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COIN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 728 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-06 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Coinbase Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock FINANCE SERVICES (SIC 6199)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Apr 14, 2021 🔗 www.coinbase.com
💰 Market Cap: $58.50B 👥 Employees: 3,772
Founded in 2012, Coinbase is the leading cryptocurrency exchange platform in the United States. The company intends to be the safe and regulation-compliant point of entry for retail investors and institutions into the cryptocurrency economy. Users can establish an account directly with the firm, instead of using an intermediary, and many choose to allow Coinbase to act as a custodian for their cryptocurrency, giving the company breadth beyond that of a traditional financial exchange. While the company still generates the majority of its revenue from transaction fees charged to its retail customers, Coinbase uses internal investment and acquisitions to expand into adjacent businesses, such as prime brokerage and data analytics.
📊
728
Total Alerts
🎯
49.2%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.05%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+3.90%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 46.6%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.91%
Avg Loser: -0.91%
Best: +4.59%
Worst: -5.71%
Trades: 338/386

15MIN

Win Rate: 49.2%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +1.59%
Avg Loser: -1.64%
Best: +7.49%
Worst: -14.33%
Trades: 357/368

30MIN

Win Rate: 48.9%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +2.04%
Avg Loser: -1.96%
Best: +10.49%
Worst: -10.92%
Trades: 355/368

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.7%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +2.71%
Avg Loser: -2.40%
Best: +14.08%
Worst: -9.76%
Trades: 346/377

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 47.7%
Avg Gain: +0.14%
Avg Winner: +4.24%
Avg Loser: -3.61%
Best: +25.42%
Worst: -15.91%
Trades: 347/380

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.90%
Best MFE: +28.02%
Avg Time to MFE: 130 min

On average, COIN alerts reach +3.90% profit potential within 130 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.46%
Worst MAE: -16.26%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.46%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.68:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.68x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 728 alerts, COIN typically reaches +3.90% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 728
Gap Up % 40.5%
Avg Gap -0.10%
Best Gap +1.48%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FINANCE SERVICES

How COIN compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
COIN: -0.06% Sector: -0.22% +0.16%
EOD Gain
COIN: +0.13% Sector: +101.11% -100.97%
Avg MFE
COIN: +3.90% Sector: +5.23% -1.32%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical COIN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:28:10 $288.0 -0.17% -0.92% -3.91% -3.17% -4.75% +1.23% -1.80% +0.01% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:26:40 $284.87 +0.92% +0.36% +1.21% +2.54% +4.65% +6.15% -0.83% -0.31% WIN
2025-02-12 09:26:45 $264.5 +0.80% +1.00% +1.71% +1.41% +3.93% +5.03% -0.39% -0.04% WIN
2025-02-11 09:29:09 $276.5 -1.22% -0.34% +0.41% -0.40% -3.47% +0.90% -1.50% +0.38% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:28:02 $280.28 +1.52% -0.95% -1.59% -1.66% -0.02% +1.88% -0.22% +0.04% WIN
2025-02-07 09:26:50 $275.11 +1.85% +1.19% +0.99% +0.62% -0.23% +2.71% -1.06% -0.39% WIN
2025-02-06 09:27:19 $279.41 +0.46% -0.57% -1.21% -1.26% -3.24% +1.86% -0.20% +0.04% WIN
2025-02-05 09:26:43 $282.12 +0.67% +0.22% -0.92% -0.52% -2.47% +1.29% -1.46% +0.53% WIN
2025-02-04 09:26:31 $283.08 -1.11% +0.94% +0.00% +0.29% -0.95% +2.23% -1.57% -0.03% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:25:35 $269.6 +1.36% +2.59% +2.19% +4.51% +5.49% +7.11% -0.11% +1.25% WIN
2025-01-31 09:29:01 $299.78 -0.08% -0.19% +0.23% +0.56% -2.82% +1.65% -1.03% +0.36% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:29:51 $293.3 +2.01% +2.07% +3.34% +2.73% +2.73% +4.33% -0.10% +0.14% WIN
2025-01-29 09:26:44 $282.59 +1.81% +0.28% -0.18% -0.40% +2.98% +4.17% -1.97% -0.27% WIN
2025-01-28 09:28:11 $280.5 -0.54% -1.42% +0.72% +1.14% +0.47% +1.55% -1.60% -0.00% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:25:31 $285.99 -0.48% -2.13% +0.12% -0.76% -2.80% +1.33% -3.07% -0.80% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:29:45 $300.92 +0.71% +1.55% +0.85% +1.10% -0.97% +3.22% -0.80% -0.31% WIN
2025-01-23 09:25:58 $289.88 +1.02% +2.45% +2.76% +2.34% +2.11% +4.72% -0.68% -0.05% WIN
2025-01-22 09:28:47 $289.9 +1.15% +1.41% +1.09% +0.55% +2.05% +3.07% -1.25% +0.19% WIN
2025-01-21 09:25:46 $299.05 +0.68% -4.36% -4.87% -7.01% -1.63% +1.35% -8.50% -0.18% WIN
2025-01-17 09:28:28 $292.09 +1.21% +0.62% +1.63% +0.85% +1.16% +2.83% -0.94% -0.03% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ COIN Shows Negative Expectancy

With 49.2% win rate and -0.05% average gain, COIN alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider COIN for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze COIN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for COIN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, COIN historically offers an average upside of +3.90% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 COIN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 49.2%, COIN shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests COIN may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: COIN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.05%). This suggests COIN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.