61% | +5.06% | -1.07% | -0.09% | LOSS |
| 2026-10-01 | 09:25:00 | $11.23 | +0.62% | +0.27% | -0.22% | -1.91% | -0.18% | +1.51% | -0.09% | +0.45% | WIN |
| 2026-09-30 | 09:25:00 | $12.3 | -0.57% | -3.79% | -4.39% | -4.98% | -7.89% | +0.57% | +0.08% | +0.08% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-25 | 09:25:00 | $12.97 | -0.69% | -1.85% | -4.05% | -4.93% | -3.24% | +0.69% | +0.46% | +0.12% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-24 | 09:25:00 | $13.1 | +0.38% | +3.25% | +0.69% | +1.83% | -1.37% | +4.12% | -0.38% | -0.23% | WIN |
| 2026-09-23 | 09:25:00 | $13.46 | +0.52% | +0.71% | +0.19% | -0.45% | -0.82% | +1.41% | -1.41% | -0.07% | WIN |
| 2026-09-22 | 09:25:00 | $13.08 | +0.54% | +2.45% | +3.37% | +5.99% | +4.21% | +6.81% | -0.84% | +0.38% | WIN |
| 2026-09-21 | 09:25:00 | $13.75 | +0.46% | -1.25% | -1.72% | -2.55% | -3.43% | +1.66% | -0.37% | +1.37% | WIN |
| 2026-09-18 | 09:25:00 | $11.97 | +1.09% | +2.55% | +4.95% | +4.09% | +10.61% | +11.27% | -0.50% | +1.21% | WIN |
| 2026-09-17 | 09:25:00 | $11.43 | +1.82% | -1.43% | -3.74% | -3.04% | +1.82% | +3.92% | -5.05% | +0.24% | WIN |
| 2026-09-16 | 09:25:00 | $11.34 | +0.46% | -0.54% | +0.92% | +0.62% | -2.65% | +1.66% | -1.06% | -0.26% | WIN |
| 2026-09-15 | 09:25:00 | $11.3 | -0.89% | +0.66% | +0.13% | -0.66% | -0.53% | +1.59% | -2.38% | -0.31% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-14 | 09:25:00 | $11.18 | -1.52% | +2.10% | +3.49% | +4.16% | +2.86% | +6.80% | -1.97% | -0.72% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-11 | 09:25:00 | $11.68 | +1.51% | +1.90% | +3.68% | +4.75% | +2.57% | +6.04% | -1.20% | -0.56% | WIN |
| 2026-09-10 | 09:25:00 | $11.51 | -0.17% | -1.52% | -1.78% | +0.56% | -0.69% | +2.52% | -2.52% | +1.13% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-09 | 09:25:00 | $11.93 | +1.08% | +0.25% | +0.17% | -1.13% | -0.08% | +1.84% | +0.08% | +1.34% | WIN |
| 2026-09-08 | 09:25:00 | $11.15 | -0.09% | +0.49% | +3.68% | +4.62% | +6.10% | +8.16% | -1.35% | -0.18% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-04 | 09:25:00 | $11.15 | +2.54% | +2.03% | +2.44% | +1.30% | +1.44% | +3.09% | -0.18% | +0.31% | WIN |
| 2026-09-02 | 09:25:00 | $10.05 | +0.15% | +0.90% | +0.65% | +2.04% | +4.18% | +4.78% | -0.70% | -0.40% | WIN |
| 2026-09-01 | 09:25:00 | $10.49 | -1.00% | -2.72% | -2.24% | -1.76% | -2.48% | +1.14% | -1.33% | -0.10% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠ MARA Shows Negative Expectancy
With 48.6% win rate and -0.01% average gain, MARA alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider MARA for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze MARA with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MARA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, MARA historically offers an average upside of +4.72% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 MARA Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 48.6%, MARA shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests MARA may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: MARA shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.01%). This suggests MARA is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.